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Tapestry (COY) AI Stock Analysis

DE:COY

Tapestry

(XETRA:COY)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Profitability and Margin ExpansionThe sharp rebound in profitability and sustained gross-margin improvement indicate stronger pricing, mix, and operating execution. Higher margins can create durable earnings leverage because incremental revenue is converted more efficiently, supporting reinvestment in brands, stores, technology, and customer acquisition.
Negative Factors
Elevated LeverageThe substantially more leveraged capital structure reduces financial flexibility and makes shareholder outcomes more sensitive to earnings declines. A thinner equity cushion can amplify downside, while sustained debt increases exposure to refinancing conditions and limits the capacity to absorb prolonged operating weakness.

Tapestry (COY) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%DE:COY+15.63%EWG+6.61%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
EUR 23.96B
Dividend Yield
1.34%
Average Volume (3M)
56
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.1
Beta (1Y)
0.92
Revenue Growth
6.32%
EPS Growth
710.59%
Country
Germany
Employees
19,000
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Luxury Goods

Tapestry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tapestry, Inc. is a prominent global fashion house specializing in premium accessories and distinct lifestyle brands. It operates internationally, serving customers across the United States, Japan, Greater China, and other markets worldwide. The comp...

Tapestry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2026(Q4-2026)|% Change Since:-22.51%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call highlighted materially strong financial and operational performance—record revenue, margin expansion, robust free cash flow, large-scale new customer acquisition led by Gen Z, and clear momentum at Coach and in international markets—while acknowledging discrete near-term headwinds: Kate Spade's slower top-line recovery and operating loss, tariff/duty impacts (especially at Kate Spade), some regional softness in Japan, inventory timing shifts, and lumpy quarterly profitability driven by tariff timing and marketing cadence. Management provided constructive FY27 guidance that maintains margin expansion and low double-digit EPS growth while investing in brand building, stores and technology. On balance, the positives (scaleable growth, margin expansion, strong cash generation, and confident capital returns) materially outweigh the lowlights.

Positive Updates

Record Fiscal 2026 Financial Performance
Revenue of $8.0 billion, up 17% on a pro forma constant currency basis; operating margin expanded 340 basis points to over 23%; diluted EPS increased 38% to $7.05; adjusted free cash flow $1.86 billion; gross debt to adjusted EBITDA 1.1x.

Negative Updates

Kate Spade Underperformance and Near-Term Weakness
Top-line progress at Kate Spade was more gradual than planned; welcomed ~450,000 new customers in Q4 (~2 million for the year) but management expects a high single-digit revenue decline for Kate Spade in fiscal 2027 and a modest operating loss as the brand continues to be invested behind to return to sustainable top-line growth.

Company Guidance

Management guided fiscal 2027 revenue of $8.4–$8.5 billion (mid‑single‑digit growth; FY includes a 53rd week adding ~1 point) with FX a ~40 bp tailwind; by brand they expect Coach to grow high‑single‑digits (Coach operating margin ~36%) and Kate Spade to decline high‑single‑digits (modest operating loss). Regionally the plan assumes North America low‑single‑digit growth, Europe and Greater China mid‑teens, Other Asia high‑single‑digits and Japan returning to growth. Company‑level operating margin is expected to expand ~50 bps to nearly 24% (gross margin +~30 bps; SG&A leverage ~20 bps), EPS $7.80–$7.90 (low‑double‑digit growth), adjusted free cash flow of ~ $1.7 billion, CapEx & cloud spend ~ $300 million (3–4% of revenue), net interest ~ $55 million, tax rate ~ 18.5% and ~203 million diluted shares. The outlook embeds a mid‑20s% tariff rate on U.S. imports with roughly net‑neutral P&L impact, expects inventory to increase year‑over‑year, and for Q1 calls for high‑single‑digit revenue growth (Coach low‑teens; Coach Q1 two‑year stack mid‑30s), Q1 gross margin +120 bps, operating margin roughly flat and Q1 EPS ~ $1.55 (low‑teens increase). Capital returns target ~$1.7 billion (dividend raised 16% to $1.85 annual; ~$1.35 billion repurchases).

Tapestry Risk Analysis

Tapestry disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tapestry reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks
1.The successful implementation of the Company's 2028 growth strategy, Amplify, is key to the long-term success of our business.Q2, 2026
2.The development, use, or misuse of AI technologies, and the failure to effectively adopt such technologies, may not be successful and could negatively impact our business.Q2, 2026

Tapestry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

DE:COY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
MOVMOV69Neutral$498.01M17.508.19%4.71%4.83%136.40%
BIRKBIRK66Neutral$5.95B17.2612.12%―19.55%19.15%
RLRL65Neutral$23.39B24.7135.64%0.96%14.68%26.22%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
ZGNZGN60Neutral$5.72B43.697.60%0.98%10.78%-15.63%
LANVLANV44Neutral$98.60M-0.8642.92%―-23.34%-12.90%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%DE:COYMOVRLZGNLANVBIRKDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
DE:COY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
DE:COYTapestry107.1514.9416.20%
MOVMovado Group Inc31.8614.9988.84%
RLRalph Lauren397.5391.4929.89%
ZGNErmenegildo Zegna Group14.034.2944.09%
LANVLanvin Group Holdings Limited0.79-1.30-62.20%
BIRKBirkenstock Holding plc35.54-3.95-10.00%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.