tiprankstipranks
Eni SPA (E)
NYSE:E
Want to see E full AI Analyst Report?

Eni SPA (E) AI Stock Analysis

884 Followers

Top Page

E

Eni SPA

(NYSE:E)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$52.00
▼(-0.48% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/28/26
The score is driven primarily by softer underlying financial performance (compressed margins and weaker free cash flow) balanced by a constructive earnings-call outlook (upgraded 2026 cash flow guidance and a materially higher buyback plan). Technicals are neutral-to-slightly positive, while valuation is only moderately supportive given a ~19.5 P/E and ~2.67% yield.
Positive Factors
Exploration success
Adding roughly 1 billion BOE across multiple basins materially increases reserve optionality and future production potential. Large finds near existing infrastructure shorten time-to-market, lower unit development costs and support multi-year upstream cash generation and growth visibility.
Negative Factors
Compressed margins & weak FCF
Material margin compression versus earlier cycles and a sharp drop in free cash flow reduce financial flexibility. Lower cash conversion limits capacity to fund capex, returns or de-risk the balance sheet and makes earnings more sensitive to commodity and cost swings over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Exploration success
Adding roughly 1 billion BOE across multiple basins materially increases reserve optionality and future production potential. Large finds near existing infrastructure shorten time-to-market, lower unit development costs and support multi-year upstream cash generation and growth visibility.
Read all positive factors

Eni SPA (E) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Eni SPA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Eni S.p.A. is an international energy company primarily engaged in the discovery, development, and extraction of crude oil and natural gas resources. Its operations are organized into distinct divisions: Exploration & Production; Global Gas & LNG ...
How the Company Makes Money
Eni primarily makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons and energy products, complemented by midstream gas activities and downstream manufacturing/retail operations. 1) Upstream (Exploration & Production): A major portion of Eni’s earning...

Eni SPA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a predominantly positive strategic and financial picture: strong exploration results (adding roughly 1 billion BOE of resources), solid pro forma EBIT (EUR 3.5bn), upgraded 2026 cash flow guidance (pre-working capital EUR 13.8bn, +20%) and a materially enhanced shareholder distribution plan (buyback ~EUR 2.8bn). These positives were balanced against near-term headwinds — Q1 refinery maintenance reducing downstream capture, a large working capital drag from March price spikes, cost inflation and some non-commercial exploration outcomes — but management provided clear mitigation plans (CapEx discipline, transformation of chemicals, Plenitude deconsolidation) and expects many impacts to reverse or improve over the year.
Positive Updates
Strong Pro Forma EBIT and Operating Cash Flow
Reported pro forma EBIT of EUR 3.5 billion and cash flow from operations of EUR 2.9 billion in Q1 2026.
Negative Updates
Downstream/Refinery Underperformance in Q1
Downstream and biorefineries were under major planned maintenance/turnaround in Q1, resulting in lower utilization and reduced capture of upside in the quarter.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Pro Forma EBIT and Operating Cash Flow
Reported pro forma EBIT of EUR 3.5 billion and cash flow from operations of EUR 2.9 billion in Q1 2026.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Eni updated 2026 guidance and near‑term targets with a host of metrics: Q1 reported pro‑forma EBIT €3.5bn, cash from operations €2.9bn and pro‑forma gearing 15% (12% if Plenitude deconsolidation fully reflected; Plenitude net debt ~€2.6bn, deconsolidation expected Q3), Q1 E&P production +9% YoY; Q1 CapEx €1.9bn (FY CapEx €7bn, net ≈ gross), tax rate guided at 42% with cash tax ~25%, working capital hit cash flow in Q1 but is expected to reverse in coming quarters. Management raised its market assumptions to Brent $83/bbl (from $70), TTF €50/MWh (from €36) and refining margin $8/bbl (from $6), and now sees cash flow from operations pre‑working capital €13.8bn (vs €11.5bn prior, +20%) — underpinning a proposed share buyback of ~€2.8bn (about +90%, floor for 2026) to be put to shareholders at the AGM on 6 May; other FY guidance includes E&P production growth 3–4%, GGP pro‑forma EBIT €1.3bn, transition pro‑forma EBITDA €2.4bn, Plenitude gross EBITDA €1.3bn (+20%) and Enilive EBITDA €1.1bn (+16% y/y).

Eni SPA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials indicate a profitable but normalized post-2022 environment. Margins and returns have compressed materially (TTM gross ~9%, net ~3%), and free cash flow has weakened sharply year over year (FCF ~€3.0B, ~-35%) with lower cash conversion, increasing sensitivity to commodity swings. Balance sheet leverage looks manageable for the sector (debt-to-equity ~0.74) but profitability softness and weaker FCF limit flexibility.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue79.33B82.15B88.80B93.72B132.51B76.58B
Gross Profit4.46B7.75B11.54B13.47B26.92B14.85B
EBITDA14.64B21.30B15.63B19.09B30.36B18.77B
Net Income2.51B2.61B2.62B4.77B13.89B5.82B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets147.71B139.20B150.08B146.37B156.35B143.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.78B15.09B14.98B16.98B18.41B14.55B
Total Debt36.57B39.20B41.84B39.14B36.87B38.13B
Total Liabilities93.42B91.41B99.43B97.80B106.12B104.08B
Stockholders Equity49.19B42.94B47.78B48.10B49.76B39.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.00B4.63B5.09B6.38B9.76B7.91B
Operating Cash Flow12.38B13.33B13.09B15.12B17.46B12.86B
Investing Cash Flow-9.97B-8.59B-9.23B-9.38B-6.93B-12.02B
Financing Cash Flow-2.54B-4.30B-5.97B-5.65B-8.63B-2.04B

Eni SPA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price52.25
Price Trends
50DMA
51.32
Negative
100DMA
52.15
Negative
200DMA
44.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.37
Negative
RSI
54.16
Neutral
STOCH
88.34
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For E, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 52.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 47.91, above the 50-day MA of 51.32, and above the 200-day MA of 44.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for E.

Eni SPA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$110.40B6.1527.02%14.10%3.35%133.76%
66
Neutral
$238.79B13.5110.58%3.92%-5.34%47.93%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
$72.17B27.055.25%5.41%-3.06%9.20%
63
Neutral
$107.91B35.995.52%5.62%4.29%
60
Neutral
$88.64B16.9313.33%7.43%-1.94%-30.62%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
E
Eni SPA
50.19
17.73
54.61%
BP
BP
42.76
11.89
38.51%
PBR
Petroleo Brasileiro SA- Petrobras
18.54
7.06
61.57%
SHEL
Shell
87.20
18.68
27.27%
EQNR
Equinor ASA
37.59
13.01
52.92%
TTE
TotalEnergies SE
83.53
24.55
41.62%

Eni SPA Corporate Events

Eni Advances May 2026 Treasury Share Buyback for Long-Term Incentive Plan
May 20, 2026
On 11 May 2026, Eni bought 861,111 of its own shares on Euronext Milan, equal to 0.03% of its share capital, at a weighted average price of €23.2258 per share for a total outlay of about €20 million. The purchases form part of the firs...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 28, 2026