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Brookfield Renewable Corporation (BEPC)
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Brookfield Renewable (BEPC) AI Stock Analysis

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BEPC

Brookfield Renewable

(NYSE:BEPC)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$33.00
▼(-12.28% Downside)
Brookfield Renewable's overall stock score is driven by significant financial challenges, including high leverage and negative profitability, which weigh heavily on the score. However, positive earnings call highlights, including strong growth in renewable projects and strategic acquisitions, provide some optimism. The technical analysis and valuation offer a neutral to slightly positive outlook, but the financial performance remains a critical concern.

Brookfield Renewable (BEPC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brookfield Renewable Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrookfield Renewable (BEPC) is a leading global renewable energy company, primarily focused on the development, operation, and management of renewable power assets. The company operates across various sectors, including hydroelectric, wind, solar, and storage facilities, providing a diverse portfolio of clean energy solutions. As a part of Brookfield Asset Management, BEPC leverages its extensive expertise in renewable energy to contribute to the global transition towards sustainable energy sources.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrookfield Renewable generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity produced from its renewable energy assets. The company enters into long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utility companies and other customers, ensuring stable cash flows. Additionally, BEPC benefits from government incentives and renewable energy credits, which bolster its revenue streams. The company also engages in the development of new projects, often forming partnerships with other entities to expand its portfolio and increase its market presence. By operating a diverse range of renewable facilities, Brookfield Renewable mitigates risks associated with energy price fluctuations and regulatory changes, further enhancing its financial stability.

Brookfield Renewable Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 31, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 02, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with significant growth in renewable projects and strategic acquisitions. However, recent tariffs have negatively impacted market sentiment and could potentially affect project costs, though the company feels well-positioned to navigate these challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
FFO per unit increased by 15% year-over-year, and on an all-in basis, it increased by 7% year-over-year. The company delivered funds from operations of $315 million or $0.48 per unit.
Significant Progress with Renewable Projects
The company commissioned approximately 800 megawatts of renewable energy capacity in the quarter and expects to bring approximately 8 gigawatts online in 2025.
Strategic Acquisitions
Brookfield completed the privatization of Neoen and reached an agreement to acquire National Grid Renewables, deploying $4.6 billion or $500 million net to Brookfield Renewable.
Positive Outlook for Hydro Segment
Hydroelectric segment continues to benefit from favorable all-in pricing with strong demand for clean power and a healthy snowpack and reservoir levels near long-term average.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs on Market Sentiment
Recent tariffs have led to lower public market valuations for renewable energy companies, despite strong fundamentals for energy demand.
Potential Permit Delays in the U.S.
There are still some delays in the receipt of federal permits for certain projects in the U.S., though it's noted that this is expected to have a minimal impact.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Brookfield Renewables reported robust financial performance with funds from operations (FFO) of $315 million or $0.48 per unit, reflecting a 15% year-over-year increase when adjusting for strong hydro generation in the prior year, and a 7% increase on an all-in basis. The company highlighted its progress in securing contracts to deliver an additional 4,500 gigawatt-hours per year of generation and its successful commissioning of approximately 800 megawatts of renewable energy capacity. Brookfield also emphasized its strategic moves, including the privatization of Neoen and an agreement to acquire National Grid Renewables, committing or deploying $4.6 billion in investments. Despite market volatility and tariffs, the company remains optimistic about achieving its growth and return targets, supported by a diversified global platform and strong supplier relationships.

Brookfield Renewable Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brookfield Renewable is experiencing revenue growth but faces significant challenges in profitability and financial stability. High leverage and negative profitability margins are major concerns. While there are some improvements in cash flow, the overall financial health of the company is under pressure.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Brookfield Renewable's income statement shows mixed results. The TTM data indicates a revenue growth rate of 8.37%, which is positive. However, the company is experiencing significant challenges with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -43.72% and a negative EBIT margin of -28.32%. These figures suggest that despite revenue growth, the company is struggling to convert sales into profits, which is a concern for long-term sustainability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals high financial leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 124.04 in the TTM period, indicating a heavy reliance on debt financing. This is a potential risk, especially given the negative return on equity of -95.21%, which suggests that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is also low, highlighting a weak capital structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows some areas of concern. The TTM free cash flow is negative, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is -1.51, indicating that the company is not generating positive cash flow relative to its net income. However, there is a positive free cash flow growth rate of 65.90%, suggesting some improvement in cash flow generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.02, which further emphasizes cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.25B4.14B3.97B3.78B3.43B3.09B
Gross Profit2.09B2.38B2.50B2.60B2.24B2.03B
EBITDA149.35M3.53B3.00B2.44B2.07B-1.35B
Net Income-1.86B236.00M-181.00M1.50B946.00M-2.74B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets62.81B44.13B49.42B43.29B41.99B39.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments800.96M392.00M627.00M929.50M702.31M355.00M
Total Debt19.63B14.09B16.57B14.08B13.88B13.21B
Total Liabilities48.14B32.02B32.29B26.46B27.76B27.75B
Stockholders Equity158.28M1.34B5.79B5.87B3.67B1.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-685.15M-400.00M575.00M437.00M-959.00M619.00M
Operating Cash Flow455.05M549.00M1.60B1.28B395.00M992.00M
Investing Cash Flow-462.94M-665.00M-1.02B-738.00M-984.00M-478.00M
Financing Cash Flow-90.23M192.00M-636.00M-402.00M678.00M-475.00M

Brookfield Renewable Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.62
Price Trends
50DMA
34.27
Positive
100DMA
33.29
Positive
200DMA
30.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.10
Negative
RSI
65.52
Neutral
STOCH
79.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BEPC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.47, above the 50-day MA of 34.27, and above the 200-day MA of 30.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BEPC.

Brookfield Renewable Risk Analysis

Brookfield Renewable disclosed 5 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brookfield Renewable reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Dividends on BEPC exchangeable shares (2) Q4, 2024
2.
Remeasurement of BEPC exchangeable and BEPC class B shares Q4, 2024
3.
Interest expense (2) Q4, 2024

Brookfield Renewable Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$6.31B48.175.40%0.46%2.23%-0.82%
69
Neutral
$2.89B26.488.27%33.19%486.74%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$6.23B45.503.80%5.93%-0.27%-16.25%
64
Neutral
$6.34B49.153.80%5.58%-0.27%-16.25%
48
Neutral
$6.76B32.67-63.28%3.92%12.46%-388.89%
42
Neutral
$11.57B-29.93%305.08%-17.22%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BEPC
Brookfield Renewable
37.62
8.78
30.44%
ORA
Ormat Techno
103.96
27.53
36.02%
CWEN
Clearway Energy
31.15
4.94
18.85%
CWEN.A
Clearway Energy
29.31
5.02
20.67%
SMR
NuScale Power
39.24
25.30
181.49%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
7.97
2.04
34.40%

Brookfield Renewable Corporate Events

Brookfield Renewable Reports Strong Financial Position as of June 2025
Aug 1, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Brookfield Renewable Corporation released its interim consolidated financial statements and management’s discussion and analysis for the periods ending June 30, 2025, and 2024. The financial statements reveal a comprehensive overview of the company’s financial position, indicating a total asset increase to $46,034 million from $44,129 million at the end of 2024. This financial update reflects Brookfield Renewable’s ongoing growth and stability in the renewable energy sector, potentially impacting stakeholders by reinforcing confidence in the company’s financial health and strategic direction.

Brookfield Renewable Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Major Google Partnership
Aug 1, 2025

Brookfield Renewable announced strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a record Funds From Operations (FFO) of $371 million, a 10% increase from the previous year. The company secured significant contracts, including a landmark agreement with Google to deliver up to 3,000 megawatts of hydroelectric capacity in the U.S. Brookfield Renewable also increased its stake in Isagen, a major hydro business in Colombia, and continued its asset recycling program, generating substantial proceeds for reinvestment. These strategic moves enhance Brookfield Renewable’s positioning as a global leader in renewable energy and demonstrate its ability to capitalize on growing energy demand and investment opportunities.

Brookfield Renewable Updates Code of Business Conduct and Ethics
Jul 23, 2025

On July 23, 2025, Brookfield Renewable released an updated Code of Business Conduct and Ethics, reinforcing its commitment to ethical standards and integrity. The Code serves as a guideline for all personnel, emphasizing honesty and compliance with legal and regulatory requirements. This update underscores Brookfield Renewable’s dedication to maintaining a positive public image and fostering trust with stakeholders, which is crucial for its operations and industry positioning.

Brookfield and Google Forge Landmark Hydro Power Deal
Jul 15, 2025

On July 15, 2025, Brookfield Renewable and Google announced a groundbreaking Hydro Framework Agreement (HFA) to provide up to 3,000 MW of hydroelectric power in the U.S., marking the largest corporate clean power deal for hydroelectricity. The agreement, which includes $3 billion in contracts for 670 MW from facilities in Pennsylvania, aims to support Google’s 24/7 carbon-free energy goals and enhance Brookfield’s clean energy offerings. This collaboration underscores the role of hydropower in meeting the energy demands of the technology sector and strengthens Brookfield’s position in the renewable energy market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 05, 2025