AG Mortgage (8AGA) AI Stock Analysis
AG Mortgage
(Frankfurt:8AGA)
No summary available
AG Mortgage (8AGA) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)
- Market Cap
- EUR 178.10M
- Dividend Yield
- 16.58%
- Average Volume (3M)
- ―
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 7.6
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.59
- Revenue Growth
- 9.69%
- EPS Growth
- -21.60%
- Country
- Germany
- Employees
- 0
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Sector Strength
- 65
- Industry
- REIT - Mortgage
AG Mortgage Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
TPG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc (MITT) operates as a U.S.-based real estate investment trust (REIT) primarily concentrated on residential mortgages. Its diverse portfolio includes various residential assets such as non-conforming mortgage loans, no...
AG Mortgage Earnings Call Summary
The call communicated multiple strategic wins: a transformational acquisition (Cherry Hill) that materially increases scale and expected synergies, continued securitization activity with a sizeable Q3 pipeline, solid EAD that fully covers the dividend, and clear plans to recycle legacy commercial capital into higher‑return residential strategies. Offsetting these positives are macro pressures from interest rate volatility, remaining legacy nonaccrual exposures until fully resolved, modest book value growth, and competitive pressures in non‑agency markets. On balance, the company presented a clear path to earnings accretion and improved scale and liquidity, with identifiable catalysts (legacy asset resolutions and transaction synergies) that should drive meaningful upside if executed as planned.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that the Cherry Hill acquisition is expected to close in Q4 2026, creating a combined market cap ~36% larger and an equity capital base of ~$750M, with TPG and MITT contributing roughly $20M and $15M cash (cash‑to‑stock consideration ~30%) and expected annual G&A synergies of ~$7–9M; pro forma economic leverage is expected to be ~2.9 turns versus current economic leverage of 1.8 turns (up 0.1 turns QoQ). Key Q2 metrics reiterated: EAD $0.24/share (fully covering the $0.24 dividend), Arc Home contribution $0.04/share and $6.6M distributed, GAAP net income ~$9.1M ($0.29/share), net interest income $0.65/share vs $0.45 of expenses/preferred dividends yielding $0.20 net earnings, book value up from $9.97 to $10 (0.3% QoQ; 2.7% economic return incl. dividend), investment portfolio $7.7B (from $8.1B), liquidity $112M, Q2 securitizations >$750M and >$1.25B expected in Q3 across 3 home‑equity deals, purchases of $70M HELOCs and $38M non‑Agency RMBS. Management expects legacy commercial/retail/hospitality resolutions to unlock ~ $30M of capital, contributing ~ $0.05 incremental EAD near‑term and >$0.15/year upon full recycling (aggregate ~ $0.20 annual EAD) beginning in Q3 and accelerating through 2027, supporting guidance for stronger ROEs, higher EAD and continued dividend growth.
AG Mortgage Risk Analysis
AG Mortgage disclosed 4 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AG Mortgage reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
3 New RisksAG Mortgage Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
NREF72Outperform
REFI67Neutral
AOMR55Neutral
ACRE48Neutral
ACR43Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NREF | 72Outperform | $284.79M | 4.34 | 18.36% | 13.24% | 1.61% | 14.36% |
| REFI | 67Neutral | $226.49M | 6.36 | 9.62% | 21.27% | -2.58% | -25.73% |
| Sector * | 65Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% |
| AOMR | 55Neutral | $162.97M | 8.89 | 7.31% | 18.23% | 25.55% | -50.15% |
| ACRE | 48Neutral | $186.42M | -44.62 | -0.88% | 17.86% | 28.95% | 76.08% |
| ACR | 43Neutral | $173.40M | -11.94 | 3.31% | ― | -2.62% | -7470.75% |
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE:8AGA | AG Mortgage Investment Trust | 5.00 | -0.44 | -8.02% | |
| ACRE | Ares Commercial Real Estate | 3.36 | -0.48 | -12.57% | |
| ACR | Acres Commercial Realty Corp. | 12.89 | -8.53 | -39.82% | |
| NREF | Nexpoint Real Estate Finance Inc | 15.11 | 3.56 | 30.87% | |
| AOMR | Angel Oak Mortgage, Inc. | 7.02 | -0.80 | -10.28% | |
| REFI | Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. | 8.84 | -2.23 | -20.12% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.