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Covista (CVSA)
NYSE:CVSA
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Covista (CVSA) AI Stock Analysis

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CVSA

Covista

(NYSE:CVSA)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$134.00
▼(-1.75% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:09/24/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial performance (healthy margins, profitability, and solid free cash flow) and generally manageable leverage, supported by a positive debt repricing that should reduce borrowing costs. These positives are tempered by weak near-term technical momentum (price below key moving averages and negative MACD) and only moderate valuation support (P/E ~16.3 with no dividend yield data).
Positive Factors
Strong profitability and cash generation
CVSA combines strong operating margins with meaningful profitability and substantial free cash flow. This earnings and cash-generation base can support ongoing investment, debt service, and strategic initiatives while providing resilience across the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Historical margin volatility
Although current profitability is strong, the prior loss and recent net-margin step-down show that earnings conversion has not been consistently stable. Higher costs or reinvestment needs could pressure profitability again if revenue growth moderates.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong profitability and cash generation
CVSA combines strong operating margins with meaningful profitability and substantial free cash flow. This earnings and cash-generation base can support ongoing investment, debt service, and strategic initiatives while providing resilience across the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Covista (CVSA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Covista Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Adtalem Global Education, Inc. is an enterprise dedicated to providing higher education. The company organizes its operations into three primary divisions: Chamberlain, Walden, and Medical and Veterinary. The Chamberlain segment delivers various d...

Covista Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational and financial momentum: enrollment growth across institutions, improved margins (when adjusting for a one-week timing shift), raised revenue and EPS guidance, robust free cash flow, balance sheet improvement, share repurchases, campus expansion plans, and technology/AI initiatives. Near-term headwinds include an $18M timing impact at Walden that masked stronger underlying results, modest absolute enrollment improvement at Chamberlain this quarter (0.5%), continued investment-driven CapEx and strategic spending, and an expected higher effective tax rate. Overall, the positives (organic growth, margin expansion excluding timing, raised guidance, cash generation, and clear remediation at Chamberlain) outweigh the transitory and execution-related challenges noted.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Raised Guidance
Q3 revenue increased 4.5% year-over-year to $487.0M; excluding a one-week Walden timing shift, revenue would have grown 8.4% YoY. Full-year revenue guidance raised to $1.93B–$1.945B (previously $1.90B–$1.94B), implying 8%–9% growth for FY2026.
Negative Updates
Walden One-Week Academic Calendar Timing Impact
A one-week shift in Walden's academic calendar moved approximately $18M of revenue into Q2 from Q3, materially depressing reported Q3 revenue, adjusted EBITDA and EPS; excluding this timing, results were substantially stronger.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth and Raised Guidance
Q3 revenue increased 4.5% year-over-year to $487.0M; excluding a one-week Walden timing shift, revenue would have grown 8.4% YoY. Full-year revenue guidance raised to $1.93B–$1.945B (previously $1.90B–$1.94B), implying 8%–9% growth for FY2026.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management raised full‑year revenue guidance to $1.93–$1.945 billion (from $1.90–$1.94B), implying 8–9% revenue growth, and increased adjusted EPS guidance to $7.95–$8.15 (from $7.80–$8.00), implying 19–22% EPS growth versus last year; they also expect to expand FY26 adjusted EBITDA margin by 100 basis points and anticipate an effective tax rate higher than FY25. They flagged Q4 Chamberlain enrollment should be directionally similar to Q3 (Chamberlain Q3 total enrollment +0.5% to 40,767), noted an $18 million one‑week Walden timing shift (excluding which consolidated revenue would have grown 8.4%, consolidated adjusted EBITDA would have been $145.9M and margin 28.9%), and reiterated targeted strategic investments in 4Q. Supporting financial flexibility, trailing 12‑month free cash flow was $336M (+17%), cash and equivalents $147M, net leverage 0.7x, a $510M Term Loan B was refinanced with a 50 bps rate improvement to 2033, and $66M of share repurchases were completed in the quarter.

Covista Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and scale benefits (TTM gross margin ~57%, EBIT ~19%, EBITDA ~23%) with meaningful net income (~$252M, ~12% net margin). Balance sheet leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.54) with solid ROE (~17%). Offsetting factors are historical margin volatility (including a 2022 loss), rising absolute debt versus 2025, and mixed cash conversion (operating cash flow ~70% of net income despite strong TTM free cash flow of ~$393M).
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.95B1.79B1.58B1.45B1.38B
Gross Profit1.12B1.02B886.10M774.10M651.93M
EBITDA444.77M427.31M379.60M326.29M264.45M
Net Income251.57M232.68M136.78M96.93M-162.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.01B2.75B2.74B2.81B3.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments406.32M199.60M219.31M272.19M346.97M
Total Debt905.50M774.00M847.85M896.19M1.07B
Total Liabilities1.57B1.32B1.37B1.35B1.54B
Stockholders Equity1.45B1.43B1.37B1.46B1.49B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow392.73M287.57M246.88M165.90M-20.45M
Operating Cash Flow470.42M337.90M295.77M191.91M10.60M
Investing Cash Flow-83.70M-41.92M-47.85M23.74M-551.80M
Financing Cash Flow-180.13M-316.02M-301.80M-288.51M-424.48M

Covista Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price136.38
Price Trends
50DMA
128.40
Positive
100DMA
126.16
Positive
200DMA
118.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.44
Negative
RSI
56.24
Neutral
STOCH
76.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVSA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 136.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 125.15, above the 50-day MA of 128.40, and above the 200-day MA of 118.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVSA.

Covista Risk Analysis

Covista disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Covista reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Covista Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.82B13.338.19%2.93%3.53%23.97%
76
Outperform
$3.51B10.6621.31%―4.69%18.43%
75
Outperform
$2.11B12.0917.70%1.84%11.68%18.98%
73
Outperform
$4.18B19.2631.24%―6.97%0.18%
71
Outperform
$881.22M19.1815.30%―3.64%129.52%
67
Neutral
$4.36B17.0717.82%1.21%9.27%19.32%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVSA
Covista
128.87
-20.86
-13.93%
APEI
American Public Education
48.15
9.48
24.52%
PRDO
Perdoceo Education
33.73
-0.49
-1.43%
LOPE
Grand Canyon Education
160.28
-52.96
-24.84%
LRN
Stride
84.43
-61.97
-42.33%
STRA
Strategic Education
81.95
5.06
6.58%

Covista Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Covista Reprices Term Loans to Reduce Borrowing Costs
Positive
Sep 23, 2026
On September 18, 2026, Covista Inc. amended its existing August 12, 2021 credit agreement to reprice all $510 million of outstanding term loans, reducing the interest margin on Term SOFR-based loans from 2.25% to 2.00% and on base rate loans from ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 24, 2026