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Capricorn Energy PLC
(OTC:CRNCY)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(18.15% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:08/07/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial health (return to profitability and stronger balance sheet) and supportive technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). These positives are moderated by revenue decline and cash-flow volatility, a middling valuation signal (P/E ~18.6 without dividend support), and earnings-call risks around receivables concentration and reliance on concession ratification and execution in 2026.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
Material net cash and low leverage materially improve financial flexibility over the next 2–6 months and beyond. A stronger balance sheet reduces refinancing risk, funds development or opportunistic transactions, supports self-funded capex, and cushions operational or geopolitical shocks common in upstream E&P.
Negative Factors
Receivables/customer concentration
Heavy exposure to a single counterparty and material receivables create sustained cash‑collection risk. Delays or disputes with EGPC could compress liquidity, force asset sales or push external borrowing, and constrain investment pacing and project execution over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet strength
Material net cash and low leverage materially improve financial flexibility over the next 2–6 months and beyond. A stronger balance sheet reduces refinancing risk, funds development or opportunistic transactions, supports self-funded capex, and cushions operational or geopolitical shocks common in upstream E&P.
Read all positive factors
Capricorn Energy PLC (CRNCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$365.87M
Dividend Yield77.51%
Average Volume (3M)38.00
Price to Earnings (P/E)19.5
Beta (1Y)0.67
Revenue Growth-8.61%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees41
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.34
Shares Outstanding35,701,824
10 Day Avg. Volume74
30 Day Avg. Volume38
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.03
Price to Book (P/B)0.43
Price to Sales (P/S)1.19
P/FCF Ratio2.41
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)1.29
Revenue Forecast (FY)$178.10M
Capricorn Energy PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Capricorn Energy PLC is an independent firm specializing in oil and gas exploration, development, and production. The company manages a comprehensive portfolio of exploration, development, and production assets situated in the United Kingdom, Isra...
How the Company Makes Money
Capricorn Energy makes money primarily through upstream oil and gas value generation. Where it has producing interests, revenue is generated from the sale of crude oil, condensate, and/or natural gas, typically recognized based on the company’s wo...
Capricorn Energy PLC Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasizes substantial progress: a stronger balance sheet (net cash $103m), material collections ($217m), early repayment of senior debt, production achievement (~20,000 BOE/d) and significant reserves replacement (277%). Strategic gains from the merged concession and a sizeable identified resource base further underpin growth potential. Key negatives are concentrated receivables ($86m), dependence on timely EGPC payments, pending ratification of concession changes (critical to unlock acreage), elevated reported OpEx and near‑term turnarounds that will temper 2026 volumes. On balance the operational and financial improvements materially outweigh the risks, though execution and collection risks remain important to monitor.Positive Updates
Production Performance and Guidance
Working interest production of just over 20,000 BOE/d in 2025, achieving the higher end of guidance; 2026 guidance set at 18,000–22,000 BOE/d.
Negative Updates
Receivables and Customer Concentration Risk
Receivables remained material at $86 million year end and the company is highly dependent on a single customer (EGPC) for oil and gas receipts; management highlights receivables collection as a principal risk despite recent positive press from the ministry.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Production Performance and Guidance
Working interest production of just over 20,000 BOE/d in 2025, achieving the higher end of guidance; 2026 guidance set at 18,000–22,000 BOE/d.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Capricorn guided 2026 production to 18,000–22,000 BOE/d (working interest), with liquids weighting expected to rise to about 43% (versus ~20,000 BOE/d and a 40% liquids weighting in 2025); OpEx is guided to $5–$7/BOE for 2026 (after 2025 OpEx of $540/BOE), and capital investment is planned at $85–$95 million (vs $77 million invested in 2025). Management flagged two turnarounds that will affect full‑year volumes, stressed that ratification of the merged concessions is critical to unlock acreage and growth, and reiterated a typical M&A return hurdle of ~25% IRR. Key financial metrics noted include $217 million of collections in 2025, an $86 million year‑end receivables balance, $81 million Egypt net cash flow, only $30 million outstanding on a ring‑fenced junior facility, and $103 million net cash at year‑end (an $80 million YoY cash increase); reserves metrics include ~277% reserves replacement, conversion of ~20 million bbl WI into reserves, and 332 million BOE 2C unrisked WI (≈80 million BOE GLJ‑evaluated).Capricorn Energy PLC Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 135.22M | 177.90M | 201.00M | 229.60M | 57.10M |
| Gross Profit | 30.77M | 51.20M | 140.30M | 149.20M | 12.70M |
| EBITDA | 59.54M | 116.30M | 41.70M | -53.30M | 923.90M |
| Net Income | 19.04M | 10.60M | -144.00M | -67.10M | 894.50M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 513.00M | 619.70M | 667.60M | 1.53B | 2.25B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 132.70M | 123.40M | 189.50M | 891.20M | 400.70M |
| Total Debt | 46.00M | 105.40M | 119.20M | 162.90M | 180.70M |
| Total Liabilities | 139.70M | 270.40M | 261.10M | 314.70M | 447.80M |
| Stockholders Equity | 373.30M | 349.30M | 406.50M | 1.12B | 1.80B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 66.76M | 44.50M | -100.80M | -105.30M | 90.50M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 143.63M | 86.10M | -39.90M | 63.50M | 179.90M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -61.24M | -51.30M | 120.80M | 963.90M | -296.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -73.57M | -97.30M | -646.20M | -579.60M | -147.90M |
Capricorn Energy PLC Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | $365.87M | 19.47 | 5.30% | 77.51% | -8.61% | ― | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
60 Neutral | $203.14M | 9.80 | 5.13% | 59.31% | -23.70% | 30.67% | |
56 Neutral | $147.95M | -35.32 | -5.44% | 13.04% | -3.16% | -313.41% | |
48 Neutral | $390.81M | -1.36 | -28.80% | ― | -3.15% | -416.57% |
* Energy Sector Average
CRNCY
Capricorn Energy PLC
10.25
4.62
82.00%
EPM
Evolution Petroleum
3.68
-0.92
-19.93%
AMPY
Amplify Energy
4.90
1.07
27.94%
REI
Ring Energy
1.50
0.52
52.59%
SAFX
XCF Global Inc Class A
0.39
-0.97
-71.10%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.