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Banco Macro SA (BMA)
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Banco Macro SA (BMA) AI Stock Analysis

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BMA

Banco Macro SA

(NYSE:BMA)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$51.00
▲(29.87% Upside)
Banco Macro's overall stock score reflects a mix of strong financial performance and valuation, tempered by bearish technical indicators and challenges highlighted in the earnings call. The company's robust revenue growth and solid balance sheet are significant strengths, but operational efficiency and asset quality need improvement.

Banco Macro SA (BMA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Banco Macro SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBanco Macro S.A. provides various banking products and services to retail and corporate customers in Argentina. It offers various retail banking products and services, such as savings and checking accounts, time deposits, credit and debit cards, consumer finance loans, mortgage loans, automobile loans, overdrafts, credit-related services, home and car insurance coverage, tax collection, utility payments, automated teller machines (ATMs), and money transfers. The company also provides personal loans, document discounts, residential mortgages, overdrafts, pledged loans, and credit card loans to retail customers. In addition, it offers corporate banking products and services, including deposits, lending, check cashing advances and factoring, guaranteed loans, credit lines for financing foreign trade, and cash management services; and trust, payroll, and financial agency services, as well as corporate credit cards and other specialty products; and working capital facilities, credit for investment projects, and leasing and foreign trade transactions. Further, the company provides transaction services, such as cash management, collection services, payments to suppliers, payroll services, foreign exchange transactions, and foreign trade services; information services comprising Datanet and Interpymes services to corporate customers; and Internet and mobile banking services. Additionally, it offers short-term and medium-to-long-term corporate lending products. As of December 31, 2021, it operated through a network of 466 branches, 1,779 ATMs, 955 self-service terminals, and various service points. The company was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
How the Company Makes MoneyBanco Macro generates revenue through various streams, primarily from interest income derived from loans issued to individuals and businesses. The bank provides personal loans, mortgages, and credit facilities to SMEs, which are significant components of its lending portfolio. Additionally, Banco Macro earns revenue through fees and commissions for services such as account maintenance, transaction processing, and financial advisory. The bank also benefits from investment income derived from its holdings in government securities and corporate bonds. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and technology firms enhance its service offerings and customer engagement, contributing to its overall profitability.

Banco Macro SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance for Banco Macro, with significant net income and comprehensive income growth, improved efficiency, and robust loan expansion. However, these positives were tempered by increased loan loss provisions, rising nonperforming loans, and higher interest expenses, indicating challenges in maintaining asset quality and managing costs.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Income Growth
Banco Macro's net income totaled ARS 149.5 billion, which was 209% higher than the previous quarter, driven by higher net interest income, fee income, and FX income.
Comprehensive Income Increase
Total comprehensive income for the quarter was ARS 157.1 billion, representing a 241% increase from the previous quarter.
Net Interest Income Surge
Net interest income increased by 14% quarter-on-quarter and 163% year-on-year, driven by a significant rise in interest income.
Efficiency Ratio Improvement
The efficiency ratio improved to 33.9% from 38.2% in the previous quarter and 55.6% a year ago.
Strong Loan Growth
Private sector loans increased 13% quarter-on-quarter and 91% year-on-year, with significant growth in commercial loans.
Solid Capital and Liquidity Position
Banco Macro reported an excess capital of ARS 3.13 trillion, with a capital adequacy ratio of 30.5% and a liquidity ratio of 67%.
Negative Updates
Increased Loan Loss Provisions
Provision for loan losses totaled ARS 103 billion, a 47% increase from the first quarter, reflecting loan growth and challenging economic conditions.
Rising Nonperforming Loans
Nonperforming loans in the consumer portfolio increased by 100 basis points, with overall NPLs expected to further deteriorate.
Higher Interest Expenses
Interest expenses rose by 28% quarter-on-quarter, mainly due to increased interest on deposits driven by higher rates.
Decreased Other Operating Income
Other operating income fell by 37% from the previous quarter, largely due to reduced credit and debit card income.
Company Guidance
During Banco Macro's second quarter 2025 earnings call, significant financial metrics were highlighted. The bank reported a net income of ARS 149.5 billion, up 209% from the previous quarter, primarily due to increased net interest income, net fee income, and FX income, along with lower inflation-related losses. This translated into an annualized ROE and ROA of 12% and 3.5%, respectively. Total comprehensive income rose by 241% to ARS 157.1 billion. Net operating income before expenses was ARS 906.2 billion, up 13% quarter-on-quarter. Loan growth contributed to a 47% increase in loan loss provisions to ARS 103 billion. The bank's net interest margin, including FX, improved to 23.5% from 23.2% in Q1 2025. Deposit growth was 4% quarter-on-quarter, with private sector deposits up 4%, while asset quality showed a nonperforming loan ratio of 2.06%. Banco Macro maintained a strong capital position with a Tier 1 ratio of 29.9% and continued to target a 60% loan growth and 30% deposit growth for the year.

Banco Macro SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Banco Macro SA demonstrates strong revenue growth and a solid balance sheet with low leverage. However, profitability margins are modest, and the decline in free cash flow growth poses a potential risk. The company should focus on improving operational efficiency and cash flow management to enhance overall financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Banco Macro SA shows a strong revenue growth rate of 27.43% in the latest year, indicating robust business expansion. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 5.04%, suggesting potential inefficiencies or high costs. The gross profit margin is healthy at 68.28%, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest at 5.57% and 7.71%, respectively, indicating room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11, reflecting conservative leverage. The return on equity is moderate at 8.04%, suggesting decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is solid, indicating a stable financial structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -51.29%, which could be a concern for future liquidity. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 86.44%, indicating that a substantial portion of earnings is converted into cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unavailable, limiting a full assessment of cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.46T3.15B1.51T1.13T409.07B
Gross Profit4.41T2.83T1.51T1.13T409.07B
EBITDA498.16B772.19B47.23B35.79B12.82B
Net Income325.50B587.32B126.95B138.74B76.90B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.49T6.72T6.51T1.95T1.17T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.21T1.20T1.21T335.69B196.18B
Total Debt465.41B396.48B239.19B90.36B60.98B
Total Liabilities10.44T4.67T280.10B102.52B72.23B
Stockholders Equity4.05T2.04T1.59T466.72B228.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow794.07B-142.30B1.54T229.96B341.09B
Operating Cash Flow918.59B-85.23B1.61T271.77B351.90B
Investing Cash Flow-133.69B-951.69B-75.77B-42.03B-10.81B
Financing Cash Flow-592.03B-56.91M-77.79B-52.64B-20.05B

Banco Macro SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price39.27
Price Trends
50DMA
61.25
Negative
100DMA
70.24
Negative
200DMA
79.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.63
Positive
RSI
25.09
Positive
STOCH
7.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BMA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 39.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.94, below the 50-day MA of 61.25, and below the 200-day MA of 79.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.63 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.09 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BMA.

Banco Macro SA Risk Analysis

Banco Macro SA disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Banco Macro SA reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
The Argentine economy has experienced significant volatility in recent decades, characterized by periods of low or negative growth, high levels of inflation and currency devaluation. Q4, 2023
2.
The occurrence of any of the above may have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, cash flow or financial condition. Q4, 2023

Banco Macro SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
13.66B14.6814.39%12.62%-8.82%4.87%
76
Outperform
1.65B7.8715.57%5.32%3.46%12.88%
72
Outperform
3.20B13.269.15%4.05%-2.56%12.05%
71
Outperform
4.44B3.730.00%2.16%-42.92%-21.46%
68
Neutral
1.66B5.3713.98%0.69%-47.41%-18.95%
63
Neutral
$2.63B6.5010.91%2.88%-57.78%-67.92%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BMA
Banco Macro SA
39.27
-31.05
-44.16%
BLX
Banco Latinoamericano De Comercio
46.98
16.31
53.18%
CIB
Bancolombia
51.88
24.01
86.15%
BBAR
Banco BBVA Argentina
8.19
-3.32
-28.84%
GGAL
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA
26.45
-18.66
-41.37%
FHB
First Hawaiian
25.67
2.87
12.59%

Banco Macro SA Corporate Events

Banco Macro S.A. Announces Fourth Dividend Payment for 2025
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Banco Macro S.A. announced the payment of the fourth installment of its cash dividend, amounting to AR $35,845,730,979.60, which represents a significant return of 5,606.0336% of its capital stock. This distribution, authorized by the Central Bank of the Republic of Argentina and the company’s board, will be available to shareholders from September 29, 2025, with a 7% withholding tax applicable under the revised Income Tax Law.

Banco Macro Reports Robust 2Q25 Financial Performance
Aug 27, 2025

Banco Macro reported a significant increase in its financial performance for the second quarter of 2025, with net income reaching Ps.149.5 billion, marking a 209% increase from the previous quarter. The bank’s total financing and deposits also saw substantial growth, with financing increasing by 91% year-over-year and deposits by 13%. The bank maintained a strong solvency ratio with excess capital of Ps.3.13 trillion and a capital adequacy ratio of 30.5%. These results reflect Banco Macro’s robust financial health and its ability to navigate the challenging economic environment in Argentina.

Banco Macro SA Reports Strong Financial Results for Q2 2025
Aug 27, 2025

Banco Macro SA reported its quarterly financial results on August 27, 2025, showing a total net income of 197,988,111 thousand Pesos and a total comprehensive income of 203,133,594 thousand Pesos. The financial statement highlights a strong equity position with a total net shareholders’ equity of 4,518,658,883 thousand Pesos. This financial performance underscores the bank’s robust market positioning and its ability to generate significant profits, benefiting both controlling and non-controlling interests.

Banco Macro Announces Third Dividend Payment for 2025
Aug 20, 2025

Banco Macro S.A. announced the payment of the third installment of its cash dividend, amounting to AR $35,185,719,535.63, which represents 5,502.8122% of its capital stock. This distribution follows the resolutions from the shareholders’ meeting in April and the Central Bank’s authorization in June, with the payment set to be available from August 28, 2025. The dividend payment is subject to a 7% withholding tax, and shareholders with American Depositary Receipts will receive their dividends through The Bank of New York Mellon.

Banco Macro SA Announces Leadership Change
Aug 20, 2025

Banco Macro SA, a prominent financial institution in Argentina, announced a significant change in its board of directors. On August 20, 2025, Lucas Matías Gregorio, previously an Alternate Director, assumed the role of Regular Director, replacing Guido Agustín Gallino following his resignation. This leadership transition is expected to influence the bank’s strategic direction and governance, potentially impacting its stakeholders and market position.

Banco Macro S.A. Announces Board of Directors Composition
Aug 20, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Banco Macro S.A. filed a report with the Securities and Exchange Commission, detailing the composition of its board of directors. The board includes several independent directors, with terms expiring between 2025 and 2027. This announcement underscores Banco Macro’s commitment to maintaining a diverse and experienced leadership team, which is crucial for its strategic direction and governance. The appointment of directors, including independent ones, is expected to strengthen the bank’s governance structure and enhance its market position.

Banco Macro Announces Director Resignation
Aug 12, 2025

Banco Macro SA, a prominent financial institution in Argentina, announced the resignation of Mr. Guido Agustín Gallino from his position as Regular Director due to personal reasons. This resignation, communicated on August 12, 2025, will be addressed in the upcoming Board meeting, potentially impacting the bank’s leadership dynamics.

Banco Macro Announces Second Dividend Payment for 2025
Jul 16, 2025

On July 16, 2025, Banco Macro S.A. announced the payment of the second installment of its cash dividend, amounting to AR $34,529,085,525.33, which equates to AR $54.0011909248 per share. This payment follows resolutions from the shareholders’ meeting in April and authorizations from the Central Bank of Argentina. The dividend will be available to shareholders from July 30, 2025, with a 7% withholding tax applicable. This distribution is part of a broader strategy to return value to shareholders, reflecting the company’s stable financial position.

Banco Macro Cancels TELBRÁS Cedear Program
Jun 24, 2025

On June 23, 2025, Banco Macro S.A. announced the cancellation of the Cedear Program for Telecomunicacoes Brasileiras S.A. (TELBRÁS). The cancellation involved 3,639 Cedears with a total value of USD 104,000, with payments processed through Caja de Valores S.A. on June 19, 2025. This move may impact stakeholders involved with TELBRÁS Cedears, reflecting Banco Macro’s strategic adjustments in its financial offerings.

Banco Macro S.A. Announces $300 Billion Dividend Distribution
Jun 18, 2025

On June 18, 2025, Banco Macro S.A. announced that its board resolved to distribute a cash dividend of AR $300 billion, approved by the Central Bank of Argentina, in 10 equal monthly installments. The first installment, amounting to AR $33.98 billion, will be available to shareholders on June 30, 2025, with subsequent payments adjusted for inflation using the consumer price index. This decision reflects the bank’s strong financial position and commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 11, 2025