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ProCredit Holding AG (PCZ) AI Stock Analysis

21 Followers
DE:PCZ

ProCredit Holding AG

(XETRA:PCZ)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:EUR 9.50▼(-5.00% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/12/26

The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—especially sustained negative operating/free cash flow and a sharp increase in debt—partly offset by improved profitability trends. Valuation is a key positive (low P/E and high dividend yield), and the latest earnings call was supportive with stronger operating momentum and improved guidance. Technicals add a modest tailwind with price trading above key moving averages and neutral-to-positive momentum.

Positive Factors
Loan and Client GrowthStrong growth across micro, small-enterprise, consumer and retail lending is expanding the group’s earning-asset base and client relationships. Broad-based momentum supports future interest income, while the upgraded guidance indicates management expects this growth engine to remain durable.
Negative Factors
Higher LeverageThe sharp debt increase materially changes the group’s recent leverage profile despite steadily growing equity. Greater reliance on debt can reduce financial flexibility, increase funding sensitivity, and make it harder to absorb adverse credit or macroeconomic conditions.

ProCredit Holding AG (PCZ) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%DE:PCZ+51.88%EWG+9.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
EUR 588.98M
Dividend Yield
4.70%
Average Volume (3M)
56.18K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.2
Beta (1Y)
1.18
Revenue Growth
9.51%
EPS Growth
21.92%
Country
Germany
Employees
4,609
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Diversified

ProCredit Holding AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ProCredit Holding AG & Co. KGaA, along with its group entities, delivers a full spectrum of commercial banking solutions, catering to both small and medium-sized businesses (SMEs) and individual clients. Its operations span across Europe, South Ameri...

ProCredit Holding AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:13.12%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive. Strong loan and client growth, net interest income and margin expansion, improving operating leverage, stronger profitability, stable early credit performance, upgraded guidance and solid capital levels significantly outweighed the stated challenges. The main negatives were lower fee income, higher operating costs, the timing shift and valuation effects related to the Ecuador divestment, elevated geopolitical and provisioning risks, and tax-rate uncertainty.

Positive Updates

Strong Loan Portfolio Growth
The loan portfolio grew by 11.9% year-to-date, with double-digit growth in almost all markets. Growth was strongest in higher-yielding micro and small enterprise and retail segments. Small-enterprise loans grew by more than 13%, the micro client portfolio grew by 39%, and consumer loans grew by more than 45%.

Negative Updates

Net Fee and Commission Income Declined
Net fee and commission income declined by EUR 2.8 million year-on-year during the first nine months. The decline was primarily attributed to the euro introduction in Bulgaria, which reduced foreign-exchange transaction income, and the broader availability of SEPA payments. Q3 net fee and commission income was EUR 24.2 million, although it modestly increased compared with previous quarters.

Company Guidance

For 2026, ProCredit narrowed continuing-operations loan portfolio growth guidance to “the upper end of the previous range at 14% to 15%,” expects the cost/income ratio to be “2 to 3 percentage points better than initially anticipated,” maintains return on equity guidance at “around 7%,” expects the CET1 ratio to be “between 12.5% and 13% at year-end,” and retains a dividend payout assumption of “1/3 of consolidated profit”; completion of the ProCredit Bank Ecuador divestment is now expected in 2027, with the negative valuation effect expected in 2026 and the positive currency translation reserve effect expected in 2027. Excluding special effects, underlying full-year ROE is expected to come in “slightly north of” the 7.9% reported for the first 9 months, while 2027 lending is expected to show “similar growth rates,” the year-to-date tax-rate run rate should apply to 2027, Ukraine’s tax rate is expected to remain “around 50%,” and there is potential for an uptick in Bulgaria; through 2029, the Group aims to grow the loan portfolio “beyond EUR 10 billion,” raise ROE to “around 13% to 14%,” and move the cost/income ratio “towards 57%.”

ProCredit Holding AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals: the income statement shows solid multi-year profitability improvement but a clear recent slowdown (sharp revenue decline and lower net income). Balance sheet risk increased due to a very large jump in total debt despite steady equity growth. Cash flow quality is a major weakness with negative operating and free cash flow in the last two years, raising reliance on external funding.

Income Statement

66Positive

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue507.30M750.83M692.08M625.68M478.44M390.74M
Gross Profit237.16M497.91M461.15M432.38M358.75M302.32M
EBITDA100.45M149.63M167.82M187.36M152.33M125.21M
Net Income74.98M83.50M104.31M113.37M16.50M79.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.93B11.60B10.75B9.75B8.83B8.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.83B2.17B2.16B2.35B1.94B1.55B
Total Debt1.39B1.32B377.80M313.03M309.98M460.62M
Total Liabilities10.84B10.52B9.70B8.77B7.96B7.36B
Stockholders Equity1.08B1.07B1.06B983.79M869.43M856.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0-141.13M-217.78M1.41M545.71M115.66M
Operating Cash Flow0-99.77M-176.75M29.26M566.94M133.15M
Investing Cash Flow0-823.09M-35.98M-22.42M-12.48M-13.44M
Financing Cash Flow0770.65M54.85M1.01B-1.30M-36.01M

ProCredit Holding AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price10.00

Price Trends

50DMA8.80Positive
100DMA8.57Positive
200DMA8.15Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.15Negative
RSI74.54Negative
STOCH83.26Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:PCZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.84, above the 50-day MA of 8.80, and above the 200-day MA of 8.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.54 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.26 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:PCZ.

ProCredit Holding AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

DE:PCZ against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
DE:DBKDE:DBK71OutperformEUR 60.83B8.6610.21%3.01%0.18%7.38%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
DE:PCZDE:PCZ65NeutralEUR 547.76M6.176.97%4.70%9.51%21.92%
DE:CBKDE:CBK56NeutralEUR 43.14B12.9910.03%2.76%0.50%32.22%
DE:UBKDE:UBK46NeutralEUR 148.61M-265.47-0.13%2.71%――
DE:GLJDE:GLJ41NeutralEUR 531.91M7.195.80%3.54%11.73%-4.18%
DE:PBBDE:PBB41NeutralEUR 375.19M-6.71-0.96%5.38%-20.56%76.04%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%DE:PCZDE:DBKDE:CBKDE:PBBDE:GLJDE:UBKDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
DE:PCZ and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:PCZProCredit Holding10.003.3049.32%
DE:DBKDeutsche Bank AG33.193.4611.63%
DE:CBKCommerzbank AG (UK)39.898.1725.75%
DE:PBBDeutsche Pfandbriefbank2.59-1.40-35.04%
DE:GLJGRENKE AG11.86-1.83-13.37%
DE:UBKUmweltBank AG3.690.030.74%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2026