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Mirvac Group (AU:MGR)
ASX:MGR
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Mirvac Group (MGR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:MGR

Mirvac Group

(Sydney:MGR)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
AU$2.50
▲(9.65% Upside)
The overall stock score for Mirvac Group is primarily impacted by financial performance challenges, including declining revenue and profitability. Technical analysis indicates a lack of strong momentum, and the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. The dividend yield offers some compensation, but overall, the stock faces significant headwinds.

Mirvac Group (MGR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Mirvac Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMirvac is an Australian property group with a clearly defined purpose to reimagine urban life. By creating beautiful homes, inspiring workplace precincts and thriving shopping centres, we aim to make a positive contribution to our cities and communities. Mirvac was founded in 1972, which means we've been shaping Australia's urban landscape for almost fifty years. Of course, we've evolved a lot over that time growing from a small joint venture to become a thriving ASX-listed property group that leads the way in innovation, sustainability and placemaking. Renowned for the quality of our products, we've created some of Australia's most iconic places and precincts, from thriving masterplanned communities, to landmark offices including our own headquarters at EY Centre, 200 George Street, Sydney. At the heart of every project there exists a deep commitment to our customers and communities.
How the Company Makes MoneyMirvac generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company makes money by developing and selling residential properties, offering a range of apartments and homes to the market. In addition to residential sales, Mirvac earns income from its commercial property portfolio, which includes office spaces and retail centers that are leased to tenants, providing a stable rental income. The company also engages in property management, earning fees from managing assets for third parties. Significant partnerships with government bodies and private entities enhance its development pipeline and project financing. Moreover, Mirvac is increasingly focusing on sustainability initiatives, which can lead to cost savings and increased demand for energy-efficient properties, thereby positively impacting its earnings.

Mirvac Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mirvac Group faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability, impacting its income statement and cash flow. The balance sheet remains robust with moderate leverage, but profitability metrics need improvement. The company should focus on enhancing revenue growth and cash flow generation to strengthen its financial position.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Mirvac Group's income statement shows mixed results. The company experienced a significant revenue decline of 18.23% in the most recent year, impacting profitability. Gross profit margin decreased to 23.73%, and net profit margin was low at 2.78%. However, the company maintained positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational efficiency despite revenue challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50, suggesting manageable leverage. The equity ratio is healthy, indicating a strong asset base supported by equity. However, the return on equity has been negative in recent years, highlighting profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 32.35%, indicating potential cash generation issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.30, suggesting limited cash conversion efficiency. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, showing that the company is generating cash close to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.44B2.44B2.95B1.80B2.25B1.92B
Gross Profit580.00M580.00M833.00M799.00M854.00M909.00M
EBITDA425.00M278.00M716.00M41.00M648.00M1.11B
Net Income68.00M68.00M-805.00M-165.00M906.00M901.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.08B15.08B15.56B17.15B17.38B16.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments236.00M236.00M335.00M122.00M558.00M117.00M
Total Debt4.54B4.54B4.48B4.54B4.29B3.99B
Total Liabilities6.02B6.02B6.21B6.59B6.18B5.49B
Stockholders Equity9.05B9.05B9.35B10.56B11.13B10.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow548.00M548.00M540.00M-62.00M888.00M630.00M
Operating Cash Flow550.00M550.00M542.00M-57.00M896.00M635.00M
Investing Cash Flow-155.00M-155.00M126.00M-315.00M-436.00M-492.00M
Financing Cash Flow-494.00M-494.00M-455.00M-64.00M-19.00M-350.00M

Mirvac Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.28
Price Trends
50DMA
2.34
Negative
100DMA
2.29
Negative
200DMA
2.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
38.69
Neutral
STOCH
13.47
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MGR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.36, below the 50-day MA of 2.34, and above the 200-day MA of 2.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.47 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:MGR.

Mirvac Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$1.25B17.324.86%4.85%
$21.10B14.747.71%4.28%5.44%231.88%
$10.92B48.3524.58%2.13%15.06%47.66%
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
$10.27B27.183.56%4.48%12.66%
AU$67.38B38.577.99%0.91%16.87%
$9.07B133.720.71%3.95%-18.48%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MGR
Mirvac Group
2.28
0.23
11.27%
AU:CHC
Charter Hall Group
22.35
7.54
50.86%
AU:CQE
Charter Hall Social Infrastructure REIT
3.21
0.75
30.75%
AU:GMG
Goodman Group
32.95
-3.24
-8.96%
AU:GPT
GPT Group
5.32
0.84
18.86%
AU:SCG
Scentre Group
4.05
0.74
22.28%

Mirvac Group Corporate Events

Mirvac Group Reports Strong 1Q26 Momentum and Strategic Growth Initiatives
Oct 21, 2025

Mirvac Group reported strong operational momentum in the first quarter of the 2026 financial year, highlighted by a significant increase in residential sales and strategic capital initiatives. The company entered a joint venture with Mitsubishi Estate Co. Ltd for the Harbourside project, unlocking $450 million in capital. Mirvac also saw robust performance across its investment portfolio with high occupancy rates and positive leasing spreads, and continued growth in its living sectors, including new site acquisitions and build-to-rent expansions. The company’s confidence in its funds platform is underscored by successful capital raises, positioning it well for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group Announces 2025 Annual General Meetings
Oct 13, 2025

Mirvac Group has announced its Annual General and General Meetings scheduled for November 20, 2025, encouraging securityholders to participate either in person or via a live webcast. This announcement is part of Mirvac’s ongoing efforts to engage with its stakeholders and maintain transparency in its operations, reflecting its commitment to delivering value and sustainable growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group Announces Director’s Interest Change
Sep 23, 2025

Mirvac Group has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Campbell John Hanan. The change includes an off-market transfer of 539,605 Stapled Securities from Campbell Hanan to Mimosa Investments Pty Ltd ATF Mimosa Family A/C. This adjustment reflects a strategic reallocation of securities within the director’s indirect interests, potentially impacting the company’s governance and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group Announces Director’s Change in Securities Interest
Sep 12, 2025

Mirvac Group announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically for Director Rosemary Beryl Hartnett. On September 8, 2025, Hartnett acquired 41,111 rights to acquire stapled securities under the Mirvac Group Non-Executive Director Fee Sacrifice Rights Plan, while her existing holding of 15,000 stapled securities remained unchanged. This move reflects Mirvac’s ongoing efforts to align director interests with company performance, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group Issues New Director Fee Sacrifice Rights
Sep 12, 2025

Mirvac Group has announced the issuance of 79,533 Non-Executive Director Fee Sacrifice Rights under an employee incentive scheme. These securities are unquoted and subject to transfer restrictions, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning its leadership’s interests with long-term shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group Announces Director’s Interest Changes
Sep 10, 2025

Mirvac Group has announced a change in the director’s interest notice for Campbell John Hanan, reflecting adjustments in his holdings of stapled securities and performance rights. The changes include an increase in direct holdings of stapled securities and a decrease in performance rights, indicating a shift in the director’s investment strategy within the company. This adjustment could impact the company’s operational strategies and stakeholder perceptions, as it reflects internal movements in executive interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group Issues Unquoted Equity Securities for Employee Incentives
Sep 10, 2025

Mirvac Group has announced the issuance of 990,627 unquoted equity securities in the form of STI performance rights as part of an employee incentive scheme. These securities are subject to transfer restrictions and will not be quoted on the ASX until the restrictions are lifted, reflecting the company’s ongoing efforts to incentivize and retain its workforce, potentially impacting its operational performance and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group Announces 2025 AGM Details
Aug 27, 2025

Mirvac Group has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for November 20, 2025, with key dates for director nominations and operational updates outlined. This meeting is crucial for stakeholders as it will address the company’s strategic direction and operational performance, impacting its market positioning and future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group Announces Director’s Interest Change
Aug 27, 2025

Mirvac Group has announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically involving Campbell John Hanan. The change includes the allotment of 289,731 stapled securities due to the vesting of performance rights and the lapsing of 663,333 performance rights related to the FY23 Long Term Performance grant. This adjustment in securities reflects the company’s ongoing management of executive incentives and performance-based rewards, potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions of leadership alignment with company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group Announces Cessation of Securities
Aug 27, 2025

Mirvac Group announced the cessation of 4,788,849 LTP performance rights due to unmet conditions, effective August 20, 2025. This announcement may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for stakeholders regarding the company’s performance metrics and future financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group Issues New Securities to Strengthen Financial Position
Aug 27, 2025

Mirvac Group has announced the issuance of 2,860,272 fully paid ordinary units stapled securities, effective from August 20, 2025. This move reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its capital structure and enhance its financial flexibility, potentially impacting its market positioning and offering implications for stakeholders regarding future growth and investment strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group Reports Strong FY25 Performance Amid Market Challenges
Aug 15, 2025

Mirvac Group is a leading Australian diversified property group with over 50 years of experience, specializing in investment, funds management, and development across various real estate sectors. In its latest earnings report for the fiscal year 2025, Mirvac highlighted a robust performance despite challenging market conditions, with strategic expansions and successful capital partnerships contributing to its growth. Key financial metrics showed a decrease in group EBIT to $736 million from $860 million in the previous year, while operating profit after tax fell to $474 million from $552 million. However, the company demonstrated strong leasing success and increased exposure in the Living and Industrial sectors, with a significant uplift in residential sales and development completions. Looking ahead, Mirvac’s management remains optimistic about future growth, projecting an operating EPS growth of 6.7% to 8.3% for FY26, driven by strategic initiatives and a focus on sustainable asset creation.

Mirvac Group Upholds High Corporate Governance Standards in FY25
Aug 15, 2025

Mirvac Group has released its corporate governance statement for the financial year ending June 30, 2025, highlighting its compliance with the fourth edition of the ASX Corporate Governance Principles and Recommendations. The statement underscores Mirvac’s commitment to ethical practices and high governance standards, which are crucial for protecting stakeholder interests and fostering a culture of integrity within the organization.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group Reports FY25 Financial Results Amidst Market Challenges
Aug 15, 2025

Mirvac Group’s FY25 financial results highlight a decrease in operating revenue and profit compared to the previous year, with operating revenue falling from $3,034 million in FY24 to $2,503 million in FY25, and operating profit after tax decreasing from $552 million to $474 million. Despite these declines, Mirvac maintains a strong development pipeline valued at approximately $29 billion and manages $22 billion in assets, indicating a robust position in the real estate market. The company’s focus on sustainable and innovative real estate projects continues to drive its strategy, although the financial results suggest challenges in achieving previous levels of profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group’s FY25 Report Highlights Sustainability and Growth
Aug 14, 2025

Mirvac Group has released its FY25 additional information, highlighting its ongoing commitment to sustainability and its strategic plans to decarbonize by 2030. The release outlines the company’s investment portfolio, financial performance, and development projects, indicating a robust platform for growth and a focus on enhancing its market position in the Australian property sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group Announces FY25 Financial Results
Aug 14, 2025

Mirvac Group has released its financial results for the fiscal year 2025. The announcement, led by key executives including Group CEO & Managing Director Campbell Hanan, highlights the company’s performance across various sectors such as investment, funds management, and development. The results provide insights into Mirvac’s strategic positioning and operational effectiveness, with implications for stakeholders in terms of future growth and market competitiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Property Trust Releases 2025 Annual Financial Report
Aug 14, 2025

Mirvac Property Trust has released its annual report for the year ending 30 June 2025, detailing the consolidated financial performance and position of the trust and its controlled entities. The report provides insights into the company’s financial health, including comprehensive income, equity changes, and cash flows, which are crucial for stakeholders to assess the trust’s operational efficiency and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group’s 2025 Annual Report: A Commitment to Sustainability and Value Creation
Aug 14, 2025

Mirvac Group’s 2025 annual report highlights its strategic focus on value creation, sustainability, and risk management. The report outlines the company’s financial and operational performance, emphasizing its commitment to environmental and social responsibilities, which positions Mirvac as a leader in integrating sustainability into its business model.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group Confirms Distribution for June 2025
Aug 14, 2025

Mirvac Group has announced a distribution of 4.5 cents per stapled security from the Mirvac Property Trust, with no dividend being paid from Mirvac Limited. This update confirms the actual distribution for the period ending June 30, 2025, and reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group Reports Mixed Financial Results for FY2025
Aug 14, 2025

Mirvac Group reported a 10% decrease in total revenue and other income for the year ended June 30, 2025, amounting to $2,735 million. Despite this, the company achieved a significant turnaround with a 108% increase in profit attributable to stapled security holders, reaching $68 million. However, the operating profit after tax declined by 14% to $474 million. The total distribution for the year was 9.0 cents per security. These results indicate a mixed financial performance, with improved profitability but reduced revenue and operating profit, reflecting challenges and opportunities in the real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Mirvac Group Announces Cessation of Securities
Aug 1, 2025

Mirvac Group announced the cessation of 410,458 LTP performance rights due to the lapse of conditional rights, as the conditions were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. This announcement may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for stakeholders, particularly those holding or expecting these securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MGR) stock is a Hold with a A$2.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mirvac Group stock, see the AU:MGR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2025