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The Chefs' Warehouse Inc. (CHEF)
NASDAQ:CHEF
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The Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) AI Stock Analysis

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CHEF

The Chefs' Warehouse

(NASDAQ:CHEF)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$63.00
▲(1.04% Upside)
The Chefs' Warehouse receives a moderate score due to strong earnings call performance and positive financial growth. However, high leverage, declining free cash flow, and overvaluation concerns weigh on the overall score. The technical analysis suggests a lack of strong momentum, further impacting the stock's attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand and effective market penetration, supporting long-term business expansion and stability.
Strategic Acquisitions
Strategic acquisitions enhance market reach and product offerings, strengthening competitive positioning and fostering sustainable growth.
Raised Financial Guidance
Increased financial guidance reflects management's confidence in future performance, driven by strong operational execution and market opportunities.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Declining Free Cash Flow
Declining free cash flow may constrain future investments and operational flexibility, affecting long-term growth and financial health.
Low EBIT and EBITDA Margins
Low margins suggest potential inefficiencies and limited profitability, which could hinder the company's ability to compete and invest in growth.

The Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

The Chefs' Warehouse Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Chefs' Warehouse, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in distribution of specialty food products in the United States and Canada. The company's product portfolio includes approximately 50,000 stock-keeping units, such as specialty food products, such as artisan charcuterie, specialty cheeses, unique oils and vinegars, truffles, caviar, chocolate, and pastry products. It also offers a line of center-of-the-plate products, including custom cut beef, seafood, and hormone-free poultry, as well as food products, such as cooking oils, butter, eggs, milk, and flour. The company serves menu-driven independent restaurants, fine dining establishments, country clubs, hotels, caterers, culinary schools, bakeries, patisseries, chocolatiers, cruise lines, casinos, and specialty food stores. It markets its center-of-the-plate products directly to consumers through a mail and e-commerce platform. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Ridgefield, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe Chefs' Warehouse generates revenue primarily through the distribution of specialty food products to restaurants, hotels, and other foodservice businesses. Its revenue model is based on the wholesale distribution of high-quality ingredients and culinary products, which are sold directly to customers. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with local and national suppliers, allowing it to offer an extensive product range. Additionally, The Chefs' Warehouse may leverage logistics and delivery services to enhance customer satisfaction and retention, further contributing to its earnings.

The Chefs' Warehouse Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue and profit growth, successful acquisitions, and raised full-year guidance, pointing towards an overall positive performance. However, there were some challenges related to the Texas commodity poultry attrition and temporary impacts in the Middle East. Overall, the company's outlook remains optimistic with ongoing expansion efforts.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Gross Profit Growth
Net sales for the third quarter increased by 9.6% to $1.021 billion, and gross profit increased by 10% to $247.2 million.
Operating Income and Net Income Increase
Operating income for the third quarter was $38.9 million compared to $31.9 million in 2024. GAAP net income increased to $19.1 million, or $0.44 per diluted share, from $14.1 million, or $0.34 per diluted share.
Acquisition of Italco Food Products
The company completed the acquisition of Italco Food Products, expanding its presence in the Denver, Colorado market.
Raised Full Year 2025 Guidance
The company raised its full-year financial guidance, estimating net sales between $4.085 billion and $4.115 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $247 million and $253 million.
Expansion in the Middle East
Chefs' Middle East business continued to grow, with facility expansions in Dubai, Qatar, and Oman, contributing to double-digit growth.
Negative Updates
Impact of Texas Commodity Poultry Attrition
Unique customer growth was impacted by the Texas commodity poultry attrition, with reported growth lower due to this factor.
Middle East Summer Impact
The temporary heightened conflict in the Middle East during the summer impacted unique customer growth in that region.
Company Guidance
During The Chefs' Warehouse third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided an optimistic outlook, raising its full-year guidance for net sales to between $4.085 billion and $4.115 billion, gross profit to range from $987 million to $995 million, and adjusted EBITDA to be between $247 million and $253 million. The third quarter saw a 9.6% increase in net sales, amounting to $1.021 billion, driven by a 7.7% rise in specialty sales and a 5.3% growth in unique item placements. Reported inflation was 7.4%, with a significant impact from the commodity poultry program attrition. The company highlighted a 59 basis point increase in specialty gross margins and a 49 basis point decrease in center-of-the-plate margins. Additionally, Chefs' Warehouse announced the acquisition of Italco Food Products, expanding its reach into Colorado, and reported a strong liquidity position of $224.6 million. The company expressed confidence in continued market share gains and growth, particularly in new markets like Texas and Florida, while addressing the potential impact of industry consolidations and geopolitical tensions.

The Chefs' Warehouse Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The Chefs' Warehouse demonstrates solid revenue growth and improving profitability, with stable gross margins. However, high leverage and declining free cash flow present potential risks. The company should focus on enhancing operational efficiencies and managing debt levels to strengthen its financial position.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The Chefs' Warehouse has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.07%. Gross profit margin is stable at around 24%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved to 1.76%, reflecting better profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low at 3.58% and 4.94%, respectively, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high at 1.67, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. However, the return on equity has improved to 13.14%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 29.24%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.39, indicating moderate cash generation from operations. Free cash flow has declined by 6.89%, which could impact future investments. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.74, showing a reasonable conversion of net income to free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.92B3.79B3.43B2.61B1.75B1.11B
Gross Profit705.08M914.15M814.47M618.64M390.49M248.15M
EBITDA148.73M193.14M156.55M125.71M47.18M-68.69M
Net Income45.63M55.48M34.59M27.75M-4.92M-82.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.91B1.86B1.71B1.51B1.07B974.33M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments96.87M114.66M49.88M158.80M115.16M193.28M
Total Debt930.04M915.83M926.27M832.77M542.48M530.48M
Total Liabilities1.35B1.32B1.25B1.10B723.58M629.74M
Stockholders Equity557.72M537.65M454.67M401.51M350.21M344.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.57M103.56M4.21M-22.71M-58.70M35.84M
Operating Cash Flow83.90M153.06M61.64M23.13M-19.90M42.88M
Investing Cash Flow-30.33M-49.82M-179.31M-232.02M-48.99M-67.97M
Financing Cash Flow-59.11M-38.48M9.01M253.22M-9.22M78.06M

The Chefs' Warehouse Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price62.35
Price Trends
50DMA
60.92
Positive
100DMA
62.29
Positive
200DMA
59.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Negative
RSI
62.35
Neutral
STOCH
53.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHEF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 62.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.78, above the 50-day MA of 60.92, and above the 200-day MA of 59.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CHEF.

The Chefs' Warehouse Risk Analysis

The Chefs' Warehouse disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. The Chefs' Warehouse reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

The Chefs' Warehouse Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$36.31B20.3484.89%2.83%2.92%-4.06%
$15.42B45.237.91%8.61%-22.16%
$16.45B31.2211.48%5.32%11.65%
$2.39B36.1713.64%7.90%68.05%
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
1.54%-134.75%
$2.32B-7.39%2.60%-3.23%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHEF
The Chefs' Warehouse
62.35
23.09
58.81%
SPTN
SpartanNash Co
26.90
6.64
32.77%
SYY
Sysco
74.29
2.02
2.80%
UNFI
United Natural Foods
38.29
17.62
85.24%
PFGC
Performance Food Group
98.36
17.07
21.00%
USFD
US Foods Holding
73.04
11.33
18.36%

The Chefs' Warehouse Corporate Events

The Chefs’ Warehouse Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Jul 31, 2025

The Chefs’ Warehouse, Inc. is a leading distributor of specialty food products, serving chefs and culinary professionals across the United States, the Middle East, and Canada. The company focuses on providing high-quality products to independent restaurants, fine dining establishments, and other food service venues.

Chefs’ Warehouse Reports Strong Q2 Growth and Raises Guidance
Jul 31, 2025

Chefs’ Warehouse Inc. recently reported a robust performance in its second-quarter earnings call, showcasing significant growth in net sales, gross profit, and adjusted EBITDA. Despite facing challenges such as inflation and strategic attrition in Texas, the company expressed confidence by raising its full-year guidance, signaling optimism for continued growth and profitability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025