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Coterra Energy (CTRA)
NYSE:CTRA
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Coterra Energy (CTRA) AI Stock Analysis

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CTRA

Coterra Energy

(NYSE:CTRA)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(9.15% Upside)
Coterra Energy's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, with robust production and strategic cost management. However, technical analysis indicates potential overbought conditions, and valuation metrics suggest some market caution due to commodity price volatility.
Positive Factors
Strong Production Performance
Exceeding production expectations indicates effective operational management and resource utilization, supporting long-term growth and stability.
Successful Asset Integration
Effective integration of acquired assets enhances operational efficiency, reducing costs and improving profitability, which benefits long-term competitiveness.
Robust Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation supports financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt reduction, which are crucial for sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
Increased Operating Costs
Rising operating costs can pressure margins and profitability, potentially hindering long-term financial performance if not managed effectively.
Challenges with Gas Prices
Persistently low regional gas prices can affect revenue and necessitate strategic adjustments, impacting long-term market positioning and profitability.
Public Dispute with Kimmeridge
Public disputes with stakeholders can create strategic uncertainty and distract management, potentially affecting long-term strategic execution and investor confidence.

Coterra Energy (CTRA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coterra Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCoterra Energy (CTRA) is a prominent energy company primarily engaged in the exploration, production, and development of oil and natural gas resources in the United States. Formed through the merger of Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation and Cimarex Energy Co., Coterra operates in key basins including the Permian, Anadarko, and Appalachian basins. The company's core services revolve around leveraging advanced technologies and innovative techniques to maximize hydrocarbon recovery while maintaining a commitment to sustainable practices.
How the Company Makes MoneyCoterra Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The company employs a revenue model that capitalizes on market prices for these commodities, with sales driven by production volumes from its extensive portfolio of developed and undeveloped assets. Key revenue streams include direct sales to refineries, marketers, and other end-users, as well as contracts and agreements that often include hedging strategies to mitigate price volatility. Additionally, Coterra benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance operational efficiency and market reach, further contributing to its earnings. The company's focus on cost-effective production and technological advancements also plays a significant role in maximizing profitability.

Coterra Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

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Any
Operating Revenue by Segment
Operating Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Coterra Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Coterra Energy delivered strong third quarter results, exceeding production expectations and integrating recent acquisitions effectively. Financial performance was robust, with significant cash flow and debt reduction achievements. However, increased operating costs and challenges with gas prices were noted. The public dispute with Kimmeridge introduces some external pressure on the company's strategic direction.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Third Quarter Performance
Coterra's oil, natural gas, and BOE production each came in approximately 2.5% above the midpoint of guidance, with NGL production hitting an all-time high of 136 MBoe per day. Oil volumes increased by 7% over second quarter levels with a substantial uptick of 11,300 barrels per day.
Successful Integration of Acquired Assets
The integration of Franklin Mountain and Avant assets has led to a 10% reduction in total well costs and 5% reduction in lease operating expenses. Additional $20 million per year savings are expected from operational efficiency improvements.
Positive Financial Metrics
Pre-hedge oil and gas revenues reached $1.7 billion, with 57% from oil production. Discretionary cash flow was $1.15 billion, and free cash flow was $533 million. Coterra announced a $0.22 per share dividend and repaid $250 million of term loans.
Record-Setting Drilling Efficiency in Marcellus
A new 4-mile lateral was drilled in under 9 days, averaging 2,400 feet per day, reducing drilling costs by 24% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Costs
Cash operating costs increased to $9.81 per BOE, up 5% quarter-over-quarter due to production mix and higher workover activity.
Challenges with Waha Gas Prices
Low Waha gas prices impacted the region, necessitating engagement with long-haul pipeline projects to improve market access and prices.
Public Dispute with Kimmeridge
A public letter from Kimmeridge criticized Coterra's portfolio strategy, indicating discontent and suggesting the company might be more valuable as separate entities.
Company Guidance
During the Coterra Energy Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, guidance was provided that highlighted several key metrics and strategic directions. The company reported that oil, natural gas, and BOE production came in approximately 2.5% above the midpoint of guidance, with NGL production reaching an all-time high of around 136 MBoe per day. For the fourth quarter, oil production is expected to be 175 MBoe per day at the midpoint, while total production is anticipated to average between 770 and 810 MBoe per day. Natural gas production is projected between 2.78 and 2.93 Bcf per day. Coterra expects capital expenditures for the quarter to be around $530 million, reflecting a significant decrease from the third quarter. For the full year 2025, guidance was revised to an annual MBoe per day production of 777 at the midpoint, a 5% increase from earlier forecasts. The company plans to deliver a comprehensive updated 3-year outlook with its fourth quarter release in February and expects 2026 capital to be modestly down year-over-year while maintaining production parameters. Additionally, Coterra highlighted its commitment to growing revenue, cash flow, free cash flow, and profitability, with an emphasis on maintaining low breakevens and operational flexibility.

Coterra Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Coterra Energy demonstrates strong profitability with a solid net profit margin and robust balance sheet, despite recent revenue declines. Efficient operations and solid cash flow generation underpin financial stability, though revenue growth and cash flow improvement remain areas for enhancement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Coterra Energy demonstrates strong profitability with a solid net profit margin of 24.28% TTM, although revenue has declined by 11.36% TTM. The company maintains healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating efficient operations despite the revenue drop. Historical revenue growth has been volatile, reflecting industry challenges.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30 TTM, suggesting prudent financial leverage. Return on equity is moderate at 11.48% TTM, indicating decent profitability relative to shareholder investment. The equity ratio is strong, highlighting financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Coterra Energy's cash flow is solid, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.73 TTM, indicating good cash generation relative to profits. Operating cash flow coverage is strong, but free cash flow growth has been modest at 3.18% TTM, suggesting room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.01B5.46B5.68B9.51B3.67B1.41B
Gross Profit2.57B1.69B2.20B6.07B2.06B340.01M
EBITDA4.42B3.30B3.84B6.87B2.26B689.78M
Net Income1.65B1.12B1.63B4.07B1.16B200.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.01B21.63B20.41B20.15B19.90B4.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments98.00M2.04B956.00M673.00M1.04B140.00M
Total Debt3.92B3.80B2.53B2.60B3.46B1.17B
Total Liabilities9.28B8.50B7.38B7.50B8.16B2.31B
Stockholders Equity14.72B13.12B13.04B12.66B11.74B2.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.45B1.02B1.56B3.75B939.00M202.00M
Operating Cash Flow3.68B2.79B3.66B5.46B1.67B778.00M
Investing Cash Flow-5.47B-1.76B-2.06B-1.67B313.00M-584.00M
Financing Cash Flow1.05B279.00M-1.32B-4.14B-1.09B-256.00M

Coterra Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.57
Price Trends
50DMA
23.92
Positive
100DMA
24.13
Positive
200DMA
25.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.61
Negative
RSI
74.38
Negative
STOCH
89.83
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTRA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.93, above the 50-day MA of 23.92, and above the 200-day MA of 25.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.38 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.83 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CTRA.

Coterra Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$34.94B19.108.19%1.10%64.84%219.47%
73
Outperform
$19.61B11.8811.86%3.37%26.13%31.42%
72
Outperform
$20.66B7.2918.35%2.91%11.14%-21.32%
67
Neutral
$10.13B18.697.65%17.05%1028.81%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
$6.20B97.852.86%35.41%
61
Neutral
$9.28B40.152.26%3.22%-8.07%-87.88%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTRA
Coterra Energy
26.57
2.82
11.87%
CRK
Comstock Resources
23.02
9.82
74.39%
DVN
Devon Energy
33.70
-4.11
-10.87%
OVV
Ovintiv
38.86
-3.05
-7.28%
EQT
EQT
57.97
17.24
42.33%
AR
Antero Resources
33.65
4.42
15.12%

Coterra Energy Corporate Events

Coterra Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 5, 2025

Coterra Energy Inc., a Houston-based exploration and production company, operates primarily in the Permian Basin, Marcellus Shale, and Anadarko Basin, focusing on efficient and responsible energy production.

Executive/Board Changes
Coterra Energy Appoints New Chief Accounting Officer
Neutral
Sep 22, 2025

Coterra Energy Inc. has appointed Gregory F. Conaway as Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer effective September 22, 2025. This appointment follows the upcoming retirement of Todd M. Roemer, who will remain as a Special Advisor to ensure a smooth transition. Conaway’s extensive experience in accounting roles within the oil and natural gas industry positions him to effectively lead Coterra’s accounting operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CTRA) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Coterra Energy stock, see the CTRA Stock Forecast page.

Coterra Energy Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 6, 2025

Coterra Energy Inc., a Houston-based exploration and production company, operates primarily in the Permian Basin, Marcellus Shale, and Anadarko Basin, focusing on sustainable energy production and efficient asset development.

Coterra Energy’s Earnings Call: Strong Performance Amid Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

Coterra Energy’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust performance, marked by notable achievements in production and financial metrics. Despite these successes, the company faces challenges with market pricing and specific operational issues, particularly concerning the Windham Harkey wells. This juxtaposition of positive production outcomes against market headwinds results in a neutral sentiment overall.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025