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Compagnie Financiere Richemont (CFRUY) AI Stock Analysis

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CFRUY

Compagnie Financiere Richemont

(Other OTC:CFRUY)

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Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:$22.00▲(9.21% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:08/26/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong margins, earnings recovery, and healthy cash generation) and a generally positive earnings call emphasizing cash strength and shareholder returns, partly offset by margin headwinds and lack of explicit guidance. Near-term technicals are soft despite a supportive longer-term trend, and the high P/E with a modest dividend yield weighs on valuation.

Positive Factors
Jewellery Maisons growth and profitabilityThe Jewellery Maisons are Richemont’s largest business and combine strong growth with a high operating margin. Continued outperformance from Cartier, Van Cleef & Arpels and related brands supports durable pricing power, earnings quality and investment capacity.
Negative Factors
Structural margin pressure from costs and dutiesHigher gold prices and U.S. duties directly pressure product economics, while the reported gross-margin decline shows that cost inflation is already affecting profitability. Persistent input and trade-cost pressure could limit operating leverage even if sales continue to grow.

Compagnie Financiere Richemont (CFRUY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%CFRUY+4.91%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$117.45B
Dividend Yield
2.60%
Average Volume (3M)
449.37K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
30.3
Beta (1Y)
1.20
Revenue Growth
13.22%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
39,601
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Luxury Goods

Compagnie Financiere Richemont Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Compagnie Financière Richemont SA is a Swiss-based global luxury goods conglomerate with operations spanning Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and the Americas. Its operations are categorized into three core segments: high-end jewelry houses, sp...

How the Company Makes Money

Richemont makes money primarily by designing, manufacturing (in-house and through specialized supply chains), marketing, and selling luxury goods under its maisons, with revenue recognized mainly from the sale of finished products to consumers (retai...

Compagnie Financiere Richemont Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 21, 2026(Q4-2026)|% Change Since:2.81%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a predominantly positive performance: strong top‑line growth (EUR 22.4bn), clear outperformance from the Jewellery Maisons, robust cash generation (EUR 4.9bn operating cash flow) and a strong net cash position (EUR 8.5bn) plus an increased dividend. These positives were counterbalanced by notable margin headwinds — chiefly higher gold prices, U.S. duties (~EUR 200m), FX volatility and nonrecurring impairments — and weakness at the Specialist Watchmakers. On balance the strategic investments, cash strength and brand momentum materially outweigh the transitory cost and FX pressures.

Positive Updates

Group sales growth
Sales reached EUR 22.4 billion, up 11% at constant exchange rates and 5% at actual exchange rates; Q4 sales up 13% at constant rates, with sequential acceleration in Asia Pacific, the Americas and Japan.

Negative Updates

Gross margin erosion
Gross margin declined by 250 basis points to 64.4% (gross profit rose only 1% to EUR 14.4 billion). Excluding FX movements, gross margin was down c.40 bps; FX movements accounted for ~210 bps of the decline.

Company Guidance

Management gave no explicit FY27 financial guidance — rather they stressed navigating “volatile times” with vigilance, continued strategic investment and cost discipline while highlighting FY26 metrics as the baseline: sales €22.4bn (+11% at constant rates, +5% actual), operating profit €4.5bn (+1% actual, +23% CER; underlying ~€4.7bn excluding €164m non‑recurring charges), profit for the year €3.5bn, gross profit €14.4bn (gross margin 64.4%, -250bps YoY with -210bps FX impact), operating expenses 44.4% of sales, retail =71% of sales, direct‑to‑client 77%, wholesale 23%, cash flow from operations €4.9bn, free cash flow €2.8bn, net cash €8.5bn, CapEx ~€1bn (4.6% of sales) — >50% to retail, >25% to manufacturing, ~20% to IT/other — communications ~9% of sales, US duties ≈€200m and targeted buybacks noted; they proposed a total dividend CHF4.30 (ordinary CHF3.30, +10% y/y, plus CHF1 special).

Compagnie Financiere Richemont Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability and clear post-2023 earnings recovery (2026 gross margin ~64%, operating margin ~21%, net margin ~15.5%) support a solid score. Balance sheet leverage is moderate and improving (debt-to-equity ~0.56), but total debt remains sizable. Cash generation is healthy (2026 OCF ~4.9B; FCF ~3.9B) yet recent free-cash-flow momentum and cash-conversion volatility temper the score.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

70Positive

Cash Flow

67Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.24B22.42B21.40B20.62B19.15B17.58B
Gross Profit14.30B14.44B14.32B13.95B13.11B11.58B
EBITDA6.20B6.26B6.53B6.53B6.19B5.43B
Net Income3.48B3.48B2.75B2.36B313.00M2.07B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets42.67B42.67B41.01B42.68B40.99B40.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.25B17.25B16.77B19.49B18.38B16.60B
Total Debt13.50B13.50B13.15B16.36B15.75B15.13B
Total Liabilities18.50B18.50B18.84B22.05B21.92B20.23B
Stockholders Equity24.10B24.10B22.10B20.54B19.01B19.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.91B3.90B3.26B3.67B3.37B3.95B
Operating Cash Flow4.92B4.91B4.44B4.70B4.31B4.87B
Investing Cash Flow-1.56B-1.57B-1.55B-2.56B-1.97B-2.47B
Financing Cash Flow-4.35B-4.36B-2.55B-1.82B-2.25B-1.78B

Compagnie Financiere Richemont Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price20.14

Price Trends

50DMA21.26Negative
100DMA22.13Negative
200DMA20.66Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.35Positive
RSI42.06Neutral
STOCH19.78Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CFRUY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.57, below the 50-day MA of 21.26, and below the 200-day MA of 20.66, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CFRUY.

Compagnie Financiere Richemont Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

CFRUY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
RLRL71Outperform$23.39B24.4235.64%0.97%14.68%26.22%
TPRTPR70Outperform$23.08B15.51262.81%1.43%14.17%956.15%
MOVMOV69Neutral$498.01M17.158.19%4.81%4.83%136.40%
CFRUYCFRUY67Neutral$118.09B30.3015.06%2.60%13.22%―
REALREAL64Neutral$1.49B-119.602.94%―18.05%84.37%
ZGNZGN64Neutral$5.72B42.037.60%1.02%10.78%-15.63%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%CFRUYTPRMOVRLREALZGNDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
CFRUY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CFRUYCompagnie Financiere Richemont Sa Unsponsored ADR20.140.381.91%
TPRTapestry116.2911.3110.78%
MOVMovado Group Inc31.2114.0281.53%
RLRalph Lauren392.8781.2326.06%
REALRealreal11.960.050.42%
ZGNErmenegildo Zegna Group13.493.6336.87%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 26, 2026