Cracker Barrel (OLD) AI Stock Analysis

Cracker Barrel

(Frankfurt:OLD)

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Action:N/A

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Positive Factors

Differentiated Integrated FormatThe combination of full-service dining and an attached retail experience gives Cracker Barrel multiple ways to monetize each visit. Management’s emphasis on brand differentiation and retail alongside meals supports a business model that can sustain customer engagement beyond restaurant spending alone.

Negative Factors

Revenue and Profitability PressureA sustained period of stagnant revenue followed by a 2026 decline indicates that the business has not yet re-established consistent top-line momentum. Compressed operating profit reduces earnings resilience and makes future results more sensitive to sales recovery and cost control.

Cracker Barrel (OLD) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Market Cap: EUR 1.57B
Dividend Yield: 1.32%
Average Volume (3M): 143
Price to Earnings (P/E): 49.1
Beta (1Y): 1.11
Revenue Growth: -10.59%
EPS Growth: -37.30%
Country: Germany
Employees: 74,500
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Restaurants

Cracker Barrel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. develops and operates the Cracker Barrel Old Country Store concept in the United States. Its Cracker Barrel stores consist of restaurants with a gift shop. The company’s restaurants serve breakfast, lunch, and d...

Cracker Barrel Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 22, 2026(Q4-2026)|% Change Since:67.41%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 26, 2026

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive. Management highlighted improving operating trends, stronger guest and employee metrics, double-digit adjusted EBITDA growth, retail momentum, a strengthened balance sheet and a fiscal 2027 outlook for revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA of $180 million to $200 million. The main challenges were the Q4 restaurant sales and traffic declines, lower-income consumer softness, commodity inflation, higher labor expense, retail markdown pressure and specified legal, tariff and divestiture-related items.

Positive Updates

Positive Brand Positioning and Strong Guest Base

Management described Cracker Barrel as a highly differentiated, iconic brand with tremendous potential, a passionate guest base, a strong value equation and 75,000 talented and dedicated employees.

Negative Updates

Restaurant Comparable-Sales and Traffic Decline

Comparable-store restaurant sales decreased 2.1% in Q4, including a traffic decline of 6.1%. Management noted that the quarter was compared with a stronger prior-year quarter and that there was significant variability in the prior-year comparisons for Q3 and Q4.

Company Guidance

For fiscal ’27, Cracker Barrel expects total revenue of $3.325 billion to $3.4 billion, comparable store restaurant sales growth of approximately 3% to 5% with no new stores, total pricing of approximately 3% with pricing highest in Q1 and dropping sequentially each quarter, commodity inflation of approximately 3%, hourly wage inflation of approximately 2.5% to 3%, and full year adjusted EBITDA between $180 million and $200 million. On an adjusted basis, it anticipates a full year tax credit of $4 million to $8 million and capital expenditures between $110 million and $125 million, comprised of approximately 65% maintenance and 35% technology and other strategic initiatives; it is not opening any new units this year. Marketing spend is expected to be in that roughly 3% range, with the company willing to spend more if it can drive profitable guest growth.

Cracker Barrel Risk Analysis

Cracker Barrel disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cracker Barrel reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk

1.ITEM 5. Other InformationQ2, 2025

Cracker Barrel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

DE:OLD against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
DRI	77Outperform	$24.91B	21.38	55.90%	2.83%	8.10%	9.77%
EAT	74Outperform	$8.81B	18.26	122.98%	―	6.07%	16.71%
BJRI	67Neutral	$1.33B	32.05	10.97%	―	3.54%	56.84%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
BLMN	55Neutral	$905.01M	33.03	7.35%	1.42%	-2.05%	―
DIN	50Neutral	$449.53M	69.63	-2.46%	2.14%	6.44%	-82.92%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

DE:OLD and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
DE:OLD	Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	64.52	37.02	134.60%
BJRI	BJ's Restaurants	62.53	28.57	84.13%
EAT	Brinker International	212.18	107.13	101.98%
DRI	Darden Restaurants, Inc.	220.17	48.07	27.93%
DIN	Dine Brands	35.51	11.94	50.65%
BLMN	Bloomin' Brands	10.57	3.81	56.36%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Cracker Barrel AI Stock Analysis