Bloomin' Brands (BOO) AI Stock Analysis

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Bloomin' Brands

(Frankfurt:BOO)

Rating:―N/A

Action:N/A

Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors

Positive Cash GenerationPositive operating and free cash flow give Bloomin’ Brands internal funding capacity for restaurant refreshes, productivity investments, and debt reduction. Although cash conversion has weakened, continued positive generation provides a durable financial resource over the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Elevated LeverageHigh leverage leaves Bloomin’ Brands with less balance-sheet flexibility than a lower-debt restaurant operator and can amplify earnings volatility. A substantial debt burden may constrain discretionary investment and make the company more sensitive to weaker operating results.

Bloomin' Brands (BOO) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Market Cap: EUR 877.25M
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 22
Price to Earnings (P/E): 12.3
Beta (1Y): 0.76
Revenue Growth: -4.17%
EPS Growth: ―
Country: Germany
Employees: 64,000
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength: 61
Industry: Restaurants

Bloomin' Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Bloomin' Brands, Inc., through its various subsidiary entities, operates a diverse portfolio of dining establishments, encompassing casual, upscale casual, and fine dining experiences across the United States and internationally. The company's operat...

Bloomin' Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-6.37%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2027

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was cautiously positive. Management reported positive U.S. comparable sales, continued improvement in Outback guest metrics, strong Bonefish performance, a raised full-year adjusted EPS outlook, lower net debt and progress on the turnaround and refresh program. These positives were partly offset by declining traffic, a wider adjusted loss, lower operating and restaurant margins, inflation, a flat underlying revenue result, a weaker Q4 sales outlook and the Out West bankruptcy process.

Positive Updates

Positive U.S. Comparable Sales and Average Check

Q3 U.S. comparable restaurant sales increased 1.9%, while average check increased 370 basis points. Management said the company is seeing less mix headwind as affordability offers improve.

Negative Updates

Underlying Revenue Was Essentially Flat

Q3 total revenue was $944 million versus $929 million last year, but approximately $13 million resulted from a change in the gift card revenue accounting estimate. Excluding that item, total revenue was essentially flat year-over-year.

Company Guidance

For fiscal 2026, Bloomin’ Brands expects U.S. comparable restaurant sales to be between 1% and 1.5%, average check to be approximately 3.5%, adjusted diluted earnings per share to be between $0.97 and $1.02, an adjusted tax benefit in the range of approximately $14 million to $16 million, full year capital expenditures to be approximately $185 million, and a Brazil loss of approximately $3 million to $4 million; for the fourth quarter, it expects U.S. comparable restaurant sales to be between 0% and 1%, including an approximate 2% headwind to traffic from holiday shifts, adjusted diluted earnings per share to be between $0.07 and $0.12, and about a $2 billion to $3 billion tax benefit, compared to about a $5 million expense in Q3; it expects to complete around 85 Outback refreshes for the full year of 2026 and another approximately 100 for next year, remains committed to around $30 million in productivity for next year, and does not expect the potential acquisition of 61 Out West restaurants to have a measurable impact on its lease adjusted net leverage target of 3.0 by the end of 2028.

Bloomin' Brands Risk Analysis

Bloomin' Brands disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bloomin' Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Bloomin' Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

DE:BOO against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EAT	85Outperform	$8.11B	17.27	122.98%	―	6.07%	16.71%
DRI	77Outperform	$25.87B	22.23	55.90%	2.73%	8.10%	9.77%
TXRH	76Outperform	$12.35B	29.57	27.38%	1.56%	9.16%	-3.02%
BJRI	67Neutral	$1.22B	26.21	11.84%	―	5.26%	56.29%
Sector *	61Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
CAKE	61Neutral	$5.42B	24.59	41.84%	1.09%	7.87%	30.46%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

DE:BOO and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
DE:BOO	Bloomin' Brands	8.96	3.11	53.16%
BJRI	BJ's Restaurants	57.15	19.95	53.63%
EAT	Brinker International	200.73	83.57	71.33%
DRI	Darden Restaurants, Inc.	228.94	58.92	34.66%
TXRH	Texas Roadhouse	188.36	23.01	13.92%
CAKE	Cheesecake Factory	109.67	64.47	142.62%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Bloomin' Brands AI Stock Analysis