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Devon Energy (DVN)
NYSE:DVN

Devon Energy (DVN) AI Stock Analysis

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Devon Energy

(NYSE:DVN)

78Outperform
Devon Energy demonstrates robust financial performance with strong profitability and effective operational management. The technical indicators show positive momentum, and the valuation metrics suggest the stock is undervalued. The latest earnings call provided a positive outlook, with significant free cash flow generation and operational improvements. Despite some macroeconomic challenges, the company is strategically positioned to optimize business operations and deliver shareholder value.
Positive Factors
Business Optimization
A business optimization plan has been introduced to save $1 billion by year-end 2026, with 40% of the goal expected to be achieved this year.
Debt Reduction
Devon Energy sold their stake in Matterhorn Pipeline for $375 million, with proceeds going towards short-term debt reduction.
Oil Production
DVN reported solid results with a beat across key financial metrics driven by higher-than-expected oil production volumes on lower capital expenditure.
Negative Factors
Commodity Prices
The market would still like to hear a Plan B if commodity prices fall from current levels.
Market Expectations
Despite improvements in guidance and outlook, the update is viewed as mixed relative to market expectations, indicating potential near-term pressure on the stock.
Real Estate Impairment
The divestment of real estate properties resulted in an impairment of $254 million.

Devon Energy (DVN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Devon Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDevon Energy Corporation (DVN) is a leading independent energy company engaged primarily in the exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, Devon operates in several key oil and gas producing regions in the United States. The company's core assets are located in the Delaware Basin, Eagle Ford, Anadarko Basin, and the Powder River Basin, where it employs advanced drilling and production techniques to optimize resource extraction. Devon Energy is committed to operational excellence and sustainability, with a focus on delivering value to its shareholders through efficient resource management and strategic growth initiatives.
How the Company Makes MoneyDevon Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids that it extracts from its operational basins. The company's revenue model is heavily influenced by commodity prices, production volume, and operational efficiency. Key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil, which constitutes the largest portion of its revenues, and the sale of natural gas and natural gas liquids. Devon also engages in hedging activities to mitigate the impact of price volatility in the energy markets. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures in its operational regions further enhance its capacity to optimize production and expand its asset base, thereby contributing to its earnings. Additionally, the company focuses on cost management and technological innovation to improve its margins and drive profitability.

Devon Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Devon Energy demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency with solid EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, a declining net profit margin and increasing leverage from a moderate debt-to-equity ratio present cautionary notes. The company maintains effective cash flow management, supporting investment and operations, but must focus on profitability margins and debt levels for long-term stability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Devon Energy has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from 2023 to 2024. The company boasts a high gross profit margin, indicative of good production efficiency. However, the net profit margin has seen a decline, suggesting rising costs or other financial pressures. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting operational efficiency despite fluctuating net income.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which has increased slightly, potentially indicating growing leverage risks. The return on equity is positive, suggesting effective utilization of equity capital. However, the equity ratio indicates a balanced but not overly conservative capital structure, with room for improvement in equity financing.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Devon Energy has shown consistent free cash flow generation, with a positive growth rate over the recent period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating effective cash conversion from profits. While the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating good cash management, ongoing capital expenditures may affect future cash flows.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
15.94B15.14B19.17B12.21B4.83B
Gross Profit
15.94B5.20B8.37B3.68B392.00M
EBIT
10.70B2.34B8.07B3.31B-90.00M
EBITDA
7.37B7.57B10.38B5.42B-1.36B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.89B3.75B6.01B2.81B-2.54B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
846.00M875.00M1.45B2.27B2.24B
Total Assets
30.49B24.49B23.72B21.02B9.91B
Total Debt
9.20B6.48B6.70B6.73B4.54B
Net Debt
8.36B5.58B5.24B4.46B2.31B
Total Liabilities
15.79B12.27B12.43B11.63B6.89B
Stockholders Equity
14.50B12.06B11.17B9.26B2.88B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.96B2.60B3.40B2.89B193.00M
Operating Cash Flow
6.60B6.54B8.53B4.90B1.35B
Investing Cash Flow
-7.33B-3.94B-5.12B-1.57B-646.00M
Financing Cash Flow
706.00M-3.18B-4.21B-3.29B-306.00M

Devon Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.96
Price Trends
50DMA
32.78
Positive
100DMA
33.63
Positive
200DMA
36.73
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.30
Negative
RSI
59.81
Neutral
STOCH
85.52
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DVN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.39, above the 50-day MA of 32.78, and below the 200-day MA of 36.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DVN.

Devon Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ECEC
79
Outperform
$17.81B5.2218.64%11.50%-2.26%-20.04%
DVDVN
78
Outperform
$21.54B7.6320.88%3.65%12.06%-16.37%
WDWDS
76
Outperform
$25.58B7.1510.23%8.31%-0.93%115.30%
72
Outperform
$18.42B14.099.40%3.43%10.33%-0.13%
HAHAL
70
Outperform
$18.32B8.9320.99%3.19%-2.54%-17.53%
VLVLO
68
Neutral
$40.87B46.013.73%3.21%-8.44%-85.95%
56
Neutral
$7.27B3.51-4.45%5.66%0.09%-52.20%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DVN
Devon Energy
33.96
-14.17
-29.44%
CTRA
Coterra Energy
24.98
-2.14
-7.89%
EC
Ecopetrol SA
8.64
-1.55
-15.21%
HAL
Halliburton
21.23
-15.27
-41.84%
VLO
Valero Energy
134.32
-18.85
-12.31%
WDS
Woodside Energy Group
14.29
-3.03
-17.49%

Devon Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 11.02%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Devon Energy had a strong first quarter with significant free cash flow generation, operational improvements, and increased shareholder returns. However, they remain cautious about the macroeconomic environment and have higher capital expenditure in certain areas. Overall, the company is well-positioned to handle market challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
Devon Energy generated $1 billion of free cash flow in Q1 2025, marking the highest level since Q3 2022. This was driven by exceeding oil production guidance and disciplined capital investment, achieving a 50% reinvestment rate.
Improved Operational Efficiencies
Significant operational improvements were achieved, including a 12% increase in completion efficiencies through Simulfrac, a 7% increase in drilling speeds, and a 40% increase in drilling speeds for Devon-operated pads post-BPX partnership dissolution.
Increased Shareholder Returns
Devon Energy distributed $464 million through dividends and share repurchases in Q1 2025, hitting the upper end of their target buyback range and bringing the total value of their buyback program to $3.6 billion.
Successful Partnership Dissolution
The partnership with BPX in the Blackhawk field was successfully dissolved, allowing Devon to assume operations and achieve significant drilling improvements and cost reductions.
Robust Financial Performance
Devon reported core earnings of $779 million or $1.21 per share, with EBITDAX at $2.1 billion and operating cash flow of $1.9 billion, exceeding consensus estimates.
Negative Updates
Potential Macroeconomic Challenges
The macroeconomic environment remains challenging with flat oil price futures around $60. Devon is closely monitoring the situation and prepared to take action if prices fall to the low $50s.
Higher Capital Expenditure in the Rockies
The Rockies program, particularly the Powder River Basin, has higher capital expenditure due to its early development stage and focus on the Niobrara, which could affect corporate capital efficiency.
Company Guidance
During Devon Energy's First Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and future strategies. Devon reported oil production that exceeded the upper limit of their guidance, reaching 388,000 barrels per day, and generated $1 billion in free cash flow for the quarter. The company plans to deliver an additional $1 billion in annual free cash flow by the end of 2026 through business optimization efforts. These efforts include reducing 2025 full-year capital by $100 million while maintaining productive capacity. Devon's capital allocation strategy resulted in $464 million returned to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. For the remainder of 2025, Devon expects to produce between 382,000 and 388,000 barrels of oil per day and maintain a capital investment range of $3.7 billion to $3.9 billion. The company is focused on operational excellence, with improvements in drilling speeds and completion efficiencies contributing to their performance. Additionally, Devon plans to use excess free cash flow to enhance liquidity and reduce debt, with a business optimization initiative expected to yield $1 billion in pre-tax free cash flow improvements by 2027.

Devon Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Devon Energy Board Member John Krenicki Jr. to Retire
Neutral
Mar 5, 2025

On March 4, 2025, John Krenicki Jr. announced his decision to retire from the Board of Directors of Devon Energy Corporation at the end of his current term and will not seek re-election at the 2025 annual meeting of stockholders. His decision to retire is not due to any disagreement with the company.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.