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Elmer Bancorp (ELMA) AI Stock Analysis

ELMA

Elmer Bancorp

(Other OTC:ELMA)

Select Model
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:$29.00▲(11.54% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/25/26

ELMA scores well primarily due to solid financial fundamentals (strong recent revenue acceleration, positive profitability, and a conservative no-debt balance sheet) and supportive valuation (low P/E with a dividend). The score is tempered by mixed technicals, with near-term weakness (below 20/50-day averages and low RSI) despite longer-term trend support above the 100/200-day averages.

Positive Factors
Multi-year revenue growthSustained revenue expansion indicates improving business scale and customer activity. If maintained, the multi-year upward trend can support future earnings growth and strengthen the bank’s ability to absorb operating and funding pressures.
Negative Factors
Uneven free cash flow growthAlthough cash generation is positive, fluctuations in operating and free cash flow make future internal funding less predictable. Persistent volatility could constrain capital planning and reduce the reliability of cash-based earnings support.

Elmer Bancorp (ELMA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%ELMA+18.77%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$29.72M
Dividend Yield
2.33%
Average Volume (3M)
1,024
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.2
Beta (1Y)
-0.01
Revenue Growth
4.80%
EPS Growth
-11.01%
Country
US
Employees
12
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Elmer Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Elmer Bancorp, Inc. serves as the parent entity for The First National Bank of Elmer, delivering a comprehensive range of financial solutions to both commercial and individual clients. Its array of deposit products includes checking, money market, sa...

Elmer Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong multi-year revenue growth with improving profitability in 2024–2025 and a very conservative balance sheet (no reported debt, rising equity). Offsetting factors include some profit-quality/consistency concerns (notable 2023 volatility) and uneven free-cash-flow growth despite generally supportive cash conversion.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.08M22.15M19.36M16.02M14.60M13.77M
Gross Profit17.49M17.49M15.68M16.02M13.84M12.91M
EBITDA3.89M4.69M4.22M4.80M3.91M2.94M
Net Income2.90M3.30M2.85M3.18M2.60M1.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets407.78M409.42M380.73M364.58M371.53M375.69M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.33M46.42M4.50M39.25M5.84M4.06M
Total Debt000000
Total Liabilities367.64M370.37M345.34M331.86M342.23M346.23M
Stockholders Equity40.14M39.05M35.38M32.72M29.30M29.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow02.87M2.12M3.08M2.12M1.24M
Operating Cash Flow03.25M2.40M3.58M2.73M1.73M
Investing Cash Flow0-10.95M-24.23M-9.04M-24.88M4.40M
Financing Cash Flow023.87M12.82M-11.03M-4.66M43.68M

Elmer Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price26.00

Price Trends

50DMA26.54Negative
100DMA26.49Negative
200DMA25.22Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.19Negative
RSI44.27Neutral
STOCH71.43Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ELMA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 26.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.63, below the 50-day MA of 26.54, and above the 200-day MA of 25.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ELMA.

Elmer Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

ELMA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ELMAELMA73Outperform$29.89M10.247.37%2.33%4.80%-11.01%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
KFFBKFFB62Neutral$43.18M22.643.86%0.94%8.69%958.30%
BAFNBAFN52Neutral$156.38M-0.55-42.84%―-40.59%-260.03%
GLBZGLBZ52Neutral$12.19M-154.13-0.39%―17.13%-395.56%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%50%ELMACARVGLBZKFFBBAFNMBBCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
ELMA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ELMAElmer Bancorp 25.803.6616.55%
CARVCarver Bancorp1.85-1.14-38.13%
GLBZGlen Burnie4.17-0.52-10.98%
KFFBKentucky First Federal5.341.3935.29%
BAFNBayFirst Financial Corp5.80-3.50-37.63%
MBBCMarathon Bancorp, Inc.14.443.5031.95%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 25, 2026