Skip to main content
TipRanks
Go Ultimate75% OFF

DAIKIN (DKILY) AI Stock Analysis

66 Followers
DKILY

DAIKIN

(Other OTC:DKILY)

Select Model
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:$16.00â–²(8.94% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:11/13/26

The overall score of 68 reflects a resilient, high-quality industrial company. The primary strength is its robust financial health, characterized by a strong balance sheet and solid profitability. This is offset by significant technical headwinds, as overbought momentum indicators suggest the recent price surge may be unsustainable in the short term. The valuation is fair but not compelling, adding a neutral influence to the final assessment.

Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue GrowthRevenue expansion across FY2022 through FY2026, with positive TTM growth, indicates sustained demand for Daikin’s products across its markets. Continued top-line progress can support operating scale, fund investment, and reinforce the company’s competitive position over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression and Slower GrowthMild margin compression and slower growth indicate that Daikin’s recent expansion is becoming less powerful than during the post-2022 rebound. If this trend persists, revenue growth will contribute less to earnings and the company may have less operating leverage to support future profitability.

DAIKIN (DKILY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%DKILY+18.84%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$42.93B
Dividend Yield
1.50%
Average Volume (3M)
285.71K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
23.4
Beta (1Y)
0.36
Revenue Growth
8.72%
EPS Growth
0.90%
Country
US
Employees
104,095
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

DAIKIN Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Daikin Industries, Ltd., a global enterprise headquartered in Osaka, Japan, and established in 1924, is primarily engaged in the development, manufacturing, and worldwide distribution of a diverse array of products. Its core business revolves around...

DAIKIN Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026(Q1-2026)|% Change Since:-1.28%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented a mixed picture: Q1 delivered encouraging profit improvement (10% operating margin), successful absorption of the immediate tariff hit (JPY7.5 billion) through price and cost actions, DNA margin gains and targeted growth in high value-added products and specific chemical applications. However, demand headwinds persist—weak US housing market, elevated distribution inventories, notable declines in the chemicals business, ASEAN slowdown and weak heat pump recovery in Europe—which create uncertainty around volume recovery and the full-year outlook. Management is shifting to profit-oriented budget discipline, believes the full-year tariff impact will be less than previously guided (JPY47 billion), and is accelerating cost, price and operational measures. Overall, the positives on profitability and management action balance the significant demand and inventory challenges, leading to cautious optimism but remaining risks to volume-driven growth.

Positive Updates

Record Operating Profit Margin and Tariff Absorption
Achieved an operating profit margin of 10% in Q1, exceeding the company's internal plan. The direct negative impact of US tariff measures in Q1 was approximately JPY7.5 billion on an operating profit basis and was fully absorbed by price increases (~JPY5.0 billion) and cost reductions (~JPY2.5 billion). Management is aiming for operating profit to further exceed the annual plan of JPY435 billion.

Negative Updates

Sluggish US Housing Market and Industry Weakness
Industry manufacturer shipments in the US are estimated at about 84%–85% in Q1, reflecting weak demand in the residential market. DNA experienced an 8-point negative impact from volume. Company and market distribution inventories of residential products in the US remain high, weighing on near-term demand recovery.

Company Guidance

Management guided that Q1 momentum and countermeasures should allow operating profit to further exceed the annual plan of JPY435.0 billion, noting Q1 operating profit margin was 10% (sales slightly below plan but profit slightly above), and that the direct Q1 tariff hit of ~JPY7.5 billion was fully absorbed by selling price increases (~JPY5.0 billion) and cost reductions (~JPY2.5 billion); the previously announced fiscal‑year tariff impact of JPY47.0 billion is now expected to be less than JPY47.0 billion and will be mitigated by further price increases, cost cuts and supply adjustments. Key metrics cited include air‑conditioning real YoY sales by region: Europe 102%, China 93%, Americas 104%, Asia 90%; chemicals real YoY sales: Americas 115%, China 95%, Europe 99%; DNA sales at 113% (local currency) with an 11% operating margin (up 2ppt YoY), DAA margin 9%, China residential multi‑split sales 99% YoY, European heat‑pump heating sales 110% YoY, Win‑Back progress ~45% at end‑June, industry shipments in the US at ~84–85% in Q1, inventories slightly up YoY but slightly below internal plan, and no changes to full‑year capex, depreciation or R&D plans.

DAIKIN Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Daikin's financial foundation is solid, marked by a conservative balance sheet with declining leverage and consistent gross margins of 33-34%. However, operating margins are compressing, and free cash flow growth is highly volatile, which tempers the overall score.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

65Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.87T4.75T5.32T4.40T3.98T3.11T
Gross Profit1.66T1.63T1.78T1.51T1.33T1.06T
EBITDA675.86B665.14B732.88B645.76B559.26B464.41B
Net Income275.42B264.76B291.83B260.31B257.75B217.71B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.67T5.13T5.83T4.88T4.30T3.82T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments986.38B802.66B937.53B737.96B617.66B817.62B
Total Debt948.63B986.85B1.10T968.18B887.63B824.81B
Total Liabilities2.45T2.27T2.50T2.19T2.02T1.82T
Stockholders Equity3.16T2.81T3.27T2.64T2.24T1.97T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow235.58B268.46B272.25B156.93B-16.18B130.97B
Operating Cash Flow441.08B514.45B493.94B399.57B158.90B245.07B
Investing Cash Flow-262.93B-337.41B-336.99B-227.19B-229.79B-180.79B
Financing Cash Flow-121.56B-153.47B-170.49B-129.62B-113.09B-48.70B

DAIKIN Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price14.69

Price Trends

50DMA13.47Positive
100DMA13.92Positive
200DMA13.69Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.29Negative
RSI77.81Negative
STOCH100.24Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DKILY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.74, above the 50-day MA of 13.47, and above the 200-day MA of 13.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.81 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DKILY.

DAIKIN Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

DKILY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TTTT71Outperform$92.82B29.3936.01%0.98%10.34%8.80%
MODMOD69Neutral$5.64B56.7610.96%―35.08%-31.08%
DKILYDKILY68Neutral$42.59B23.379.28%1.50%8.72%0.90%
LIILII66Neutral$11.91B16.2760.10%1.51%1.92%-9.14%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
CARRCARR61Neutral$44.48B-24.56-14.28%1.77%3.33%-187.15%
AAONAAON58Neutral$6.50B33.3020.13%0.50%72.27%102.41%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%DKILYAAONTTLIIMODCARRDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
DKILY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DKILYDaikin Industries, Ltd. Unsponsored ADR14.691.8414.34%
AAONAaon Inc80.25-11.31-12.35%
TTTrane Technologies Plc417.998.061.97%
LIILennox International352.02-102.50-22.55%
MODModine Manufacturing135.6611.399.16%
CARRCarrier Global Corp.54.201.903.63%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2026