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Yara International (IU20) AI Stock Analysis

DE:IU20

Yara International

(Frankfurt:IU20)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Earnings RecoveryThe rebound in profitability shows that Yara can restore earnings power when fertilizer spreads and operating conditions improve. Stronger margins and returns support internal funding, reinforce the company’s competitive position, and provide a healthier base for performance over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Commodity-Cycle ExposureYara’s earnings remain sensitive to the spread between fertilizer prices and natural-gas costs, so stronger recent results may not be fully durable across the cycle. This commodity exposure can create substantial volatility in margins, returns, and cash generation even with effective internal execution.

Yara International (IU20) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%DE:IU20+23.36%EWG+4.43%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 21.72B
Dividend Yield
5.40%
Average Volume (3M)
485
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.7
Beta (1Y)
0.25
Revenue Growth
6.70%
EPS Growth
88.15%
Country
Germany
Employees
15,702
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Agricultural Inputs

Yara International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Yara International ASA engages in the production, distribution, and sale of fertilizers. It operates through the following segments: Europe, Americas, Africa and Asia, Global Plants and Operational Excellence, Clean Ammonia, and Industrial Solutions....

Yara International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-0.53%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented a mixed picture. Yara highlighted stronger underlying returns, 31% year-to-date EPS growth, disciplined costs, resilient cash flow, improving European nitrate performance, and progress toward its EBITDA improvement targets. However, third-quarter EBITDA and EPS declined, higher European gas costs pressured margins, demand and purchasing remained delayed in several markets, and reliability issues continued to constrain production and program realization. The positive operational and strategic developments were broadly balanced by current earnings and market challenges.

Positive Updates

Positive Return on Invested Capital
12-month return on invested capital was 13.5%, compared with 8% at the same time last year. Management said the 2025 cost program and USD 60 million of 2026 year-to-date EBITDA improvements contributed approximately 1.5 percentage points to ROIC.

Negative Updates

Quarterly EBITDA and EPS Decline
Third-quarter EBITDA excluding special items was USD 675 million, down from USD 804 million in the third quarter of 2025, a decline of approximately 16%. EPS was USD 0.95 per share, down from USD 1.33, a decline of approximately 29%.

Company Guidance

Yara said its EBITDA improvement program remains on track, with USD 60 million delivered so far in 2026, a target of USD 200 million EBITDA uplift by the end of 2027 and an additional USD 150 million by the end of 2030, or USD 350 million by 2030; the bulk of the outstanding improvements is linked to production or production increases, mainly in the production area toward the end of 2027. The company can curtail up to 1 million tonne of its European ammonia production per year, with curtailments rising from 150,000 tonnes in Q3 to 270,000 tonnes today; at a current run rate of 270,000 tonnes of ammonia, $36 million MBtu per ton of ammonia and fourth quarter gas cost of $24 per MBtu, this gives $230 million in gas cost avoidance just there. Yara does not guide on volumes or provide a quarter-by-quarter forecast for improvements, is hopeful the Gulf Coast Ammonia acquisition will close in Q4, and remains committed to a strong balance sheet and a mid-investment-grade credit rating.

Yara International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

DE:IU20 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CFCF80Outperform$18.66B9.1240.41%1.70%20.04%76.29%
UANUAN75Outperform$1.34B8.3651.56%11.42%17.47%82.16%
IPIIPI73Outperform$424.96M15.815.27%―4.20%―
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
ICLICL60Neutral$5.91B18.765.02%4.50%10.92%-16.91%
MOSMOS43Neutral$5.85B91.950.36%4.79%8.84%-167.87%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%75%DE:IU20CFUANIPIMOSICLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
DE:IU20 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:IU20Yara International (ADR)18.803.6624.15%
CFCf Industries Holdings, Inc.123.3040.6049.10%
UANCVR Partners LP126.7639.8345.81%
IPIIntrepid Potash Inc31.585.3020.17%
MOSMosaic Co18.39-7.90-30.06%
ICLIcl Group Ltd.4.58-1.77-27.85%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.