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Echostar (ECHO) AI Stock Analysis

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ECHO

Echostar

(NASDAQ:ECHO)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:$104.00▲(4.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

The score is held back primarily by weak cash flow (negative operating and free cash flow) and elevated restructuring/regulatory uncertainty highlighted on the earnings call (Hughes Chapter 11 and large, variable liabilities). Valuation is the main positive due to the very low P/E, but technicals are also soft with the stock trading below key moving averages.

Positive Factors
Strong liquidity and strategic assetsThe substantial cash balance and valuable SpaceX and spectrum holdings provide financial resilience and strategic optionality. These assets can support obligations, reduce dependence on external funding, and create routes to monetize infrastructure or strengthen the balance sheet over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent revenue declineA sustained contraction in revenue weakens the foundation for durable earnings growth and can reduce network utilization, operating leverage, and investment capacity. The decline also raises concern that recent reported profitability may not represent a stable improvement in the underlying business.

Echostar Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Operating Income by SegmentBreaks down operating profit across the company’s business lines, revealing which segments generate earnings and which are loss-making; useful for spotting where management should allocate capital or cut costs.

-$20.00B-$15.00B-$10.00B-$5.00B$0.00Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

EchoStar has effectively cleaned up the legacy network drag: a roughly $16B one‑time decommissioning/impairment hit concentrated in 2025 Q3 explains the massive Wireless loss and the sudden cessation of 5G deployment charges thereafter, turning ongoing connectivity costs into the 'Other' segment. Pay‑TV remains the company’s steady cash engine though slowly slipping, while Broadband & Satellite swung from heavy losses into positive as decommissioning and settlements reduce run‑rate costs. Management’s expected spectrum proceeds and SpaceX upside could fund debt paydown, but litigation and valuation uncertainty keep execution risk elevated.

Data provided by:The Fly

Echostar (ECHO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%120%ECHO+43.39%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$15.85B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
3.78M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
2.9
Beta (1Y)
1.28
Revenue Growth
-19.83%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
12,100
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Telecommunications Services

Echostar Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

EchoStar Corp. engages in the design, development, and distribution of digital set-top boxes and products for direct-to-home satellite service providers. It operates through the following business segments: Pay-TV, Retail Wireless, and Broadband and...

How the Company Makes Money

EchoStar makes money primarily by selling connectivity and related managed services, and by monetizing satellite and wireless network assets. Key revenue streams include: (1) Satellite and managed network services: recurring service revenue from prov...

Echostar Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 03, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:18.92%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNegative

The call conveyed a mix of meaningful financial strengths (large cash balance, sizable SpaceX stake, spectrum holdings, expanded buyback authorization and a path to resolve DISH Wireless) alongside substantial near-term risks and uncertainties (Hughes Chapter 11, a large $5–$7 billion estimated tax/termination liability, pending FCC waiver for spectrum sales, ongoing litigation with tower companies, and Boost Mobile underperformance). Management emphasized capital prudence and a measured approach to investments and buybacks, but the significant restructuring and tax exposures create material execution and timing risk.

Positive Updates

Strong Liquidity and Asset Base
Management reports approximately $14–$15 billion in cash on hand, ownership of 261.8 million SpaceX shares, and a portfolio of spectrum assets (AWS-3, CBRS, 700 MHz). The SpaceX transaction is expected to eliminate almost $8 billion of debt at closing, and $1.9 billion of convertible debt is in the money.

Negative Updates

Hughes Entities Filed Chapter 11
Hughes Corporation filed Chapter 11 following an August 1 $1.5 billion bond maturity; the filing is limited to Hughes entities but creates material uncertainty around timing and outcomes. Management will not take questions on Hughes and expects restructuring litigation that could be prolonged.

Company Guidance

The company gave guarded guidance focused on capital allocation and known liabilities: the Board increased share‑repurchase authorization to up to $5.0 billion, but buybacks are contract‑restricted and management says it will be cautious; EchoStar holds roughly $14–$15 billion of cash (with $2.4 billion placed in escrow for the FCC‑mandated network wind‑down), and estimates total costs/taxes (including wireless network termination and potential 1033 adjustments) in the $5.0–$7.0 billion range; EchoStar also holds 261.8 million SpaceX shares, has about $5.0 billion of debt (excluding Hughes), nearly $8.0 billion of debt slated to be paid at SpaceX deal closing, and $1.9 billion of convertible debt currently in the money; Hughes faced a $1.5 billion bond maturity and filed Chapter 11, the company is awaiting an FCC waiver to monetize remaining spectrum, Boost was only slightly cash‑positive this quarter but lost subscribers, and DISH‑related restructuring timelines include a DISH Wireless confirmation hearing on October 13 with a potential Q4 wrap‑up.

Echostar Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Reported profitability and leverage have improved versus 2025, but the quality of earnings is questionable given multi-year revenue decline and negative operating/free cash flow in the TTM period. Weak cash conversion and funding flexibility are the main constraints on the financial score.

Income Statement

56Neutral

Balance Sheet

61Positive

Cash Flow

34Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.17B15.00B15.83B17.02B18.63B19.82B
Gross Profit3.62B3.87B5.69B5.07B6.42B7.32B
EBITDA14.35B-15.79B2.34B-247.35M4.59B4.67B
Net Income9.89B-14.50B-119.55M-1.70B2.48B2.49B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.31B43.02B60.94B57.11B58.75B6.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.97B2.06B5.55B2.44B4.31B1.55B
Total Debt9.67B31.01B29.81B25.89B25.72B1.65B
Total Liabilities19.32B37.20B40.69B36.72B36.70B2.63B
Stockholders Equity16.95B5.77B20.19B19.88B21.49B3.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-532.74M-1.07B-292.18M-668.27M570.72M160.25M
Operating Cash Flow-83.95M-99.37M1.25B2.43B3.62B632.23M
Investing Cash Flow20.55B-1.40B-3.05B-2.81B-9.06B168.81M
Financing Cash Flow-9.67B-910.31M4.48B-277.12M-274.45M-1.16B

Echostar Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price100.00

Price Trends

50DMA93.40Positive
100DMA92.26Positive
200DMA105.53Negative

Market Momentum

MACD2.39Negative
RSI55.51Neutral
STOCH72.16Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ECHO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 100.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 94.88, above the 50-day MA of 93.40, and below the 200-day MA of 105.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ECHO.

Echostar Risk Analysis

Echostar disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Echostar reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.We are subject to risks and uncertainties associated with the Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings of certain of our subsidiaries.Q2, 2026
2.Investor expectations regarding our potential investment in SpaceX may be currently influencing our stock price, and, if so, any adverse developments relating to SpaceX, changes in market perception of SpaceX or failure to complete the SpaceX Transaction could materially and negatively impact the market price of our Class A common stock.Q4, 2025
3.We, and certain of our subsidiaries, currently do not have the necessary cash on hand, projected future cash flows or committed financing to fund our obligations over the next twelve months, which raises substantial doubt about our, and certain of our subsidiaries, ability to continue as a going concern.Q4, 2025

Echostar Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

ECHO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
IRDMIRDM60Neutral$4.87B29.9832.93%1.31%3.59%33.15%
CHTRCHTR55Neutral$24.23B13.849.21%―0.99%-72.87%
GOGOGOGO52Neutral$443.54M-265.85-1.83%―9.20%66.31%
ECHOECHO50Neutral$29.10B2.9492.99%―-19.83%―
GSATGSAT49Neutral$11.18B-134.83-23.31%―5.91%-38.77%
ASTSASTS46Neutral$12.69B-15.16-33.32%―671.04%-71.11%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%ECHOCHTRGSATIRDMGOGOASTSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
ECHO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ECHOEchostar100.0033.0749.41%
CHTRCharter Communications138.39-63.45-31.44%
GSATGlobalstar Inc86.2927.1045.78%
IRDMIridium Communications45.8729.93187.78%
GOGOGogo Inc3.27-3.60-52.40%
ASTSAst Spacemobile, Inc.32.60-24.00-42.40%

Echostar Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings

EchoStar Shareholders Approve Directors, Auditor, and Executive Compensation

Positive
Nov 3, 2026

At EchoStar’s October 30, 2026, annual meeting, shareholders elected eight directors, with each receiving a majority of votes cast. Shareholders also ratified KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending De...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresLegal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance

EchoStar Reconsolidates DISH DBS After Bankruptcy Emergence

Neutral
Oct 2, 2026

On October 1, 2026, DISH DBS and its guarantors entered into a series of supplemental indentures covering its existing secured and unsecured senior notes due 2026, 2028 and 2029, as part of the entities’ emergence from bankruptcy under a prepackaged...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026