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Builders Firstsource (BLDR)
NYSE:BLDR

Builders Firstsource (BLDR) AI Stock Analysis

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Builders Firstsource

(NYSE:BLDR)

67Neutral
Builders FirstSource's overall score of 67 reflects a balance of strengths in financial performance and strategic initiatives, countered by technical challenges and cautious earnings sentiment. The company's solid cash flow and low leverage are positive, but recent declines in revenue and net income, along with bearish technical indicators, present risks.
Positive Factors
Cost Savings
The company achieved ~$17M in productivity savings during the quarter through supply chain, fleet, and truss manufacturing initiatives with a full year target of $70-90M.
Growth Potential
BLDR is well positioned to profitably capitalize on residential construction primed to realize outsized benefits from the undersupply of new homes while strengthening its leading position.
Market Position
Builders FirstSource is much more than just a building products distributor, with higher, stickier margins and reduced sensitivity to commodity prices than the Company had ~6+ years ago.
Negative Factors
Guidance Reduction
BLDR is reducing 2025 guidance for net sales and adjusted EBITDA, indicating a challenging housing market.
Housing Demand
Weaker-than-expected new single-family housing demand is leading to more price competition and margin pressure.
Macroeconomic Challenges
Macro uncertainty takes its toll, as what was previously shaping up to be a flattish year for new construction appears to be deteriorating.

Builders Firstsource (BLDR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Builders Firstsource Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBuilders FirstSource, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and supplies building materials, manufactured components, and construction services to professional homebuilders, sub-contractors, remodelers, and consumers in the United States. It offers lumber and lumber sheet goods comprising dimensional lumber, plywood, and oriented strand board products that are used in on-site house framing; manufactured products, such as wood floor and roof trusses, steel roof trusses, wall panels, stairs, and engineered wood products; and windows, and interior and exterior door units, as well as interior and exterior trims and custom products under the Synboard brand name. The company also offers gypsum, roofing, and insulation products, including wallboards, ceilings, joint treatments, and finishes; and siding, metal, and concrete products, such as vinyl, composite, and wood siding products, as well as exterior trims, other exteriors, metal studs, and cement products. In addition, it provides other building products and services, such as cabinets and hardware, as well as turn-key framing, shell construction, design assistance, and professional installation services. The company was formerly known as BSL Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Builders FirstSource, Inc. in October 1999. Builders FirstSource, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is based in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyBuilders FirstSource generates revenue primarily by supplying a wide array of building materials and manufactured products to the residential construction market. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of lumber and lumber sheet goods, manufactured products such as roof and floor trusses, wall panels, stairs, and engineered wood products, as well as windows, doors, and millwork. Additionally, Builders FirstSource offers value-added services like project management and installation services. The company capitalizes on strategic partnerships with suppliers and leverages economies of scale to maintain competitive pricing and secure a steady supply chain. These factors, combined with a strong distribution network, contribute significantly to its earnings.

Builders Firstsource Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Builders FirstSource shows solid profitability with a gross profit margin of 32.1% and a net profit margin of 5.7% for TTM. The balance sheet is healthy with low leverage and stable capital structure, and cash flow generation is strong. However, revenue and net income declines pose challenges.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows solid profitability with a gross profit margin of 32.1% and a net profit margin of 5.7% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, both revenue and net income have declined compared to the previous year, indicating some challenges in maintaining top-line growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, at 8.7% and 11.3%, respectively.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15, which indicates low leverage. The equity ratio stands at 38.2%, demonstrating a stable capital structure. However, the return on equity is modest at 20.9%, which suggests room for improvement in generating higher returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement is robust, with a significant operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.84, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable at 1.42. Although free cash flow has decreased slightly in the TTM period, the company maintains solid cash flow metrics overall.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
16.40B17.10B22.73B19.89B8.56B
Gross Profit
5.38B6.01B7.74B5.85B2.22B
EBIT
1.60B2.18B3.77B2.39B543.85M
EBITDA
1.60B2.73B4.27B2.93B660.42M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.08B1.54B2.75B1.73B313.54M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
153.62M66.16M80.44M42.60M423.81M
Total Assets
10.58B10.50B10.60B10.71B4.17B
Total Debt
4.33B3.71B3.49B3.40B1.91B
Net Debt
4.18B3.65B3.41B3.36B1.48B
Total Liabilities
6.29B5.77B5.63B5.91B3.02B
Stockholders Equity
4.30B4.73B4.96B4.80B1.15B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.49B1.83B3.26B1.52B147.99M
Operating Cash Flow
1.87B2.31B3.60B1.74B260.07M
Investing Cash Flow
-710.72M-668.29M-957.48M-1.34B-136.22M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.07B-1.65B-2.60B-780.11M285.87M

Builders Firstsource Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price107.15
Price Trends
50DMA
124.18
Negative
100DMA
139.54
Negative
200DMA
158.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.27
Positive
RSI
33.22
Neutral
STOCH
5.92
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BLDR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 107.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 116.77, below the 50-day MA of 124.18, and below the 200-day MA of 158.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.92 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BLDR.

Builders Firstsource Risk Analysis

Builders Firstsource disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Builders Firstsource reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Builders Firstsource Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
OCOC
77
Outperform
$12.20B19.6012.63%1.78%13.41%-44.36%
76
Outperform
$7.19B49.9710.73%6.59%30.00%
LPLPX
73
Outperform
$6.30B15.3824.41%1.21%8.09%55.08%
72
Outperform
$7.72B25.2516.54%4.93%
WMWMS
70
Outperform
$8.75B19.2534.07%0.57%3.67%-5.03%
67
Neutral
$11.84B13.7619.62%-5.49%-33.51%
64
Neutral
$4.25B11.725.24%249.79%4.07%-9.45%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BLDR
Builders Firstsource
107.15
-56.31
-34.45%
BECN
Beacon Roofing Supply
124.17
31.89
34.56%
LPX
Louisiana-Pacific
90.41
3.21
3.68%
OC
Owens Corning
142.63
-29.33
-17.06%
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
111.21
-56.22
-33.58%
AZEK
AZEK Company
49.00
4.08
9.08%

Builders Firstsource Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -10.43%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. There were significant achievements in digital sales growth, M&A activity, and share repurchases, which indicate a strategic focus on long-term growth. However, these were offset by declines in net sales, multifamily segment performance, and EBITDA, along with ongoing gross margin pressure. The company's liquidity and proactive productivity savings are positive, but the overall sentiment remains cautious due to the challenging market conditions.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Digital Sales Growth
The company realized $19 million in incremental digital sales for the quarter, bringing the total to $153 million since launch.
High On-Time Delivery Rate
Builders FirstSource achieved an on-time and in-full delivery rate of 92%.
Successful M&A Activity
Completed two acquisitions in the first quarter with prior year sales of $565 million, including Alpine Lumber and O.C. Cluss.
Significant Share Repurchases
The company repurchased 3.3 million shares for $391 million in April and announced a $500 million share repurchase program.
Strong Liquidity Position
Total liquidity was $1.1 billion, consisting of $944 million in net borrowing availability and $115 million in cash.
Productivity Savings
Achieved $17 million in productivity savings in Q1 through supply chain initiatives, efficient manufacturing, and fleet management.
Negative Updates
Net Sales Decline
Net sales decreased 6% to $3.7 billion, driven by lower organic sales and commodity deflation.
Multifamily Segment Decline
Core organic sales in the multifamily segment declined 33% due to muted activity levels.
EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA was $369 million, down 32% from the prior year, primarily due to lower gross profit.
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margins decreased by 290 basis points to 30.5%, driven by margin normalization and below-normal start environments.
Lower Single-Family Activity
Single-family declined 6%, attributable to lower starts activity, value per start, and weather impacts.
Company Guidance
During the Builders FirstSource First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, management provided guidance on various financial metrics and strategic initiatives. For the full year 2025, the company anticipates net sales to range from $16.05 billion to $17.05 billion, with adjusted EBITDA expected between $1.7 billion and $2.1 billion. The projected adjusted EBITDA margin is between 10.6% and 12.3%, while gross margins are expected to be in the range of 29% to 31%. Free cash flow is forecasted at $800 million to $1.2 billion. In the first quarter, net sales decreased by 6% to $3.7 billion, and gross profit decreased by 14% to $1.1 billion, primarily due to margin normalization and a below-normal starts environment. The company completed two acquisitions with aggregate prior year sales of roughly $565 million and committed over $900 million towards business investments, acquisitions, and share repurchases in Q1. Additionally, they reported $19 million in incremental digital sales for the quarter, with an expected additional $200 million in incremental sales by the end of 2025. Builders FirstSource remains focused on organic growth, operational excellence, and disciplined capital allocation while navigating affordability challenges and macroeconomic uncertainties.

Builders Firstsource Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Builders FirstSource Announces $500M Senior Notes Offering
Positive
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Builders FirstSource announced its intention to offer $500 million in senior unsecured notes due 2035, subject to market conditions. The proceeds from this offering are intended to repay outstanding indebtedness under the company’s ABL Facility. Additionally, Builders FirstSource plans to amend its senior secured ABL facility to increase commitments and extend the maturity date, although these plans are not contingent on the completion of the notes offering. This strategic financial maneuver aims to strengthen the company’s financial flexibility and operational capacity.

Spark’s Take on BLDR Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BLDR is a Neutral.

Builders FirstSource’s overall score of 64 reflects a balance of strengths in financial performance and strategic initiatives, countered by technical challenges and cautious earnings sentiment. The company’s solid cash flow and low leverage are positive, but recent declines in revenue and net income, along with bearish technical indicators, present risks.

To see Spark’s full report on BLDR stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
Builders FirstSource Releases 2025 CSR Report
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

On April 30, 2025, Builders FirstSource released its 2025 Corporate Social Responsibility report, showcasing its commitment to sustainability and safety. The report highlights achievements such as a 10% reduction in the total recordable incident rate, significant charitable contributions, and sustainable sourcing practices. These efforts reflect the company’s dedication to a people-first culture and its ongoing transformation of the homebuilding industry to create a lasting impact.

Spark’s Take on BLDR Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BLDR is a Neutral.

Builders Firstsource scores a 66, reflecting a balance of strengths and challenges. The company’s solid financial performance, strong EBITDA, and strategic investments are key strengths. However, the technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and external challenges such as market conditions and severe weather impact sales. The reasonable P/E ratio supports a fair valuation.

To see Spark’s full report on BLDR stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Builders FirstSource Strengthens Board with New Appointments
Neutral
Feb 20, 2025

In a recent development, Builders FirstSource announced the addition of Cheryl Ainoa and Maria Renz to its Board of Directors, effective March 1, 2025. Both bring substantial expertise in digital transformation and innovation from leading tech companies, which is expected to enhance the company’s strategic direction. Furthermore, the company reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, highlighting a decline in net sales, gross margin, and net income due to lower core organic sales and commodity deflation. Despite these challenges, Builders FirstSource remains committed to investing in value-added solutions and technology, positioning itself for resilience and future growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.