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China Yuchai International (CYD) AI Stock Analysis

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CYD

China Yuchai International

(NYSE:CYD)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:$23.00â–²(14.94% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/08/26

The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance and a positive earnings outlook (AIDC growth/capacity and margin expansion), supported by an attractive P/E and dividend yield. These positives are partially offset by very weak technical momentum (below major moving averages with negative MACD and oversold readings) and noted execution/working-capital and pricing-pressure risks from the earnings call.

Positive Factors
Revenue and profit growthBroad-based growth in revenue, operating profit and net income indicates improving demand and operating leverage across the business. If truck, marine and industrial momentum persists, stronger earnings and scale could support reinvestment and reinforce Yuchai’s position with OEM customers over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Thin and cyclical profitabilityDespite recent improvement, thin margins leave earnings sensitive to product mix, pricing and changes in demand. The prior down year and margins below earlier levels indicate meaningful cyclicality, limiting the company’s ability to absorb cost inflation or weaker commercial-vehicle and industrial markets.

China Yuchai International (CYD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%60%CYD-48.98%SPY+10.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$807.02M
Dividend Yield
4.04%
Average Volume (3M)
167.81K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.4
Beta (1Y)
1.19
Revenue Growth
21.01%
EPS Growth
72.22%
Country
US
Employees
9,189
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Auto - Parts

China Yuchai International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

China Yuchai International Limited, a company established in 1951 and headquartered in Singapore, operates globally through its Yuchai and HLGE segments. This entity and its subsidiaries specialize in the production, assembly, and distribution of bot...

How the Company Makes Money

China Yuchai International primarily makes money through the sale of engines and related powertrain products manufactured by Yuchai. Its main revenue stream is the production and sale of diesel and natural-gas engines to original equipment manufactur...

China Yuchai International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-58.94%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 14, 2022
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a strong financial and operational performance: double-digit revenue and unit growth, significant margin expansion, and substantial increases in operating profit, net profit and EPS. The company also highlighted strategic technology advances (ammonia-capable engine, YC-FRS), an acquisition (NYDK), AIDC traction with a raised full-year AIDC outlook (3,500 units) and a robust cash position with reduced borrowings and a higher dividend. Offsets include higher trade receivables, a decline in other operating income, increased R&D and SG&A expenses, higher tax expense, pricing pressure at the MTU JV and weaker agricultural demand. On balance, the positive growth, margin improvement and cash/return-to-shareholder actions outweigh the challenges, though management notes market competition and working capital considerations to monitor.

Positive Updates

Revenue and Unit Sales Growth
Revenue increased 13.9% year-over-year to RMB 14.7 billion (USD 2.2 billion). Engine unit sales rose 10.9% year-over-year to 277,684 units.

Negative Updates

Increase in Trade and Bills Receivables
Trade and bills receivables rose to RMB 14.1 billion from RMB 11.0 billion at end-2025, an increase of ~28.2%, representing working capital and collection risk.

Company Guidance

Management provided clear volume and capacity guidance for high‑horsepower / AI data center (AIDC) engines: after selling ~1,800 AIDC units in H1 2026, they now expect AIDC sales of around 3,500+ units for the full year (implying roughly +1,700 in H2), and affirmed combined high‑horsepower production capacity across Yuchai and the MTU JV of ~5,000 units for 2026 (up from ~3,000 in 2025 after a +700 expansion and ~1,000 added via subcontracting), with the company expecting to sell that capacity and noting ASPs for high‑horsepower engines are similar for AIDC and non‑AIDC customers; they plan further capacity increases next year using a dual approach (more subcontracting plus additional in‑house fine machining) but have not finalized plans. Management also reiterated strong demand, said the AIDC target represents significant growth versus 2025, confirmed the dividend paid of USD 0.87 per ordinary share for 2025 (vs. USD 0.53 for 2024) with payout ratios historically around 30–40%, and highlighted a solid balance sheet with cash and bank balances of ~USD 1.2 billion and borrowings reduced to RMB 1.4 billion (USD ~210.1 million).

China Yuchai International Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are solid and improving: 2025 showed a sharp revenue rebound (~52.5% YoY), better gross/net margins, and a meaningful pickup in operating and free cash flow. Balance sheet leverage is moderate and improving (debt-to-equity ~0.22), but structurally thin margins and historically volatile cash flow (including a weak 2022) keep quality from scoring higher.

Income Statement

70Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

68Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.07B23.99B19.13B18.05B16.03B21.27B
Gross Profit4.67B3.96B2.82B2.92B2.19B2.77B
EBITDA1.78B1.91B1.22B1.33B1.11B1.14B
Net Income722.84M522.75M323.06M285.52M218.58M272.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.92B31.96B27.05B25.76B24.14B24.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.10B7.85B6.31B6.01B4.80B5.15B
Total Debt1.43B2.10B2.57B2.59B2.40B2.24B
Total Liabilities14.64B19.06B14.75B13.58B12.30B13.29B
Stockholders Equity10.16B9.58B9.16B9.23B9.01B8.86B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.07B2.07B234.18M988.20M-550.38M-67.49M
Operating Cash Flow2.72B2.72B779.42M1.23B-119.42M504.56M
Investing Cash Flow-274.36M-274.36M113.10M-113.26M-133.05M-738.85M
Financing Cash Flow-828.03M-828.03M-526.63M-33.74M-140.37M-838.56M

China Yuchai International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price20.01

Price Trends

50DMA30.54Negative
100DMA37.97Negative
200DMA41.82Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-2.81Positive
RSI18.77Positive
STOCH10.81Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CYD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.53, below the 50-day MA of 30.54, and below the 200-day MA of 41.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.81 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 18.77 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.81 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CYD.

China Yuchai International Risk Analysis

China Yuchai International disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. China Yuchai International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.We have entered into several joint ventures in order to expand our product portfolio. There can be no assurance that our joint ventures will be successful or profitable.Q4, 2021
2.United States regulators may be limited in their ability to conduct investigations or inspections of our operations in China.Q4, 2021
3.Changes in tax laws or tax rulings could negatively impact our income tax provision and net income.Q4, 2021

China Yuchai International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

CYD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GNRCGNRC70Outperform$12.36B36.9010.76%―6.13%-3.70%
CMICMI69Neutral$68.93B24.0121.89%1.74%2.93%-8.06%
NPONPO69Neutral$6.04B93.743.97%0.46%16.42%-27.79%
JBTMJBTM66Neutral$6.12B33.494.39%0.32%20.50%―
CYDCYD66Neutral$832.53M7.447.32%4.04%21.01%72.22%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
MIDDMIDD56Neutral$5.55B-13.76-18.30%―-7.22%-191.27%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%CYDCMINPOGNRCJBTMMIDDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
CYD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CYDChina Yuchai International20.01-19.08-48.82%
CMICummins Inc448.58-17.94-3.85%
NPOEnpro Industries, Inc.257.2645.2121.32%
GNRCGenerac Holdings172.3317.0410.97%
JBTMJbt Marel Corporation126.82-14.07-9.99%
MIDDThe Middleby130.1431.0431.32%

China Yuchai International Corporate Events

China Yuchai Forms ADI Joint Venture With Guangxi Zhenye in Guangxi

Oct 20, 2026

On October 20, 2026, China Yuchai International announced that its wholly owned subsidiary Guangxi Yuchai Foundry Company Limited and Guangxi Zhenye New Materials Co., Ltd. formed a new joint venture, Guangxi Aobei Technology Company Ltd., in Yulin,...

China Yuchai Subsidiary Renews Hong Kong Listing Application

Aug 31, 2026

On August 31, 2026, China Yuchai International reported that its indirect subsidiary, Guangxi Yuchai Marine and Genset Power, has renewed its application to list shares on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange after the original January 27,...

China Yuchai International Posts Strong First-Half 2026 Earnings on Truck and Marine Engine Demand

Aug 7, 2026

On August 7, 2026, China Yuchai International reported unaudited results for the first half of 2026 showing a sharp rebound in demand across core segments. Revenue rose 13.9% year-on-year to RMB 14.7 billion, while engine unit sales climbed 10.9% to...

China Yuchai Wins Shareholder Backing as All AGM Resolutions Pass in Singapore

Aug 6, 2026

China Yuchai International reported that all resolutions in its July 7 notice of meeting were duly passed at its Annual General Meeting held in Singapore on August 6, 2026. The AGM outcome confirms shareholder approval of the company’s agenda,...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 08, 2026