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Adecco Group AG (ADEN) AI Stock Analysis

CH:ADEN

Adecco Group AG

(Six Swiss:ADEN)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:CHF 23.00▼(-0.17% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/09/26

CH:ADEN scores highest on a constructive earnings outlook (continued margin improvement, SG&A discipline, and AI-driven productivity) and solid technical trend strength. These positives are moderated by only average underlying financial quality (flat multi-year revenue, thin margins, and softer recent free-cash-flow momentum), while valuation and dividend yield provide additional support.

Positive Factors
AI-driven productivityBroad deployment of agentic AI can create a durable operating advantage by improving recruiter capacity, fill rates, and response times. As coverage expands toward management’s 70% revenue target, productivity gains should support scalable growth and operating leverage.
Negative Factors
Thin profitabilityVery thin operating and net margins leave limited room to absorb wage, pricing, or volume pressure. Even modest changes in client demand can therefore have an outsized effect on earnings, making sustained profitability dependent on productivity and disciplined cost control.

Adecco Group AG (ADEN) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%CH:ADEN+9.08%EWL+18.85%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CHF 3.99B
Dividend Yield
4.34%
Average Volume (3M)
712.20K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.3
Beta (1Y)
0.67
Revenue Growth
0.14%
EPS Growth
-0.63%
Country
Switzerland
Employees
33,000
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Staffing & Employment Services

Adecco Group AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Adecco Group AG, alongside its various subsidiaries, delivers a full spectrum of human resources services to companies and organizations throughout Europe, North America, Asia Pacific, South America, and North Africa. The firm's extensive service por...

How the Company Makes Money

Adecco Group makes money primarily by delivering workforce solutions to client organizations and earning fees tied to placing and managing talent. 1) Temporary staffing (flexible placement) - Revenue model: Adecco supplies temporary/contract workers...

Adecco Group AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-1.62%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed predominantly positive operational and financial momentum: mid-single-digit organic revenue growth, strong EBITA and EPS expansion, margin improvement, continued market share gains, meaningful AI-driven productivity gains, Akkodis returning to growth and clear progress on deleveraging. Notable near-term challenges include elevated one-off restructuring charges (Akkodis Germany, Adecco France), Q2 working capital absorption that reduced operating cash, and localized weakness in automotive and some APAC markets. Management expects further margin improvement and cash generation into H2 with restructuring benefits phasing in from Q4 and continued AI-driven efficiency and market-share gains.

Positive Updates

Group Revenue Growth
Group revenue rose 5.6% year-on-year on an organic trading days adjusted basis, reflecting broad-based momentum across regions and service lines.

Negative Updates

Gross Margin Still Slightly Below Prior Year
Group gross margin was 18.6%, 20 basis points lower year-on-year on an organic basis (improved sequentially from -40bps in Q1 to -20bps in Q2). Permanent placement impact remains negative though stabilizing (permanent placement gross profit improved from -7% in Q1 to -1% in Q2).

Company Guidance

Management guided to a modest sequential improvement in gross margin and lower SG&A (ex‑one‑offs) in Q3, with continued year‑on‑year EBITDA margin improvement into H2 and cash generation weighted to H2 (last‑12‑month cash conversion 83%; Q2 operating cash flow €23m, capex €37m, free cash outflow €14m); deleveraging remains a priority with net debt/EBITDA ex‑one‑offs at 2.7x (0.5x improvement YoY) and a target to reach ≤1.5x by end‑2027. They also raised the agentic AI penetration target to 70% of revenue by end‑2026 (50% reached at end‑Q2, agents live in 10 countries, 2.2m conversations to date) citing benefits of ~10% fill‑rate improvement, ~40% reduction in time‑to‑submit and 25–35% recruiter productivity gains that should drive operating leverage (organic drop‑down 64%) and support profitable growth (Q2 organic revenue +5.6%, gross profit €1.1bn/18.6% margin, EBITA ex‑one‑offs €165m, EBITDA margin 2.8% up 30bps, adjusted EPS +31%).

Adecco Group AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials appear stable but not strong: revenue has been broadly flat, profitability is thin (TTM net margin ~1.3%, operating margin ~2.4%), and margins are below 2021 levels. The balance sheet is serviceable with moderate leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.95), while cash flow remains positive but has softened versus the prior year (TTM FCF down vs 2025).

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

64Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.35B23.23B23.14B23.96B23.64B20.95B
Gross Profit4.37B4.39B4.50B4.97B4.97B4.28B
EBITDA765.74M816.30M760.00M841.00M770.00M971.00M
Net Income292.48M294.91M303.00M325.00M342.00M586.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.46B11.75B12.10B12.43B13.26B11.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments551.71M387.70M482.00M556.00M782.00M3.05B
Total Debt3.62B3.18B3.48B3.67B3.70B3.48B
Total Liabilities8.94B8.35B8.51B8.83B9.36B8.06B
Stockholders Equity3.51B3.38B3.58B3.60B3.88B3.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow385.63M486.16M563.00M347.00M328.00M590.00M
Operating Cash Flow524.59M617.00M707.00M563.00M543.00M722.00M
Investing Cash Flow-168.88M-157.02M-157.00M-209.00M-1.45B-206.00M
Financing Cash Flow-118.23M-465.02M-634.00M-620.00M-1.38B980.00M

Adecco Group AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price23.04

Price Trends

50DMA23.48Negative
100DMA21.56Positive
200DMA20.08Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.14Negative
RSI51.60Neutral
STOCH78.90Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:ADEN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.56, below the 50-day MA of 23.48, and above the 200-day MA of 20.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CH:ADEN.

Adecco Group AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

CH:ADEN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CH:ADENCH:ADEN69NeutralCHF 3.99B14.27―4.34%0.14%-0.63%
CH:KNINCH:KNIN66NeutralCHF 28.17B28.89―2.53%1.09%-5.24%
CH:DKSHCH:DKSH62NeutralCHF 5.01B22.81―3.24%-1.37%8.55%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
CH:SCMNCH:SCMN53NeutralCHF 36.23B27.57―3.72%13.78%-1.35%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%CH:ADENCH:KNINCH:SCMNCH:DKSHDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
CH:ADEN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CH:ADENAdecco Group23.041.949.18%
CH:KNINKuehne + Nagel237.2088.5759.59%
CH:SCMNSwisscom699.50135.9024.11%
CH:DKSHDKSH Holding77.1023.9345.01%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 09, 2026