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Banco Bradesco (BBDO)
NYSE:BBDO
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Banco Bradesco (BBDO) AI Stock Analysis

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BBDO

Banco Bradesco

(NYSE:BBDO)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
â–²(15.89% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/06/26
The score is primarily held back by financial risk signals—especially high leverage and a sharp TTM cash-flow deterioration—despite decent profitability. Offsetting this, valuation is attractive (low P/E and high dividend) and the technical trend is positive, while the latest earnings call was net supportive due to reaffirmed growth guidance and capital-strengthening actions, tempered by provisioning and asset-quality headwinds.
Positive Factors
Broad loan portfolio growth
Growth across SME, corporate, and individual lending shows broad customer demand rather than dependence on one segment. Continued portfolio expansion can support recurring interest income, deepen client relationships, and improve operating leverage if credit discipline remains intact.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Persistently high leverage leaves less room to absorb weaker credit conditions or funding pressure and increases sensitivity to the banking cycle. Although returns remain solid, the capital structure can constrain strategic flexibility and make balance-sheet management more important over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Broad loan portfolio growth
Growth across SME, corporate, and individual lending shows broad customer demand rather than dependence on one segment. Continued portfolio expansion can support recurring interest income, deepen client relationships, and improve operating leverage if credit discipline remains intact.
Read all positive factors

Banco Bradesco (BBDO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Banco Bradesco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Banco Bradesco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Brazil and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Banking and Insurance. It engages in banking operations, including investment,...
How the Company Makes Money
Bradesco generates revenue primarily from a mix of interest-based income and fee-based income across its banking and insurance/asset management activities. (1) Net interest income: The bank earns interest and similar income on loans and other inte...

Banco Bradesco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple strong operational and financial positives: solid net income and ROAE, double‑digit loan portfolio growth across segments (notably SME and government‑backed origination), increasing revenues and client NII, robust insurance results, market leadership in several niches, significant digital/AI progress, and a proactive capital increase to strengthen tangible capital. Headwinds are present — chiefly timing‑related provisioning from guarantee claim periods (FGI/FGO), some asset‑quality increases tied to specific clients (John Deere Bank and one wholesale name), modest fee growth and capital markets volatility. Management framed the quality issues as largely manageable, collateralized and temporary, and emphasized risk‑adjusted returns and portfolio selectivity. On balance, the positive operational momentum and capital actions outweigh the localized asset‑quality and revenue‑mix challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Net Income and Profitability
Net income of BRL 7.1 billion in Q2 2026, up 16.2% year‑on‑year and 3.5% quarter‑on‑quarter; ROAE reported at 16.2% for the quarter (management highlighted strong quarterly profitability).
Negative Updates
Asset Quality Pressure from Guarantee Claim Timing
Provisioning pressure due to FGI/FGO guarantee claim/grace periods (120–185 days) and production peak from March–October last year, causing temporary increases in provisions and upward pressure on over‑90 NPL and cost of risk until guarantees are collected.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Net Income and Profitability
Net income of BRL 7.1 billion in Q2 2026, up 16.2% year‑on‑year and 3.5% quarter‑on‑quarter; ROAE reported at 16.2% for the quarter (management highlighted strong quarterly profitability).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reaffirmed guidance to deliver net income growth step‑by‑step and to finish 2026 from the midpoint to the top of the guidance range, with revenues growing double‑digits (total revenue BRL 37.6bn, +10.3% YoY) and operating result +14% YoY; they expect NIM roughly flat around 9% (Q1–Q2 9.1%), NII (client + market) to remain resilient (client NII up to BRL 20.2bn, market NII ~BRL 700m), NII net of provisions slightly below the center of guidance, expenses nearer the floor, and insurance around the 6–8% guidance (H1 insurance net income BRL 2.9bn, +28.3% YoY) while continuing portfolio growth (loans +11.6% YoY to BRL 1.137bn, SME +16.1% YoY with BRL 37bn added, FGI/FGO origination +64.5% YoY and 52.7% QoQ, 21.6% market share) and disciplined credit (cost of risk ~3.5%, client NII net of provisions 4.5%, overall NPL>90 up ~10 bps, private payroll NPL ~4.7% vs market 8.9%); capital actions aim to strengthen CET1 (slides show ~11% CET1 with ~140 bp Bradsaúde recognition pending and a BRL 10bn raise that would bring CET1 to ~13.6% and Tier‑1 toward ~15.1%).

Banco Bradesco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and revenue trends are decent (TTM revenue +4.2%, net margin ~7.3%, ROE/ROAE generally solid), but the profile is weighed down by persistently high leverage (debt-to-equity ~4.0–4.45) and a notable deterioration in TTM cash flow (operating and free cash flow turning negative), which raises earnings-quality and balance-sheet risk concerns.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
42
Neutral
Cash Flow
33
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue341.33B311.66B249.61B254.71B239.65B157.55B
Gross Profit93.45B89.14B78.69B68.16B82.50B93.07B
EBITDA32.98B28.09B23.63B16.73B30.28B38.63B
Net Income24.32B23.67B17.25B14.25B21.22B23.17B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.47T2.33T2.07T1.93T1.79T1.68T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments271.85B254.98B476.88B522.98B367.61B394.23B
Total Debt805.19B793.84B689.53B631.89B571.92B238.94B
Total Liabilities2.29T2.15T1.90T1.76T1.63T1.53T
Stockholders Equity181.28B178.42B168.41B166.33B159.53B149.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow112.70B258.03B-93.62B-9.32B40.36B-106.41B
Operating Cash Flow119.07B263.05B-91.33B-177.63M49.77B-102.00B
Investing Cash Flow-268.22B-437.05B-5.01B83.61B-17.78B-19.31B
Financing Cash Flow153.25B161.17B117.88B-23.06B21.92B-1.61B

Banco Bradesco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.02
Price Trends
50DMA
3.25
Positive
100DMA
3.14
Positive
200DMA
3.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Positive
RSI
55.07
Neutral
STOCH
33.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BBDO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.53, below the 50-day MA of 3.25, and below the 200-day MA of 3.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BBDO.

Banco Bradesco Risk Analysis

Banco Bradesco disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Banco Bradesco reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Banco Bradesco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$25.57B9.6019.85%4.01%7.13%-22.31%
72
Outperform
$15.63B13.8622.63%4.49%7.69%9.88%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$20.11B16.1621.49%5.52%3.94%3.40%
60
Neutral
$43.24B8.0813.60%5.98%32.37%27.72%
60
Neutral
$21.05B28.7011.81%2.67%20.73%27.11%
54
Neutral
$6.07B55.572.13%4.49%3.21%-89.45%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BBDO
Banco Bradesco
3.61
0.86
31.03%
BCH
Banco De Chile
38.53
6.60
20.67%
BSBR
Banco Santander Brasil
5.50
0.42
8.29%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
31.96
4.58
16.71%
CIB
Grupo Cibest
96.64
43.94
83.37%
GGAL
Grupo Financiero Galicia SA
36.12
2.50
7.45%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 06, 2026