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Corteva (CTVA)
NYSE:CTVA
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Corteva (CTVA) AI Stock Analysis

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CTVA

Corteva

(NYSE:CTVA)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$93.00
▲(11.98% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/10/26
CTVA scores as a solid, financially stable name supported by a strong balance sheet and constructive technical trend, reinforced by a positive earnings update with raised 2026 guidance and improving margins. The score is capped by weaker recent TTM revenue and cash-flow trajectory and a demanding valuation (high P/E with a modest dividend), which increase sensitivity to execution—especially around Brazil pricing/ordering and the seasonal back-half earnings profile.
Positive Factors
Raised guidance and improving execution
Strong first-half sales and EBITDA growth, together with raised full-year guidance, indicate effective execution across both operating segments. Margin expansion and productivity savings also strengthen the earnings base, supporting improved profitability over the next several quarters if demand assumptions hold.
Negative Factors
Weak latest revenue trajectory
The sharp TTM revenue decline shows that Corteva’s otherwise stable scale has recently lost momentum. Normalized margins and limited operating leverage further suggest that weaker volume or mix could constrain earnings growth until demand improves across its agricultural markets.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Raised guidance and improving execution
Strong first-half sales and EBITDA growth, together with raised full-year guidance, indicate effective execution across both operating segments. Margin expansion and productivity savings also strengthen the earnings base, supporting improved profitability over the next several quarters if demand assumptions hold.
Read all positive factors

Corteva Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Seed Sales by Segment
Seed Sales by Segment
Tracks revenue from seed sales across various segments, indicating market demand and competitive positioning in the agriculture sector.
Chart InsightsCorn is the clear growth engine—seasonal planting spikes are recurring, and Q1 2026 shows an outsized corn uplift that matches management’s reported seed volume and price/mix strength plus royalty improvement. That Q1 gain likely includes timing (early planting) so some pullback into later quarters is possible, but licensing momentum in Brazil and productivity tailwinds support the company’s guidance; monitor acreage mix shifts and energy/input cost risks that could temper sustained upside.
Data provided by:The Fly

Corteva (CTVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Corteva Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Corteva, Inc. operates in the agriculture business. The company operates through two segments, Seed and Crop Protection. The Seed segment develops and supplies advanced germplasm and traits that produce optimum yield for farms. It offers trait tec...
How the Company Makes Money
Corteva makes money primarily by selling agricultural inputs through two major revenue streams. (1) Seed: Corteva sells proprietary seeds (notably corn and soybean, along with other crops) and earns revenue from seed product sales that incorporate...

Corteva Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call delivered a broadly positive message: strong first-half execution drove revenue, margin and EBITDA gains; management raised full-year guidance and reported meaningful progress on the planned separation with dis-synergies largely mitigated. Notable challenges include crop protection pricing pressure (especially in Brazil), near-term cash flow impacts from one-time items, seasonal Q3 weakness and farmer margin/credit constraints in Latin America. Overall the company emphasized durable technology-led demand, productivity gains, and a healthy new product and licensing pipeline, while acknowledging localized and timing risks.
Positive Updates
Raised Full-Year Guidance
Operating EBITDA guidance increased to $4.1B–$4.3B and operating EPS to $3.60–$3.80. At the midpoint this implies ~9% EBITDA growth and ~11% EPS growth versus prior year.
Negative Updates
Crop Protection Pricing Pressure
Crop protection pricing under pressure, particularly in Latin America/Brazil. Company expects pricing decline in the second half of low-to-mid single digits (and noted pockets of more competitive pricing in Brazil).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Raised Full-Year Guidance
Operating EBITDA guidance increased to $4.1B–$4.3B and operating EPS to $3.60–$3.80. At the midpoint this implies ~9% EBITDA growth and ~11% EPS growth versus prior year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Corteva raised full‑year 2026 guidance, now expecting operating EBITDA of $4.1–$4.3 billion and operating EPS of $3.60–$3.80 (midpoints imply ~9% EBITDA growth and ~11% EPS growth versus last year) with an operating EBITDA margin target of 22.5%–23.5%; that outlook is supported by a strong first half (net sales $11.3B, +4% YoY, organic +2%; Q2 net sales $6.4B), first‑half operating EBITDA $3.7B (+10%), operating EPS +14%, and margin expansion of nearly 200 basis points to ~32.8%. Management assumes seed organic growth of low‑single digits, crop protection volumes up high‑single digits (driven by new products) with pricing down low‑ to mid‑single digits, Brazil corn area ~flat, and typical seasonality (a Q3 operating EBITDA loss similar to 2024 with most second‑half earnings in Q4); year‑to‑date drivers include >$160M of cost/productivity savings, ~$90M improvement in net royalties, and an ~$85M favorable currency impact, and absent one‑time items they expect free cash flow conversion in line with prior midterm targets.

Corteva Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are stable but mixed. The balance sheet is a clear strength (low leverage and solid capitalization), while profitability is steady. The main drag is the latest TTM deterioration: sharp revenue decline and a pronounced drop in operating/free cash flow versus 2025, signaling weaker near-term momentum and cash-flow volatility.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.81B17.40B16.91B17.23B17.45B15.65B
Gross Profit8.63B8.23B7.38B7.31B7.02B6.43B
EBITDA3.24B3.07B2.73B2.54B2.73B3.62B
Net Income1.01B1.09B907.00M735.00M1.15B1.76B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.64B42.84B40.83B43.00B42.62B42.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.37B4.53B3.17B2.74B3.31B4.54B
Total Debt4.88B2.58B2.70B2.49B1.31B1.12B
Total Liabilities16.24B18.46B16.80B17.72B17.08B16.72B
Stockholders Equity25.16B24.14B23.79B25.04B25.30B25.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow629.00M2.81B1.55B1.17B267.00M2.15B
Operating Cash Flow1.21B3.41B2.15B1.77B872.00M2.73B
Investing Cash Flow-592.00M-543.00M-589.00M-1.99B-632.00M-362.00M
Financing Cash Flow-301.00M-1.64B-1.20B-99.00M-1.18B-1.27B

Corteva Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price83.05
Price Trends
50DMA
83.29
Positive
100DMA
81.30
Positive
200DMA
77.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.46
Negative
RSI
53.28
Neutral
STOCH
37.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTVA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 83.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 82.65, below the 50-day MA of 83.29, and above the 200-day MA of 77.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CTVA.

Corteva Risk Analysis

Corteva disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Corteva reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Corteva Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$20.45B9.8440.41%1.58%20.04%76.29%
70
Outperform
$56.37B55.574.08%0.86%3.70%-26.39%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
$7.38B23.855.02%3.64%10.92%-16.91%
50
Neutral
$8.07B126.000.36%3.49%8.84%-167.87%
45
Neutral
$1.51B-0.52-118.57%7.19%-21.31%-2884.91%
34
Underperform
$26.71M-0.11-154.24%-31.20%-796.06%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTVA
Corteva
83.90
10.30
14.00%
CF
Cf Industries Holdings
133.07
49.18
58.62%
FMC
FMC
11.40
-25.64
-69.22%
MOS
Mosaic Co
25.19
-7.27
-22.39%
ICL
Icl
5.66
-0.31
-5.22%
BIOX
Bioceres Crop Solutions
0.42
-1.62
-79.46%

Corteva Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Corteva, DuPont, Chemours Settle North Carolina PFAS Claims
Positive
Sep 10, 2026
On September 9, 2026, Corteva, DuPont and Chemours reached a comprehensive settlement with the State of North Carolina and several local governments to resolve statewide PFAS claims and Fayetteville Works site related claims, including all histori...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Corteva Advances Seed Business Spin-Off Via Vylor Notes
Positive
Aug 31, 2026
On October 1, 2025, Corteva’s board approved a plan to separate the company into two listed businesses, one for crop protection and one for seeds, with the seed business to be owned and operated by Vylor Inc. In preparation for this separati...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Corteva Advances Separation with Key Debt Indenture Changes
Neutral
Aug 20, 2026
In August 2026, Corteva advanced its planned separation into two publicly traded companies, one for crop protection and one for seeds, by having Vylor Inc. launch private exchange offers for several series of senior notes issued by subsidiary EIDP...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Corteva advances note exchange ahead planned business separation
Positive
Aug 20, 2026
On August 20, 2026, Corteva announced that its subsidiary Vylor Inc. had secured the required majority consents from holders of EIDP, Inc. senior notes due 2030, 2032 and 2033 for private exchange offers and related indenture amendments, with earl...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Corteva Advances Vylor Spin-Off With Amended Filing
Positive
Aug 14, 2026
On August 14, 2026, Vylor, Inc., a subsidiary of Corteva, filed the first amendment to its Form 10 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, detailing Vylor’s business, strategy and historical financial results...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Corteva’s Vylor launches note exchange ahead separation
Positive
Aug 6, 2026
On August 6, 2026, Corteva announced that Vylor, its seed business subsidiary, has launched private exchange offers and related consent solicitations for all outstanding senior notes due 2030, 2032 and 2033 issued by EIDP, Inc., another Corteva su...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Corteva Details Board for Future Crop Protection Spinoff
Positive
Jun 29, 2026
On June 29, 2026, Indianapolis-based Corteva Inc. outlined the intended board of directors for its future standalone crop protection business, ahead of a planned separation in the fourth quarter of 2026. Greg Page, former Cargill chairman and CEO,...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 10, 2026