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Devon Energy (DVN)
NYSE:DVN
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Devon Energy (DVN) AI Stock Analysis

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DVN

Devon Energy

(NYSE:DVN)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(9.34% Upside)
Devon Energy's overall stock score reflects a strong earnings call performance and attractive valuation, which are the most significant factors. The company's financial performance shows solid profitability but is tempered by liquidity challenges. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, which slightly offsets the positive aspects. The absence of notable corporate events does not impact the score.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiencies
Devon's operational efficiencies, particularly in the Delaware Basin, enhance cost management and improve profitability, supporting long-term growth.
Shareholder Returns
Devon's commitment to returning cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks underscores its strong cash generation and shareholder-focused strategy.
Tax Legislation Benefits
The reduced tax rate enhances Devon's cash flow, providing additional capital for reinvestment or shareholder returns, bolstering financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow suggests challenges in covering operational expenses and investments, potentially affecting Devon's financial stability and growth capacity.
Declining Net Profit Margins
The decline in net profit margins indicates pressure on profitability, which could impact Devon's ability to sustain earnings growth and shareholder returns.
Operational Challenges in Eagle Ford
Post-JV dissolution challenges in the Eagle Ford could increase operational costs and complexities, potentially affecting production efficiency and profitability.

Devon Energy (DVN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Devon Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDevon Energy Corporation (DVN) is an American independent energy company primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. Headquartered in Oklahoma City, Devon operates in the upstream sector of the oil and gas industry, focusing on high-quality resource plays in key areas such as the Delaware Basin, the Anadarko Basin, and the Eagle Ford Shale. The company is committed to sustainable practices and innovation, aiming to deliver long-term value for its shareholders through strategic investments in energy resources.
How the Company Makes MoneyDevon Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The company earns money by extracting hydrocarbons from its various production sites and selling them in the open market. Key revenue streams include the sale of produced oil and gas, which are influenced by market prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies. Additionally, Devon engages in hedging strategies to manage price volatility and protect its revenue. The company also benefits from partnerships and joint ventures with other energy firms, enabling shared resources and enhanced production capabilities. Factors such as geopolitical events, changes in regulatory policies, and market demand for energy commodities further impact Devon's earnings.

Devon Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Oil Production
Total Oil Production
Measures the total volume of oil extracted, reflecting Devon Energy's operational scale and its ability to capitalize on market demand.
Chart InsightsDevon Energy's total oil production has seen a significant upward trend since mid-2024, peaking at the end of the year. This surge likely reflects strategic operational enhancements or new project completions. Despite a slight dip in early 2025, production remains robust, suggesting sustained operational efficiency. The absence of earnings call commentary leaves the reasons for this growth speculative, but the trend indicates strong production capabilities that could bolster future revenue and investor confidence.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Devon Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Devon Energy's earnings call reflected significant operational achievements and financial performance, with strong production and capital efficiency driving shareholder returns. However, challenges with non-oil realizations and operational complexities in the Eagle Ford were noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Production Outperformance and Capital Reduction
Devon exceeded the top end of production guidance and reduced capital spending by 7% below expectations, generating Q2 free cash flow of $589 million.
Operational Efficiencies in Key Basins
In the Delaware Basin, drilling costs improved by 12% and completion costs by 15% year-over-year. Similar momentum was seen in the Williston and Eagle Ford basins, with significant cost savings per well.
Strong Financial Performance and Shareholder Returns
Core earnings were $0.84 per share, EBITDAX was $1.8 billion, and operating cash flow was $1.5 billion. Approximately 70% of the free cash flow was returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
Strategic Midstream Transactions
Devon completed the sale of the Matterhorn Pipeline and acquired the remaining noncontrolling interest in Cotton Draw Midstream, enhancing financial position and operational support.
Tax Legislation Benefits
New federal legislation is expected to reduce Devon's current tax rate to 10% for 2025, adding nearly $300 million in projected cash flow for the year.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Non-Oil Realizations
NGLs and local gas prices have continued to be a headwind, affecting non-oil realizations despite strong oil performance.
Operational Challenges in the Eagle Ford
Post-JV dissolution, Devon faces higher operational challenges in the Eagle Ford, particularly in areas requiring additional casing strings.
Company Guidance
During Devon Energy's Second Quarter 2025 conference call, the company provided a comprehensive update on its financial performance and strategic initiatives. Devon delivered core earnings of $0.84 per share and generated EBITDAX of $1.8 billion, with operating cash flow reaching $1.5 billion. The company exceeded the top end of its production guidance, driven by strong performance in the Delaware Basin, and achieved capital spending 7% below guidance. Devon returned approximately 70% of its $589 million in free cash flow to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases, maintaining its commitment to delivering long-term shareholder value. The company also highlighted its progress toward a $1 billion annual free cash flow optimization plan, achieving 40% of this target within four months. Furthermore, Devon reduced its 2025 capital guidance by 10% while continuously leveraging technology to drive operational efficiencies. The company completed significant midstream transactions, including the sale of the Matterhorn Pipeline and the acquisition of the remaining interest in Cotton Draw Midstream, which are expected to bolster its financial position and support future growth.

Devon Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Devon Energy shows strong gross and EBITDA margins, indicating efficient operations. However, challenges such as declining net profit margins and negative free cash flow could impact future liquidity. The balance sheet is stable with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio, but the decrease in return on equity suggests a need for strategic improvements.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Devon Energy's income statement reflects a strong gross profit margin of 56.29% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased slightly to 17.30% TTM from 24.56% in 2023, suggesting some pressure on profitability. Revenue growth is modest at 1.28% TTM, following a decline in 2023, which could indicate market challenges. The EBIT margin is negative TTM, highlighting operational challenges, but the EBITDA margin remains robust at 47.41% TTM, showing strong core earnings potential.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60 TTM, reflecting a stable capital structure. Return on equity is healthy at 19.49% TTM, although it has decreased from 31.07% in 2023, indicating reduced profitability on equity. The equity ratio stands at 47.98% TTM, suggesting a balanced approach to financing with equity and debt.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant challenge with free cash flow, which is negative TTM, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.49 TTM, showing good cash generation relative to earnings. However, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.23 TTM highlights the need for improved cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.75B15.57B15.14B19.83B13.75B4.35B
Gross Profit4.32B4.27B5.20B8.97B5.21B-252.00M
EBITDA7.81B7.43B7.57B10.38B5.42B-1.36B
Net Income2.84B2.89B3.75B6.01B2.78B-2.68B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets31.39B30.49B24.49B23.72B21.02B9.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.76B846.00M875.00M1.45B2.10B2.05B
Total Debt8.99B9.20B6.45B6.70B6.73B4.54B
Total Liabilities16.10B15.79B12.27B12.43B11.63B6.89B
Stockholders Equity15.06B14.50B12.06B11.17B9.26B2.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.19B-853.00M2.60B3.40B2.89B193.00M
Operating Cash Flow5.27B6.60B6.54B8.53B4.90B1.35B
Investing Cash Flow-6.19B-7.33B-3.94B-5.12B-1.57B-646.00M
Financing Cash Flow989.58M706.00M-3.18B-4.21B-3.29B-306.00M

Devon Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price32.01
Price Trends
50DMA
34.20
Negative
100DMA
33.61
Negative
200DMA
33.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.59
Positive
RSI
40.17
Neutral
STOCH
23.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DVN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 32.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.02, below the 50-day MA of 34.20, and below the 200-day MA of 33.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DVN.

Devon Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$32.33B17.808.19%1.20%64.84%219.47%
$110.08B11.8215.88%3.54%2.45%-17.08%
$41.15B10.2113.55%2.74%51.78%-27.29%
$20.32B7.1820.60%2.94%10.98%-19.25%
$17.86B11.1911.42%3.72%16.56%20.21%
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
$40.07B23.846.98%2.31%-1.66%-58.96%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DVN
Devon Energy
32.49
-4.79
-12.85%
CTRA
Coterra Energy
23.66
1.72
7.84%
COP
Conocophillips
88.14
-16.33
-15.63%
EQT
EQT
53.58
18.43
52.43%
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
41.20
-7.36
-15.16%
FANG
Diamondback
143.19
-28.09
-16.40%

Devon Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Devon Energy Appoints Brent Smolik to Board
Neutral
Oct 2, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Devon Energy Corporation appointed Brent J. Smolik to its Board of Directors. Mr. Smolik will serve on several key committees and has entered into the standard indemnity agreement for non-management directors. He will also receive compensation in line with other non-management directors, including an award of restricted stock valued at $154,384, which will vest immediately after the grant date.

The most recent analyst rating on (DVN) stock is a Buy with a $52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Devon Energy stock, see the DVN Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Devon Energy to Announce Q3 2025 Earnings and Host Investor Call
Positive
Sep 24, 2025

Devon Energy announced it will release its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 5, followed by a conference call on November 6 to address questions from analysts and investors. This announcement reflects Devon’s ongoing commitment to transparency and engagement with stakeholders, as it continues to focus on delivering strong financial performance and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (DVN) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Devon Energy stock, see the DVN Stock Forecast page.

Devon Energy’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Performance
Sep 1, 2025

Devon Energy’s recent earnings call showcased a positive sentiment, highlighting substantial operational achievements and robust financial performance. The company demonstrated strong production and capital efficiency, which are driving significant shareholder returns. Despite these successes, challenges were noted, particularly with non-oil realizations and operational complexities in the Eagle Ford region.

Business Operations and Strategy
Devon Energy CEO to Engage in Barclays Energy Conference
Neutral
Aug 20, 2025

Devon Energy announced that its President and CEO, Clay Gaspar, will participate in a fireside chat at the Barclays 39th Annual CEO Energy & Power Conference. This participation underscores Devon’s active engagement with industry stakeholders and provides an opportunity to discuss its strategic priorities and market positioning. The event will be webcast live, allowing broader access to insights on Devon’s operations and future outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (DVN) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Devon Energy stock, see the DVN Stock Forecast page.

Devon Energy Reports Strong Q2 Results and Strategic Moves
Aug 7, 2025

Devon Energy is a leading U.S. oil and gas producer with a diversified portfolio, prominently featuring a significant presence in the Delaware Basin, and is known for its disciplined cash-return business model.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Devon Energy Reports Q2 2025 Results and Declares Dividend
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

Devon Energy reported its second-quarter 2025 financial and operational results, alongside declaring a quarterly dividend and updating its 2025 outlook. The announcement highlights the company’s continued focus on generating free cash flow and returning capital to shareholders, which is likely to reinforce its market position and provide assurance to stakeholders about its financial health and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (DVN) stock is a Buy with a $55.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Devon Energy stock, see the DVN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025