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Eastern Company (EML) AI Stock Analysis

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EML

Eastern Company

(NASDAQ:EML)

Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:$33.00â–²(7.11% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:11/11/26

The overall score of 72 reflects a company with strong positive momentum and a healthy financial foundation, offset by operational cash flow concerns. The most significant positive factor is the robust earnings call, highlighted by surging sales, a record backlog, and dramatically improved profitability, which provides excellent near-term visibility. The balance sheet is a core strength, offering financial flexibility. However, the score is constrained by weak free cash flow conversion and compressed gross margins, which represent key risks to monitor. Technical trends are bullish, and the valuation is reasonable, supporting the positive outlook.

Positive Factors
Backlog VisibilityThe historically high backlog provides meaningful revenue visibility over the next several quarters and reduces reliance on immediate order intake. Expected conversion across 2026 and early 2027 supports production planning, capacity utilization, and more durable earnings visibility.
Negative Factors
Acquired Business MarginsThe acquired aerospace and defense businesses are not yet delivering their expected earnings contribution, with a mix of complex, low-volume, first-run parts adding execution pressure. Required process improvements and management capacity may delay margin normalization.

Eastern Company (EML) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%EML+68.71%SPY+14.97%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$185.57M
Dividend Yield
1.43%
Average Volume (3M)
11.61K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.9
Beta (1Y)
0.81
Revenue Growth
-0.58%
EPS Growth
111.07%
Country
US
Employees
1,239
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories

Eastern Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The Eastern Company designs, manufactures, and sells engineered solutions to industrial markets in the United States and North America. The company offers turnkey returnable packaging solutions, which are used in the assembly processes of vehicles, a...

How the Company Makes Money

Eastern Company makes money mainly by manufacturing and selling tobacco products—especially cigarettes—into the Egyptian market. Its core revenue stream is product sales (typically to wholesalers/distributors and retailers, ultimately reaching end co...

Eastern Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:4.51%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 16, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. Eastern reported substantial year-over-year growth in sales, margins, operating profit, net income, adjusted EBITDA and backlog, supported by recovering core-business volumes, pricing actions, operational improvements and the contribution from its aerospace and defense acquisitions. The principal challenges were lower margins at Sungear and Crown Precision, ongoing repricing work, higher input costs, working-capital cash usage and the possibility of seasonal and OEM production moderation.

Positive Updates

Strong Quarterly Financial Performance
Net sales increased 36% year-over-year to $75 million from $55.3 million. Gross margin expanded to 23.9% from 22.3% a year ago, net income from continuing operations rose to $3.4 million or $0.57 per diluted share from $0.6 million or $0.10, and adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to $7.6 million or 10.2% of net sales from $3.5 million or 6.3%.

Negative Updates

Cash Declined as Working Capital Increased
Cash ended the quarter at $7.9 million versus $15.1 million at the end of the second quarter. The company used approximately $3.2 million of operating cash in the quarter as receivables grew with higher shipments and first-half benefits in payables and accrued expenses partially unwound. Working capital was $79.3 million, and management described the receivables build as the cost of growth.

Company Guidance

Management said backlog supports the balance of 2026 and the first half of 2027, with backlog at $126.1 million, an increase of 70% year-over-year, and expects most of it to convert over the next 2 to 3 quarters; the company expects to return to more typical seasonality, with customers typically reducing production during the fourth quarter holiday season and the first quarter generally being the slowest, although from a much higher base. Management expects to recover rising material, freight and logistics costs over the coming quarters, is monitoring the possibility that truck production moderates next year, intends to make much more progress on pricing Sungear and Crown Precision over the next, say, 3 to 6 months, and said additional capacity for existing production can take up to a year, but usually less than that, 6, 7 months, with such work contributing to 2027.

Eastern Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. The balance sheet is a key strength with low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.16) and improving equity. The income statement shows a solid revenue recovery and return to profitability, but gross margins are compressing to 21.5%. The primary concern is weak cash flow quality, with free cash flow declining 47% and a low operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.28, indicating poor earnings conversion.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue254.01M248.97M272.75M258.86M279.27M246.52M
Gross Profit54.70M56.39M67.27M61.77M58.62M56.77M
EBITDA20.81M13.86M25.68M23.26M23.91M28.06M
Net Income10.91M5.12M-8.53M8.59M12.30M9.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets247.09M216.68M235.31M252.04M261.52M266.33M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.15M7.41M16.06M9.29M10.19M6.17M
Total Debt60.66M53.86M60.24M62.08M76.40M82.62M
Total Liabilities114.41M92.03M114.62M119.56M134.91M151.73M
Stockholders Equity132.68M124.65M120.69M132.48M126.61M114.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.03M4.90M10.84M20.05M7.10M-5.74M
Operating Cash Flow12.73M8.87M20.55M26.48M10.46M-2.02M
Investing Cash Flow-12.92M-508.92K-8.47M-5.43M5.09M12.62M
Financing Cash Flow-1.39M-16.30M-4.82M-22.90M-11.78M-20.27M

Eastern Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price30.81

Price Trends

50DMA25.75Positive
100DMA25.58Positive
200DMA23.01Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.30Negative
RSI67.81Neutral
STOCH74.44Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EML, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.82, above the 50-day MA of 25.75, and above the 200-day MA of 23.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EML.

Eastern Company Risk Analysis

Eastern Company disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Eastern Company reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Eastern Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

EML against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SWKSWK72Outperform$17.19B20.279.39%2.95%0.38%93.48%
EMLEML72Outperform$189.25M16.898.52%1.43%-0.58%111.07%
SNASNA70Outperform$19.33B18.8916.84%2.65%2.93%0.65%
KMTKMT66Neutral$1.89B3.1538.97%3.30%32.48%529.12%
TKRTKR65Neutral$7.59B27.058.86%1.29%5.95%-4.17%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
HLMNHLMN60Neutral$1.56B61.361.98%―6.40%-34.55%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%EMLKMTSNASWKTKRHLMNDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
EML and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
EMLEastern Company30.8111.9463.26%
KMTKennametal Inc24.26-1.01-3.99%
SNASnap-on Inc367.8947.8714.96%
SWKStanley Black & Decker113.0251.9785.13%
TKRTimken110.4136.9950.38%
HLMNHillman Solutions Corp.7.90-0.35-4.24%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026