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Catalyst Pharma (CPRX)
NASDAQ:CPRX

Catalyst Pharma (CPRX) AI Stock Analysis

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Catalyst Pharma

(NASDAQ:CPRX)

81Outperform
Catalyst Pharma's strong financial performance, highlighted by robust revenue growth and high margins, is a major strength. The technical indicators suggest stable market sentiment with potential for growth. The valuation is reasonable, though the absence of a dividend yield is a consideration for some investors. Overall, the company is well-positioned for future growth, but investors should be mindful of potential challenges such as cash flow volatility and generic competition for FYCOMPA.
Positive Factors
Agamree Launch
Agamree launch strength exceeds early expectations while Fycompa holds firm ahead of LOE.
Oncology Growth
Firdapse poised to continue steady growth with oncology assets adding long-term upside.
Patent Settlement
Catalyst Pharma shares are outperforming (+15% versus flat market) following announcement of a Firdapse patent settlement with a key generic challenger (Teva).
Negative Factors
Fycompa Sales
Fycompa sales are likely to be negatively impacted this year by generic entry in May.
Generic Competition
The franchise is expected to decline more meaningfully in 2026 as generic availability expands.

Catalyst Pharma (CPRX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Catalyst Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCatalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (CPRX) is a biopharmaceutical company dedicated to developing and commercializing innovative therapies for people with rare, debilitating, chronic neuromuscular and neurological diseases. The company operates primarily in the healthcare sector, focusing on orphan drugs, which are medications or other medicinal products used to treat rare diseases. Catalyst Pharma's core products include Firdapse, a treatment for Lambert-Eaton Myasthenic Syndrome (LEMS), and other pipeline candidates targeting similar rare conditions.
How the Company Makes MoneyCatalyst Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the sale of its FDA-approved drug, Firdapse, which treats Lambert-Eaton Myasthenic Syndrome (LEMS), a rare autoimmune disorder. The company earns money by selling this product directly to patients through specialty pharmacies and by working with healthcare providers to ensure the availability of the medication to those in need. Additionally, Catalyst Pharma seeks to expand its revenue streams by developing and commercializing additional therapies for other rare diseases, which could include partnerships or collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies to enhance its product offerings and market reach. These strategic efforts allow Catalyst to maintain and potentially grow its sales and market presence in the orphan drug sector.

Catalyst Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Catalyst Pharma's financial statements reflect strong performance, with impressive revenue growth and robust margins. The balance sheet is solid, characterized by low leverage and high liquidity, supporting financial stability. The cash flow statement shows strong cash generation, though past volatility in free cash flow should be monitored.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
Catalyst Pharma has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a significant increase in total revenue from $398.2 million in 2023 to $491.7 million in 2024, marking a growth rate of approximately 23.4%. The company maintains a high gross profit margin of 100% due to its cost structure. The net profit margin improved from 17.9% in 2023 to 33.3% in 2024, indicating enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 39.7%, showcasing efficient operational performance. Overall, the income statement reflects strong growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Catalyst Pharma exhibits a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.004, reflecting minimal leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is impressive at 22.5%, indicating effective use of equity capital to generate profits. The equity ratio is robust at 85.5%, demonstrating a solid equity base relative to total assets. The company's financial stability is reinforced by substantial cash and short-term investments, significantly exceeding its total debt, contributing to a healthy liquidity position.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The company has shown strong cash flow generation with a significant increase in free cash flow from -$54.9 million in 2023 to $143.4 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.88, indicating efficient cash conversion from net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.88, suggesting a strong ability to generate cash relative to earnings. However, the lack of positive free cash flow growth in previous years indicates potential volatility in cash flow generation.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
491.73M398.20M214.20M140.83M119.07M
Gross Profit
422.89M313.67M179.81M118.95M102.03M
EBIT
195.12M86.81M101.84M52.38M41.30M
EBITDA
232.90M119.69M101.84M52.38M41.30M
Net Income Common Stockholders
163.89M71.41M83.08M39.48M74.98M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
517.55M137.64M298.39M191.27M140.28M
Total Assets
851.41M470.11M375.63M237.79M192.35M
Total Debt
3.19M3.56M3.89M3.89M28.77K
Net Debt
-514.37M-134.08M-294.50M-167.55M-130.21M
Total Liabilities
123.78M82.23M75.21M30.96M22.76M
Stockholders Equity
727.63M387.88M300.42M206.83M169.60M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
239.25M-54.92M116.02M59.35M45.02M
Operating Cash Flow
239.81M143.60M116.05M60.37M45.03M
Investing Cash Flow
-293.50M-293.50M9.21M-11.02M-5.01M
Financing Cash Flow
140.66M-10.86M1.69M-8.14M701.93K

Catalyst Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.83
Price Trends
50DMA
23.02
Positive
100DMA
22.60
Positive
200DMA
21.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Positive
RSI
53.37
Neutral
STOCH
59.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPRX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.36, above the 50-day MA of 23.02, and above the 200-day MA of 21.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CPRX.

Catalyst Pharma Risk Analysis

Catalyst Pharma disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Catalyst Pharma reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Catalyst Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$2.85B14.9129.11%29.97%178.11%
78
Outperform
$2.92B12.7037.24%22.42%
59
Neutral
$3.65B-418.97%48.88%39.30%
52
Neutral
$5.21B3.49-43.30%2.83%14.70%-0.24%
49
Neutral
$3.32B-386.33%33.46%26.72%
48
Neutral
$3.08B-19.71%-86.13%-67.29%
41
Neutral
$2.83B-58.66%42.77%-51.27%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPRX
Catalyst Pharma
23.83
7.61
46.92%
ACAD
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals
17.52
2.34
15.42%
RARE
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical
36.09
-4.87
-11.89%
MRUS
Merus
42.41
-3.44
-7.50%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
37.59
-18.06
-32.45%
RYTM
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals
58.96
18.76
46.67%

Catalyst Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.58%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth across all products, especially FIRDAPSE and AGAMREE, alongside a strong financial position and strategic initiatives. However, challenges such as the impending FYCOMPA generic competition and past disruptions from a cybersecurity incident were noted. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the lowlights, showcasing strong business performance and strategic execution.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Total net revenues grew 43.6% year-over-year to $141.4 million, with strong contributions from each product.
Strong FIRDAPSE Performance
FIRDAPSE generated $83.7 million in revenue, a 25.3% increase year-over-year, driven by new patient adoption and increased average daily dosage.
AGAMREE Market Momentum
AGAMREE achieved $22 million in net product revenues in Q1 2025, compared to $1.2 million in Q1 2024, marking its first full year of commercial availability.
FYCOMPA Steady Demand
FYCOMPA net product revenue was $35.6 million, a 17.1% year-over-year growth, ahead of anticipated generic entry.
Strong Financial Position
Catalyst reported a strong cash position of $580.7 million and a net income before income taxes of $71.3 million, a 145% increase year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Challenges with FYCOMPA Patent Expiry
Anticipated revenue decline for FYCOMPA post patent expiry on May 23, 2025, for tablets and December 15, 2025, for oral suspension.
Change Healthcare Cybersecurity Incident Impact
Temporary disruptions related to the Change Healthcare cybersecurity incident in Q1 2024 affected FIRDAPSE sales, but the impact is expected to level out in Q2 2025.
Company Guidance
During Catalyst Pharmaceuticals' Q1 2025 financial results call, the company provided detailed guidance and performance metrics. Total net revenues increased by 43.6% year-over-year to $141.4 million, driven by strong demand for their rare disease therapies. FIRDAPSE, their lead product, generated $83.7 million, marking a 25.3% increase from the previous year, supported by new patient adoption and post-cybersecurity incident recovery. AGAMREE, launched in March 2024, contributed $22 million in Q1 2025, reflecting its growing acceptance in treating Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD). FYCOMPA also saw a year-over-year revenue growth of 17.1% to $35.6 million, although facing an anticipated decline post-patent expiry in May 2025. The company reaffirmed its full-year revenue guidance of $545 million to $565 million, highlighting continued strategic execution and market expansion efforts.

Catalyst Pharma Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Catalyst Pharma Reports Record Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 7, 2025

Catalyst Pharmaceuticals reported record financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with total revenues reaching $141.4 million, marking a 43.6% increase from the previous year. The growth was driven by strong demand for its products, particularly FIRDAPSE and AGAMREE, and the company reaffirmed its full-year revenue guidance. Catalyst also highlighted strategic advancements, including the acceptance of AGAMREE’s New Drug Submission by Health Canada and the launch of FIRDAPSE in Japan, positioning the company for further growth and market expansion.

Spark’s Take on CPRX Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, CPRX is a Outperform.

Catalyst Pharma shows a strong overall financial position with impressive revenue growth and robust margins, supported by a solid balance sheet. The technical indicators suggest stable market sentiment with potential for growth. While the valuation is reasonable, the absence of a dividend yield and the increase in SG&A expenses are factors to consider. The company is well-positioned for future growth, but investors should be mindful of past cash flow volatility and potential challenges from generic competition for FYCOMPA.

To see Spark’s full report on CPRX stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.