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Ceribell, Inc. (CBLL) AI Stock Analysis

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CBLL

Ceribell, Inc.

(NASDAQ:CBLL)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:$29.00â–²(4.32% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/04/26

The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—especially sustained cash burn and deep losses—despite strong revenue growth and high gross margins. Technicals and a positive earnings call (raised guidance, margin outlook, lower expected interest expense, and cash-breakeven objective) provide support, while valuation remains constrained by lack of profitability and no dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Account ExpansionRapid revenue growth is supported by both new hospital additions and deeper utilization within existing accounts, reducing reliance on a single growth lever. Continued account expansion and recurring clinical usage can strengthen the installed base and support durable revenue growth over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent Cash Burn and LossesLarge operating and free cash outflows show that growth is not yet self-funded, while deep net losses limit financial flexibility. Without sustained improvement toward cash-flow breakeven, CeriBell may remain dependent on its cash balance or external capital to support expansion.

Ceribell, Inc. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by TypeBreaks down sales into hardware, consumables (disposables), service contracts and any recurring software/subscription revenue. For Ceribell, distinguishing one‑time device sales from repeat purchases or subscription fees shows how predictable future cash flow is, where margins tend to be higher, and which parts of the business drive growth. Heavy reliance on one‑time device sales can make results lumpy, while growth in consumables and subscriptions signals stickier customers and better long‑term revenue visibility; reimbursement changes, hospital adoption rates, and supply‑chain constraints are key risks to monitor.

$0.00$5.00M$10.00M$15.00M$20.00M$25.00MMar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Recorders/wearables are driving the bulk of Ceribell’s revenue acceleration while subscriptions are growing faster percentage‑wise but remain a smaller, improving recurring slice—so top‑line momentum is real but not yet predominantly recurring. Management’s Q1 commentary (strong account adds, high gross margins, raised guidance) confirms commercial traction; however, elevated operating expenses, litigation and seasonality in ICU volumes keep profitability pressured near term. Reimbursement wins (NTAP) and delirium/pediatric rollouts are meaningful upside that could materially improve revenue quality in 2027+.

Data provided by:The Fly

Ceribell, Inc. (CBLL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%CBLL+115.50%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.07B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
447.99K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-14.2
Beta (1Y)
0.83
Revenue Growth
31.28%
EPS Growth
-34.52%
Country
US
Employees
327
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Medical - Devices

Ceribell, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CeriBell, Inc. specializes in pioneering artificial intelligence (AI)-powered electroencephalography (EEG) solutions designed for the immediate diagnosis and treatment of neurological conditions directly at the patient's bedside. The company's primar...

Ceribell, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-1.66%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. CeriBell delivered approximately 30% revenue growth, record account additions, double-digit utilization growth, higher gross margins, raised full-year revenue guidance, and encouraging results from its delirium monitoring pilot. The company also outlined multiple product and market expansion initiatives for 2027. Offsetting factors included a wider net loss and adjusted EBITDA loss, operating expenses growing faster than revenue, ongoing litigation exposure, early-stage contributions from newer products, and the expectation that broad delirium adoption will take time.

Positive Updates

Strong Quarterly Revenue Growth
Q3 2026 revenue was $29.3 million, an approximately 30% increase from $22.6 million in Q3 2025 and a 4% sequential increase. Growth was driven by same-store growth, increased adoption across new and existing accounts, more accounts, and deeper penetration within the installed base.

Negative Updates

Operating Expenses Increased Faster Than Revenue
Total operating expenses were $46.9 million in Q3 2026, up 36% from $34.6 million in Q3 2025, compared with approximately 30% revenue growth. Sales and marketing expense was $25.0 million, G&A expense was $14.5 million, and R&D expense was $7.4 million.

Company Guidance

CeriBell expects full year 2026 revenue to range from $115 million to $117 million, up from prior guidance of $114 million to $117 million, representing annual growth of 29% to 31% over 2025; this range does not include material contributions from neonate, pediatric, or delirium products, which are expected to begin translating to revenue more meaningfully in 2027. Based on today's tariff policy and current inventory position, the company expects to maintain margins in the high 80% range going forward, expects interest expense to decrease materially going forward to less than $1 million annually, and remains committed to achieving cash flow breakeven with cash on hand. CeriBell expects many accounts to adopt its delirium monitoring solution quickly, but broad-scale conversion will occur over time, with a more granular perspective on anticipated revenue impact planned as part of 2027 financial guidance; VA commitments are expected to roll into the account base over the next 2 to 3 quarters or so, qEEG features will be released next year, and Omni will have a limited market release this quarter with the product expected to launch in 2027.

Ceribell, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Rapid revenue growth and very strong gross margins are positives, and leverage appears modest. However, the company remains deeply unprofitable with widening losses, and cash flow is the key weakness with sustained and worsening operating and free cash flow burn in the TTM period.

Income Statement

46Neutral

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue108.72M89.06M65.44M45.23M25.92M
Gross Profit97.04M78.27M56.75M38.16M21.49M
EBITDA-71.26M-50.18M-37.32M-26.51M-35.06M
Net Income-73.88M-53.41M-40.45M-29.46M-37.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets156.37M195.80M225.41M58.92M86.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments117.47M159.26M194.37M34.49M68.23M
Total Debt21.65M22.28M21.96M14.20M18.22M
Total Liabilities38.83M40.47M34.25M171.17M172.86M
Stockholders Equity117.54M155.34M191.16M-112.25M-86.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-58.70M-41.58M-36.38M-30.14M-32.52M
Operating Cash Flow-56.01M-40.81M-35.04M-29.16M-32.00M
Investing Cash Flow68.77M-118.14M-1.60M-1.76M-1.40M
Financing Cash Flow5.50M5.05M196.52M-2.82M49.80M

Ceribell, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price27.80

Price Trends

50DMA25.40Positive
100DMA22.80Positive
200DMA20.95Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.60Positive
RSI55.78Neutral
STOCH76.31Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CBLL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.80 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.03, above the 50-day MA of 25.40, and above the 200-day MA of 20.95, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CBLL.

Ceribell, Inc. Risk Analysis

Ceribell, Inc. disclosed 76 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ceribell, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Tech & Innovation - Risks related to the company’s reliance on technology and ability to make innovative products

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.Geopolitical conflicts may increase our costs and disrupt our supply chain.Q2, 2026

Ceribell, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

CBLL against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GEHCGEHC79Outperform$37.82B17.6519.85%0.17%6.87%-2.26%
PHGPHG67Neutral$29.38B26.868.44%3.26%――
CBLLCBLL56Neutral$1.07B-14.16-54.53%―31.28%-34.52%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
HYPRHYPR55Neutral$72.24M-2.25-82.89%―79.96%42.64%
NPCENPCE53Neutral$435.57M-22.20-119.68%―11.59%31.90%
CLPTCLPT41Neutral$281.12M-7.25-170.24%―32.51%-46.56%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%CBLLPHGCLPTHYPRNPCEGEHCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
CBLL and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CBLLCeribell, Inc.27.8015.31122.58%
PHGKoninklijke Philips N.V.30.202.207.86%
CLPTClearpoint Neuro, Inc.9.17-6.33-40.84%
HYPRHyperfine Inc.0.71-0.34-32.29%
NPCENeuropace, Inc.12.52-0.29-2.26%
GEHCGe Healthcare Technologies Inc.82.608.7811.89%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026