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Capricorn Energy PLC (CRNCY)
OTHER OTC:CRNCY
US Market
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Capricorn Energy PLC (CRNCY) AI Stock Analysis

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CRNCY

Capricorn Energy PLC

(OTC:CRNCY)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(34.26% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/25/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals (return to profitability and a stronger, low-leverage balance sheet), tempered by declining revenue and volatile cash-flow history. Technicals add support with a clear uptrend versus key moving averages, and valuation is favorable based on the low P/E.
Positive Factors
Return to Profitability
The return to positive earnings after losses in 2022–2023 indicates meaningful operational improvement and gives Capricorn greater capacity to fund activities internally. The solid TTM margins also provide a more resilient earnings base, although maintaining them will depend on production performance and industry conditions.
Negative Factors
Multi-Year Revenue Decline
Several consecutive years of shrinking revenue indicate that recent profitability has not yet been matched by sustained top-line expansion. A contracting revenue base can limit operating leverage, reduce the resources available for reinvestment, and make future earnings more dependent on cost control or favorable production and commodity conditions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Return to Profitability
The return to positive earnings after losses in 2022–2023 indicates meaningful operational improvement and gives Capricorn greater capacity to fund activities internally. The solid TTM margins also provide a more resilient earnings base, although maintaining them will depend on production performance and industry conditions.
Read all positive factors

Capricorn Energy PLC (CRNCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Capricorn Energy PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Capricorn Energy PLC is an independent firm specializing in oil and gas exploration, development, and production. The company manages a comprehensive portfolio of exploration, development, and production assets situated in the United Kingdom, Isra...
How the Company Makes Money
Capricorn Energy makes money primarily through upstream oil and gas economics: (1) Hydrocarbon production revenue: The company generates revenue by producing crude oil and/or natural gas from its operated or non-operated fields and selling those v...

Capricorn Energy PLC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasizes substantial progress: a stronger balance sheet (net cash $103m), material collections ($217m), early repayment of senior debt, production achievement (~20,000 BOE/d) and significant reserves replacement (277%). Strategic gains from the merged concession and a sizeable identified resource base further underpin growth potential. Key negatives are concentrated receivables ($86m), dependence on timely EGPC payments, pending ratification of concession changes (critical to unlock acreage), elevated reported OpEx and near‑term turnarounds that will temper 2026 volumes. On balance the operational and financial improvements materially outweigh the risks, though execution and collection risks remain important to monitor.
Positive Updates
Production Performance and Guidance
Working interest production of just over 20,000 BOE/d in 2025, achieving the higher end of guidance; 2026 guidance set at 18,000–22,000 BOE/d.
Negative Updates
Receivables and Customer Concentration Risk
Receivables remained material at $86 million year end and the company is highly dependent on a single customer (EGPC) for oil and gas receipts; management highlights receivables collection as a principal risk despite recent positive press from the ministry.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Production Performance and Guidance
Working interest production of just over 20,000 BOE/d in 2025, achieving the higher end of guidance; 2026 guidance set at 18,000–22,000 BOE/d.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Capricorn guided 2026 production to 18,000–22,000 BOE/d (working interest), with liquids weighting expected to rise to about 43% (versus ~20,000 BOE/d and a 40% liquids weighting in 2025); OpEx is guided to $5–$7/BOE for 2026 (after 2025 OpEx of $540/BOE), and capital investment is planned at $85–$95 million (vs $77 million invested in 2025). Management flagged two turnarounds that will affect full‑year volumes, stressed that ratification of the merged concessions is critical to unlock acreage and growth, and reiterated a typical M&A return hurdle of ~25% IRR. Key financial metrics noted include $217 million of collections in 2025, an $86 million year‑end receivables balance, $81 million Egypt net cash flow, only $30 million outstanding on a ring‑fenced junior facility, and $103 million net cash at year‑end (an $80 million YoY cash increase); reserves metrics include ~277% reserves replacement, conversion of ~20 million bbl WI into reserves, and 332 million BOE 2C unrisked WI (≈80 million BOE GLJ‑evaluated).

Capricorn Energy PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are improving with a return to profitability in 2024–2025 and solid TTM margins (gross ~23%, net ~14%) plus a healthier, low-leverage balance sheet (debt/equity ~0.12). Offsetting this is a multi-year revenue decline and high volatility in earnings/free cash flow (including weak periods in 2022–2023 and sharply lower FCF versus 2024), which reduces durability.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue175.40M135.22M177.90M201.00M229.60M57.10M
Gross Profit78.19M30.77M51.20M140.30M149.20M12.70M
EBITDA108.70M59.54M116.30M41.70M-53.30M961.50M
Net Income49.90M19.04M10.60M-144.00M-67.10M894.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets501.40M513.00M619.70M667.60M1.53B2.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments113.90M132.70M123.40M189.50M891.20M400.70M
Total Debt5.60M46.00M105.40M119.20M162.90M180.70M
Total Liabilities104.50M139.70M270.40M261.10M314.70M447.80M
Stockholders Equity396.90M373.30M349.30M406.50M1.12B1.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow90.43M66.76M44.50M-100.80M-105.30M90.50M
Operating Cash Flow191.59M143.63M86.10M-39.90M63.50M179.90M
Investing Cash Flow-105.79M-61.24M-51.30M120.80M963.90M-296.00M
Financing Cash Flow-65.99M-73.57M-97.30M-646.20M-579.60M-147.90M

Capricorn Energy PLC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.31
Price Trends
50DMA
10.68
Positive
100DMA
9.88
Positive
200DMA
8.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Positive
RSI
56.35
Neutral
STOCH
90.52
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRNCY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.31, below the 50-day MA of 10.68, and above the 200-day MA of 8.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.52 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CRNCY.

Capricorn Energy PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$404.46M7.9412.85%77.51%37.84%―
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
$154.45M-51.21-3.80%12.63%0.59%-345.77%
57
Neutral
$372.57M-1.30-28.80%―-3.15%-416.57%
52
Neutral
$177.02M8.545.13%59.31%-23.70%30.67%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRNCY
Capricorn Energy PLC
11.44
5.90
106.33%
EPM
Evolution Petroleum
3.80
-0.13
-3.38%
AMPY
Amplify Energy
4.27
-0.41
-8.76%
REI
Ring Energy
1.43
0.48
50.21%
SAFX
XCF Global Inc Class A
0.12
-0.72
-85.42%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 25, 2026