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California BanCorp
(NASDAQ:BCAL)
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Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$24.00
▲(21.33% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/08/26
BCAL scores well primarily on financial stability and profitability (low leverage and healthy margins), reinforced by positive corporate developments (improving credit quality, dividend increase, and buybacks). The score is held back by the dataset’s sharp TTM revenue drop and weaker cash flow momentum, while technicals and valuation are supportive but not decisive.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Sustained low leverage provides structural resilience to credit cycles and liquidity stress, allowing the bank to absorb loan losses, fund organic loan growth and maintain capital returns. A conservatively levered balance sheet supports stability across 2–6 months and enhances funding optionality.
Negative Factors
Severe TTM revenue decline
A roughly 97% TTM revenue drop materially reduces revenue visibility and questions sustainable scale. Even with strong margins, a collapsed revenue base constrains growth optionality, makes forecasting earnings harder and raises the risk that profits may not persist absent revenue normalization or new revenue drivers.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet / low leverage
Sustained low leverage provides structural resilience to credit cycles and liquidity stress, allowing the bank to absorb loan losses, fund organic loan growth and maintain capital returns. A conservatively levered balance sheet supports stability across 2–6 months and enhances funding optionality.
Read all positive factors
California BanCorp (BCAL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$697.02M
Dividend Yield1.4%
Average Volume (3M)154.65K
Price to Earnings (P/E)11.5
Beta (1Y)0.89
Revenue Growth-2.10%
EPS Growth110.95%
CountryUS
Employees288
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryBanks - Regional
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.86
Shares Outstanding32,150,540
10 Day Avg. Volume121,382
30 Day Avg. Volume154,649
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.01
Price to Book (P/B)1.06
Price to Sales (P/S)2.58
P/FCF Ratio10.74
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$24.33Price Target Upside23.02% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)1.71
Revenue Forecast (FY)$182.41M
California BanCorp Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
California BanCorp operates as the bank holding company for California Bank of Commerce, N.A. that provides various financial products to individuals, professionals, and small- to medium-sized businesses in California, the United States. The compa...
How the Company Makes Money
California BanCorp primarily earns money through its banking subsidiary by (1) generating net interest income—the spread between interest earned on loans and other interest-earning assets and interest paid on deposits and other funding sources—and...
California BanCorp Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 231.33M | 237.07M | 184.58M | 126.90M | 98.02M | 71.56M |
| Gross Profit | 184.18M | 189.00M | 106.07M | 96.60M | 86.27M | 67.00M |
| EBITDA | 88.17M | 93.57M | 11.90M | 38.77M | 23.98M | 15.91M |
| Net Income | 60.20M | 63.06M | 5.43M | 25.91M | 16.11M | 10.71M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.03B | 4.03B | 4.03B | 2.36B | 2.28B | 2.27B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 363.99M | 286.90M | 202.47M | 163.04M | 172.88M | 78.00M |
| Total Debt | 52.99M | 71.70M | 88.03M | 114.98M | 78.83M | 29.41M |
| Total Liabilities | 3.44B | 3.46B | 3.52B | 2.07B | 2.02B | 2.02B |
| Stockholders Equity | 586.64M | 576.59M | 511.84M | 288.15M | 260.36M | 246.53M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 59.28M | 56.94M | 49.74M | 32.80M | 12.27M | 17.90M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 60.24M | 57.29M | 50.29M | 33.10M | 13.35M | 19.65M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -227.13M | 29.75M | 524.65M | -78.93M | -512.70M | 8.52M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 1.70M | -75.29M | -273.58M | 45.86M | 6.10M | 301.01M |
California BanCorp Technical Analysis
Positive
19.78
Price Trends
20.75
Positive
19.62
Positive
19.04
Positive
Market Momentum
0.24
Positive
54.17
Neutral
65.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCAL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.35, below the 50-day MA of 20.75, and above the 200-day MA of 19.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BCAL.
California BanCorp Risk Analysis
California BanCorp disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. California BanCorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
California BanCorp Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $766.60M | 13.82 | 10.18% | 5.83% | 27.43% | ― | |
75 Outperform | $966.33M | 11.19 | 9.53% | 4.48% | 16.77% | 9.64% | |
74 Outperform | $697.02M | 11.51 | 10.44% | ― | -2.10% | 110.95% | |
73 Outperform | $799.93M | 11.88 | 11.10% | 2.12% | 2.79% | 22.84% | |
69 Neutral | $822.74M | 10.16 | 13.09% | 3.10% | 46.45% | ― | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% |
* Financial Sector Average
BCAL
California BanCorp
21.41
5.67
35.98%
FMNB
Farmers National Banc Oh
16.12
2.72
20.30%
FISI
Financial Institutions
41.56
16.64
66.77%
SHBI
Shore Bancshares
23.64
8.05
51.59%
WASH
Washington Bancorp
40.22
13.67
51.46%
California BanCorp Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
California BanCorp Posts Strong Q2 2026 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 27, 2026
California BanCorp reported second-quarter 2026 net income of $14.3 million, or $0.44 per diluted share, up from the prior quarter and modestly above year-ago levels, reflecting higher net interest income and lower noninterest expense. The company...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsShareholder Meetings
California BanCorp Shareholders Approve Equity Plan, Elect Directors
Positive
May 28, 2026
California BanCorp held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 27, 2026, where investors approved the company’s 2026 Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan and re-elected ten directors to one-year terms, signaling continued support for curren...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.