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CNH Industrial (CNH)
NYSE:CNH

CNH Industrial (CNH) AI Stock Analysis

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CNH Industrial

(NYSE:CNH)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
â–²(11.71%Upside)
CNH faces significant challenges with declining revenues and high leverage impacting financial stability. Strong operational efficiency and reasonable valuation offer some support, but the negative earnings call sentiment highlights key risks. Technical indicators suggest some positive momentum, yet overbought conditions warrant caution. Overall, the stock score reflects a cautiously optimistic outlook amidst ongoing market challenges.
Positive Factors
Operational Improvements
Meetings bolstered our conviction that CNH is doing all the right things to regain its footing operationally, which in turn gives us greater confidence that the stock offers an attractive value proposition.
Product Quality and Innovation
Product quality improvements and innovation put the company on track to support not only improved earnings performance, but to regain its solid footing as a credible number two player for farmers across geographies.
Strategic Growth Plan
The company aims to achieve significant margin improvements in both Agriculture and Construction segments by 2030 through self-help initiatives.
Negative Factors
Economic and Market Challenges
The agricultural equipment downturn has caused a drop in production hours, which impacts CNH's Ag margin forecasts, indicating the cycle matters most leading into 2026.
Industry Downturn
The farm equipment industry is experiencing a prolonged downturn, with high inventory levels posing challenges for CNH.
Tariff and Agricultural Downturn
CNH is facing a challenging environment due to tariffs and agricultural downturns, impacting its performance.

CNH Industrial (CNH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CNH Industrial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCNH Industrial is a global manufacturer of heavy machinery, with a range of products including agricultural and construction equipment. One of its most recognizable brands, Case IH, has served farmers for generations. The company's products are available through a robust dealer network, which includes over 3,600 dealer and distribution locations worldwide. CNH’s finance arm provides retail financing for equipment to its customers in addition to wholesale financing for dealers, which increases the likelihood of product sales.
How the Company Makes MoneyCNH Industrial generates revenue primarily through the sale of its wide range of agricultural and construction equipment, commercial vehicles, and powertrain solutions. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of new equipment, aftermarket parts and services, financial services related to equipment financing, and leasing solutions. CNH Industrial also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its market reach and product offerings. Additionally, the company invests in technological advancements and sustainable practices to maintain competitive advantage and meet evolving customer demands, which further contribute to its profitability.

CNH Industrial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 14.26%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call reflected significant challenges, including a substantial decline in revenue and profit, reduced production due to soft demand, and high tariff exposure. While there were some positive developments such as a successful leadership transition, a reduction in dealer inventories, and the launch of a new product, the negative aspects outweighed the positives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Leadership Transition
Oddone Incisa will be stepping down as CFO, effective May 6th, to be succeeded by Jim Nickolas, who brings over 30 years of experience in corporate finance and business strategy.
Dealer Inventory Reduction
Agricultural dealers reduced inventory by $100 million in the quarter, marking a total reduction of about $1 billion since Q1 2024.
Launch of Automated Spraying Solution
CNH launched the Case IH SenseApply and New Holland IntelliSense using vision technology from Augmenta, offering cost-effective and flexible spraying options for farmers.
Negative Updates
Significant Revenue and Profit Decline
Consolidated revenues for the first quarter were down 21% to $3.8 billion. Industrial adjusted EBIT was $101 million, down 73% compared to last year, and EPS was $0.10.
Reduced Production and Demand
Production hours were down 26% compared to Q1 2024, with agriculture down 27% and construction down 19% due to soft industry demand.
High Tariff Exposure
CNH faces potential tariff impacts with announced tariffs of 25% on steel, 145% on China, 25% on Mexico and Canada (non-USMCA compliant), and 10% on other countries.
Company Guidance
During the CNH 2025 First Quarter Results Conference Call, CEO Gerrit Marx provided guidance on several key financial metrics and strategic priorities. The company reported a 21% decline in consolidated revenues to $3.8 billion and a 73% drop in industrial adjusted EBIT to $101 million, with EPS at $0.10. CNH's production hours decreased significantly, with agriculture down 27% and construction down 19% compared to Q1 2024. Despite the challenging market conditions, the company successfully reduced dealer inventories by $100 million in the quarter and is on track to reach its year-end inventory targets. CNH also launched new automated spraying solutions and announced several leadership changes, including the appointment of Jim Nickolas as the new CFO. The company emphasized its focus on operational excellence, technology advancement, and cost-saving initiatives while acknowledging the impact of global trade uncertainties and tariffs on its 2025 outlook. It revised its guidance, projecting industrial net sales to decrease by 11% to 19% and an industrial adjusted EBIT margin between 4.5% and 6.5%, with free cash flow expected to range from $100 million to $500 million.

CNH Industrial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CNH demonstrates solid profitability with robust margins and effective equity utilization. However, high leverage and fluctuating cash flows pose potential risks. The company needs to focus on stabilizing revenue and cash flow growth while managing leverage more effectively.
Income Statement
76
Positive
CNH's income statement shows robust gross profit and EBIT margins, with the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin at approximately 32.5% and EBIT margin at 18.9%. However, the company experienced a decline in revenue and net income compared to the previous annual report, indicating a need for growth stabilization.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 3.35, indicating leverage concerns. However, the company's return on equity (ROE) is strong at around 13.3%, suggesting effective use of equity. The equity ratio is low at about 18.6%, highlighting potential risks related to financial structure.
Cash Flow
71
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow of $1.78 billion in the TTM, with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of about 2.9. However, free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, with significant swings year-over-year, indicating stability concerns.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
18.85B19.84B24.69B23.55B19.49B26.04B
Gross Profit
6.13B6.49B7.85B6.97B5.40B4.56B
EBIT
3.57B3.85B4.95B4.36B3.30B1.74B
EBITDA
3.41B3.67B4.58B3.88B2.98B1.37B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.04B1.25B2.27B2.03B1.72B-493.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.70B3.19B4.32B5.13B5.84B9.63B
Total Assets
42.06B42.93B46.27B39.38B49.42B48.72B
Total Debt
26.29B27.16B27.63B23.19B21.09B26.51B
Net Debt
24.60B23.97B23.30B18.06B15.25B16.88B
Total Liabilities
34.10B35.16B38.12B32.41B42.56B43.69B
Stockholders Equity
7.84B7.65B8.03B6.93B6.78B4.91B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.78B782.00M-288.00M-442.00M3.16B3.68B
Operating Cash Flow
3.02B1.97B907.00M557.00M4.08B5.53B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.63B-2.77B-3.70B-3.01B-5.00B-2.75B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.81B-67.00M2.60B1.96B-1.45B659.00M

CNH Industrial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.98
Price Trends
50DMA
12.14
Positive
100DMA
12.32
Positive
200DMA
11.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
57.22
Neutral
STOCH
66.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.80, above the 50-day MA of 12.14, and above the 200-day MA of 11.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CNH.

CNH Industrial Risk Analysis

CNH Industrial disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CNH Industrial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CNH Industrial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CACAT
78
Outperform
$167.93B17.4055.67%1.58%-5.58%-7.37%
OSOSK
77
Outperform
$7.14B11.8615.24%1.84%5.95%-10.59%
75
Outperform
$48.23B13.9419.90%1.44%-8.64%-31.57%
DEDE
72
Outperform
$138.01B24.6524.07%1.27%-22.26%-37.83%
CNCNH
66
Neutral
$15.71B15.1313.26%1.99%-21.99%-52.11%
66
Neutral
$4.50B12.265.40%3.65%4.17%-12.01%
55
Neutral
$7.50B46.40-13.60%1.15%-23.02%-152.78%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNH
CNH Industrial
12.98
2.73
26.63%
AGCO
Agco
103.09
1.65
1.63%
CAT
Caterpillar
362.44
45.19
14.24%
DE
Deere
524.44
150.77
40.35%
OSK
Oshkosh
111.54
7.30
7.00%
PCAR
Paccar
92.70
-10.76
-10.40%

CNH Industrial Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
CNH Industrial Holds Annual General Meeting
Positive
May 12, 2025

On May 12, 2025, CNH Industrial held its annual general meeting where shareholders approved key resolutions, including the appointment of executive and non-executive directors, the 2024 financial statements, a $0.25 dividend per share, and amendments to the Equity Incentive Plan. Additionally, the company published its 2024 Sustainability Report, highlighting strategic priorities and achievements, further solidifying its commitment to sustainability and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNH) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CNH Industrial stock, see the CNH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
CNH Industrial Unveils New Strategic Business Plan
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, CNH Industrial hosted its 2025 Investor Day from the New York Stock Exchange, led by Chairperson Suzanne Heywood and CEO Gerrit Marx. The event, which was also webcast, aimed to update investors on the company’s business strategy, operations, and major projects, highlighting a new strategic business plan designed to enhance product leadership and expand margins.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CNH Industrial Reports Q1 2025 Financial Decline
Negative
May 1, 2025

CNH Industrial N.V. reported its first quarter 2025 results, showing a significant decline in financial performance compared to the same period in 2024. The company faced a 21% drop in consolidated revenues to $3.8 billion and a 64% decrease in net income to $132 million. This downturn was attributed to lower industry demand and dealer destocking, particularly affecting the Agriculture and Construction segments. Despite these challenges, CNH Industrial emphasized its commitment to operational excellence and cost management to navigate macroeconomic uncertainties.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
CNH Industrial Announces CFO Transition to James Nickolas
Neutral
Apr 10, 2025

On April 10, 2025, CNH Industrial announced the transition of its Chief Financial Officer, with Oddone Incisa stepping down and James Nickolas assuming the role on May 6, 2025. Nickolas brings over 30 years of experience in corporate finance and will be based in Oak Brook, Illinois. This transition marks a strategic move for CNH, as Nickolas’s expertise in finance and mergers and acquisitions is expected to support the company’s growth ambitions. Incisa, who has been with CNH for 28 years, will continue to assist in the transition until the end of May 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.