tiprankstipranks
Metgasco Ltd (AU:MEL)
ASX:MEL
Australian Market
Want to see AU:MEL full AI Analyst Report?

Metgasco Ltd (MEL) AI Stock Analysis

1 Followers

Top Page

AU:MEL

Metgasco Ltd

(Sydney:MEL)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.01
▼(-53.33% Downside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:06/25/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance, including negative equity, ongoing losses, and negative operating/free cash flows. Technical signals are mixed (overbought RSI with negative MACD and conflicting trend vs. moving averages), providing only limited support. Valuation is constrained by a negative P/E and lack of dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Clear upstream E&P monetisation model
Metgasco’s business model is the classic upstream E&P playbook with multiple durable monetisation routes (production sales, farm-outs, asset divestments, JVs). That diversity reduces single-path execution risk and supports staged value creation as projects advance, enabling capital-light scaling via partners while preserving upside from discoveries. Company-specific activity details are null, but the model itself aligns with long-term industry practices.
Negative Factors
Negative equity position
Negative equity is a structural solvency concern that constrains financing options and increases default or covenant risk. It reduces bargaining power in JV/farm-out talks, raises the likelihood of dilutive capital raises or asset sales, and elevates long-term execution risk for capital-intensive development projects unless equity is restored or substantial partner funding arrives.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Clear upstream E&P monetisation model
Metgasco’s business model is the classic upstream E&P playbook with multiple durable monetisation routes (production sales, farm-outs, asset divestments, JVs). That diversity reduces single-path execution risk and supports staged value creation as projects advance, enabling capital-light scaling via partners while preserving upside from discoveries. Company-specific activity details are null, but the model itself aligns with long-term industry practices.
Read all positive factors

Metgasco Ltd (MEL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Metgasco Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Metgasco Limited is an Australian firm dedicated to the discovery and cultivation of oil and natural gas deposits. Furthermore, it allocates capital to and constructs energy infrastructure relevant to its operations. The company was founded in 199...
How the Company Makes Money
Metgasco’s monetisation model is typical of an upstream gas explorer/developer: it seeks to create value by acquiring prospective acreage, conducting geological and geophysical work, drilling and appraisal, and then moving discoveries toward devel...

Metgasco Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements indicate significant stress: persistent negative profitability (negative gross/net/EBIT/EBITDA margins), a negative equity position that raises solvency risk, and negative operating and free cash flows. While revenue was volatile with a recent increase and free cash flow to net income is noted as positive, the overall financial health remains highly concerning.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
Cash Flow
25
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.14M2.16M2.37M475.84K0.000.00
Gross Profit-421.32K-177.28K1.14M-286.00K-861.00-1.29K
EBITDA-525.56K-1.25M-11.78M-1.34M-6.11M-1.18M
Net Income-5.12M-3.27M-13.20M-1.53M-6.11M-1.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.61M9.76M9.16M18.05M17.28M7.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments193.57K1.12M880.61K642.16K3.64M731.64K
Total Debt5.86M4.30M2.66M771.41K0.000.00
Total Liabilities13.81M12.35M9.45M6.78M6.98M683.89K
Stockholders Equity-5.20M-2.58M-291.79K11.27M10.30M6.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-424.89K-746.97K-2.33M-7.56M-6.13M-5.54M
Operating Cash Flow-329.73K-651.81K-282.74K-1.37M2.85M-986.92K
Investing Cash Flow-509.10K-2.01M-2.05M-6.19M-8.81M-2.41M
Financing Cash Flow614.62K2.90M2.57M4.56M9.03M3.80M

Metgasco Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
56
Neutral
AU$45.17M10.3411.28%29.92%6000.00%
45
Neutral
AU$12.05M-40.00-1.81%12.50%
44
Neutral
AU$352.74M-1.85-46.22%-0.51%-756.45%
43
Neutral
AU$514.39K-0.10131.52%-47.01%77.51%
43
Neutral
AU$14.93M-1.64-35.17%64.71%
42
Neutral
AU$119.64M-34.48-4.27%-16.67%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MEL
Metgasco Ltd
0.01
-0.02
-60.00%
AU:BRU
Buru Energy
0.01
-0.01
-52.17%
AU:COI
Comet Ridge Ltd
0.10
-0.04
-28.57%
AU:CTP
Central Petroleum Limited
0.06
<0.01
9.09%
AU:STX
Strike Energy Limited
0.10
-0.05
-34.67%
AU:BLU
Blue Energy Limited
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Metgasco Ltd Corporate Events

Metgasco shifts focus to recapitalisation as Odin-Vali asset sale collapses
Apr 30, 2026
Metgasco reported that its planned $5.9 million divestment of its 25% non-operated stakes in the Odin and Vali gas field licences to Vintage Energy was terminated after pre-conditions were not met by the 31 March 2026 deadline. The company is now ...
Metgasco Options Expire Unexercised, Trimming Potential Dilution
Apr 20, 2026
Metgasco Ltd has notified the ASX of the cessation of 160,000 MELAJ options, which expired unexercised on 19 April 2026 at an exercise price of $1.25. The expiry of these options without conversion slightly reduces the potential dilutive overhang ...
Vintage Energy Shelves JV Restructure, Keeps 50% Stake as SA Grant Backs Drilling
Apr 1, 2026
Vintage Energy has abandoned a planned restructuring of its Southern Flank Joint Ventures, opting not to proceed with the $5.9 million acquisitions of 25% interests in PRL 211 and ATP 2021 from both Bridgeport and Metgasco. Instead, Vintage will r...
Metgasco Deal with Vintage Collapses as Funding Conditions Missed
Apr 1, 2026
Metgasco has confirmed that its agreement to sell a 25% non-operated interest in the Odin and Vali gas fields to Vintage Energy has been terminated after Vintage failed to meet funding and acquisition pre-conditions by the 31 March 2026 deadline. ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2026