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Dine Brands Global
(NYSE:DIN)
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Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$27.00
▼(-23.79% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/06/26
The score is primarily held down by weak financial quality: sharply reduced profitability, negative equity, and a steep TTM free-cash-flow decline that elevates leverage and funding risk. Technical indicators also point to a bearish trend (below key moving averages with negative MACD), despite oversold readings. Valuation is challenging with a high P/E, partly balanced by a moderate dividend yield. The latest earnings call supports the outlook via maintained guidance and operational initiatives, but near-term cash flow and cost pressures remain a key overhang.
Positive Factors
Franchise-based model
The predominantly franchised model allows Dine Brands to monetize established restaurant systems without operating a large company-owned fleet. Royalties tied to franchisee sales, alongside development and service fees, can support scalable revenue and reduce direct restaurant-level exposure over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Negative equity and leverage
Persistent negative equity combined with sizable debt reduces financial flexibility and makes the capital structure more vulnerable to operating setbacks. In a cyclical consumer business, this can constrain investment choices, increase refinancing exposure and leave less capacity to absorb prolonged pressure on restaurant sales.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Franchise-based model
The predominantly franchised model allows Dine Brands to monetize established restaurant systems without operating a large company-owned fleet. Royalties tied to franchisee sales, alongside development and service fees, can support scalable revenue and reduce direct restaurant-level exposure over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Dine Brands Global (DIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$357.37M
Dividend Yield3.82%
Average Volume (3M)246.19K
Price to Earnings (P/E)55.5
Beta (1Y)1.08
Revenue Growth6.44%
EPS Growth-82.92%
CountryUS
Employees992
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.51
Shares Outstanding12,659,150
10 Day Avg. Volume230,268
30 Day Avg. Volume246,192
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.39
Price to Book (P/B)-1.70
Price to Sales (P/S)0.53
P/FCF Ratio8.70
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$37.67Price Target Upside6.31% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)4.28
Revenue Forecast (FY)$955.75M
Dine Brands Global Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Dine Brands Global, Inc., along with its associated entities, manages a portfolio of full-service dining establishments, utilizing various models including direct ownership, franchising agreements, operational oversight, and property leasing, both...
How the Company Makes Money
Dine Brands Global makes money primarily through a franchise-based model tied to the Applebee’s and IHOP brands. Its core revenue streams typically include: (1) Franchise royalties: ongoing fees (generally calculated as a percentage of restaurant ...
Dine Brands Global Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced meaningful operational progress and strategic momentum (IHOP outperformance, Applebee's remodel and off-premise strength, dual-brand rollouts, share repurchases and cost-savings) with notable near-term financial headwinds (sharp decline in adjusted free cash flow, elevated CapEx, increased G&A and commodity inflation, Applebee's same-store sales decline and company-owned portfolio drag). Management maintained full-year guidance and emphasized that many of the negatives are transitory investments to drive long-term growth, suggesting cautious optimism.Positive Updates
Total Revenue Growth and Maintained Guidance
Total revenues increased 4.4% year-over-year to $240.9 million in Q2 2026 (vs. $230.8 million), and management is maintaining full-year financial guidance.
Negative Updates
Applebee's Same‑Restaurant Sales Decline
Applebee's domestic same-restaurant sales declined -1.8% in Q2 2026, with traffic down (challenging April comparison against a strong prior-year promotion cited as a driver).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Total Revenue Growth and Maintained Guidance
Total revenues increased 4.4% year-over-year to $240.9 million in Q2 2026 (vs. $230.8 million), and management is maintaining full-year financial guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management said they are maintaining full‑year financial guidance and expect to remain within the range (potentially toward the lower end) despite Q2 noise from company‑owned turnarounds and one‑time G&A items; Q2 metrics include adjusted EBITDA of $54.2M (vs. $56.2M LY), adjusted diluted EPS of $1.16 (vs. $1.17), total revenues up 4.4% to $240.9M, and Q2 CapEx of $23.2M (vs. $9.3M LY), while adjusted free cash flow was $3.7M for the first six months (vs. $48.7M LY) and unrestricted cash finished Q2 at $97.5M; supporting the outlook they noted actions reducing costs (>$12M of annualized savings), commodity guidance from CSCS at mid‑single digits for Applebee’s and low single digits for IHOP, ongoing remodel/dual‑brand investment (Applebee’s 66 remodels YTD, >100 planned; dual‑brand target 80 by year‑end with 45 open), and capital return activity (Q2 $9M returned — $7M buybacks, $2M dividends; YTD $29M repurchased, ~7% of shares; Board authorized up to $100M more).Dine Brands Global Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
35
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 899.84M | 879.30M | 812.31M | 831.07M | 909.40M | 896.17M |
| Gross Profit | 345.26M | 350.80M | 375.31M | 396.68M | 377.36M | 375.23M |
| EBITDA | 93.94M | 73.10M | 200.84M | 217.38M | 213.69M | 225.10M |
| Net Income | 6.69M | 17.10M | 64.89M | 97.18M | 81.11M | 97.86M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.77B | 1.74B | 1.79B | 1.74B | 1.88B | 2.00B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 97.50M | 128.20M | 186.70M | 146.03M | 269.65M | 361.41M |
| Total Debt | 1.69B | 1.60B | 1.60B | 1.59B | 1.74B | 1.77B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.06B | 2.01B | 2.01B | 1.99B | 2.18B | 2.24B |
| Stockholders Equity | -292.00M | -273.80M | -216.02M | -250.97M | -301.08M | -242.81M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 191.00K | 53.40M | 94.09M | 93.97M | 54.02M | 178.99M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 63.30M | 89.00M | 108.16M | 131.14M | 89.34M | 195.84M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -43.12M | -31.60M | -8.45M | -30.10M | -80.90M | 3.86M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -139.39M | -104.30M | -51.70M | -225.44M | -108.80M | -230.40M |
Dine Brands Global Technical Analysis
Negative
35.43
Price Trends
34.52
Negative
32.53
Negative
32.00
Negative
Market Momentum
-1.56
Positive
24.22
Positive
3.05
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DIN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 35.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.09, above the 50-day MA of 34.52, and above the 200-day MA of 32.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 24.22 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.05 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DIN.
Dine Brands Global Risk Analysis
Dine Brands Global disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dine Brands Global reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Dine Brands Global Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $458.32M | 12.86 | 11.68% | 15.42% | 4.40% | 39.48% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
60 Neutral | $400.79M | 20.12 | -187.25% | 4.59% | 12.44% | -15.97% | |
53 Neutral | $311.37M | 20.44 | 2.95% | ― | 2.89% | -58.76% | |
52 Neutral | $281.17M | 8.49 | -3.65% | 5.73% | -20.21% | ― | |
44 Neutral | $357.37M | 55.47 | -2.46% | 3.82% | 6.44% | -82.92% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
DIN
Dine Brands Global
28.29
4.62
19.50%
JACK
Jack In The Box
14.78
-4.81
-24.55%
NATH
Nathan's Famous
97.97
-5.79
-5.58%
LOCO
El Pollo LoCo
15.18
5.04
49.70%
PTLO
Portillo's
4.09
-1.97
-32.51%
Dine Brands Global Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Dine Brands Global Declares Third-Quarter Cash Dividend
Positive
Sep 4, 2026
On September 4, 2026, Dine Brands Global, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors had declared a third-quarter cash dividend of $0.19 per share for common stock. The dividend is scheduled to be paid on October 9, 2026 to shareholders of record ...
Executive/Board Changes
Dine Brands Director Howard Berk Announces Retirement
Neutral
Aug 27, 2026
On August 25, 2026, Dine Brands Global, Inc. announced that director Howard M. Berk notified the Board he will retire, effective September 3, 2026. The company stated that Berk’s retirement stems from no disagreement with management, operati...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.