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Central Petroleum Limited
(Sydney:CTP)
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Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.07
▲(13.33% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/26/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: strong revenue recovery and improved gross margin are offset by weaker net profitability and declining free cash flow. Technical indicators add pressure with a bearish trend and negative momentum, while valuation is supportive due to a low P/E.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Gross Margin
A strong revenue rebound and a materially improved gross margin point to recovering demand and better cost control at the operating level. Sustained top-line growth with higher gross margins supports durable operating cash flows and gives management scope to invest in development and maintain gas deliveries over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Net Margin Decline
A near-halving of net margin signals materially weaker bottom-line profitability despite higher revenue. This likely reflects higher operating or non-operating costs, reducing retained earnings and free cash generation. Persistently lower net margins would constrain reinvestment, distributions and reduce resilience to price shocks over months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & Gross Margin
A strong revenue rebound and a materially improved gross margin point to recovering demand and better cost control at the operating level. Sustained top-line growth with higher gross margins supports durable operating cash flows and gives management scope to invest in development and maintain gas deliveries over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Central Petroleum Limited (CTP) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$48.18M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)391.90K
Price to Earnings (P/E)11.4
Beta (1Y)0.19
Revenue Growth29.92%
EPS Growth6000.00%
CountryAU
Employees82
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)<0.01
Shares Outstanding752,764,000
10 Day Avg. Volume295,631
30 Day Avg. Volume391,903
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.14
Price to Book (P/B)1.03
Price to Sales (P/S)0.97
P/FCF Ratio7.28
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.03
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$63.00M
Central Petroleum Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Central Petroleum Limited is an Australian company dedicated to the full lifecycle of hydrocarbon resources, including their development, extraction, processing, and sale. It possesses substantial stakes in numerous oil and gas properties, coverin...
How the Company Makes Money
Central Petroleum primarily makes money by selling natural gas produced from its onshore fields into Australian domestic markets under gas sales arrangements with customers (revenue generally linked to contracted volumes and agreed pricing terms)....
Central Petroleum Limited Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Sep 17, 2025
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong operational and financial achievements, with significant profit turnaround, revenue growth, and shareholder returns. Despite some challenges such as oil offtake constraints and long-term market uncertainties, the company's strategic initiatives and financial health position it well for future growth.Positive Updates
Strong Operational and Financial Progress
Central Petroleum achieved significant milestones, including a multiyear gas sales agreement, two new production wells completed ahead of schedule and under budget, and a debt restructuring extending to 2030, enhancing financial flexibility.
Negative Updates
Oil Offtake Constraints
Oil offtake was partially constrained in the fourth quarter, which affected gas production, though solutions have been implemented.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Operational and Financial Progress
Central Petroleum achieved significant milestones, including a multiyear gas sales agreement, two new production wells completed ahead of schedule and under budget, and a debt restructuring extending to 2030, enhancing financial flexibility.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the call, Central Petroleum's leadership provided extensive guidance on their fiscal performance and strategic direction for 2025. The company reported a statutory profit of $7.7 million, highlighting a significant turnaround from the previous year's underlying loss of $1.4 million. Revenues increased by 17% to $43.6 million, driven by a 19% rise in realized gas prices to $9.02 per gigajoule. Operational successes included the drilling and commissioning of two new Mereenie wells, which exceeded production expectations and were completed ahead of schedule and under budget. Financially, the company restructured its debt, extending amortization to 2030, and ended the fiscal year with a cash position of $27.5 million. Central Petroleum also announced its first-ever share buyback program and is considering sustainable dividends. Looking forward, they are focused on maintaining momentum through firm gas contracts, cost control, and exploration opportunities, including further drilling at Palm Valley and Mereenie and exploring high-potential prospects like Mount Kitty. The company aims to balance shareholder returns with long-term growth.Central Petroleum Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 46.88M | 43.63M | 37.15M | 39.26M | 42.15M | 59.83M |
| Gross Profit | 10.56M | 14.54M | 4.43M | 19.14M | 14.80M | 30.98M |
| EBITDA | 12.02M | 15.65M | 24.06M | 3.70M | 32.39M | 18.43M |
| Net Income | 4.51M | 7.73M | 12.42M | -7.96M | 21.32M | 251.00K |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 108.58M | 114.01M | 103.64M | 98.13M | 122.29M | 174.17M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 29.36M | 27.47M | 24.98M | 13.83M | 21.65M | 37.16M |
| Total Debt | 26.55M | 26.05M | 24.21M | 28.15M | 31.81M | 68.32M |
| Total Liabilities | 69.56M | 73.11M | 71.08M | 78.74M | 95.76M | 170.48M |
| Stockholders Equity | 39.03M | 40.91M | 32.55M | 19.39M | 26.53M | 3.69M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 6.20M | 5.78M | 3.92M | -4.91M | -7.15M | 17.65M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 14.64M | 14.30M | 6.86M | -2.06M | 3.64M | 24.14M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -8.13M | -10.11M | 9.45M | -1.50M | 17.41M | -8.04M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -514.00K | -1.70M | -5.15M | -4.27M | -36.56M | -4.85M |
Central Petroleum Limited Technical Analysis
Positive
0.06
Price Trends
0.06
Positive
0.07
Negative
0.07
Positive
Market Momentum
>-0.01
Negative
69.93
Neutral
55.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CTP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, below the 50-day MA of 0.06, and below the 200-day MA of 0.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CTP.
Central Petroleum Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
65 Neutral | AU$24.43B | 20.63 | 5.26% | 6.00% | -5.72% | -31.55% | |
60 Neutral | AU$2.00B | -16.17 | -3.66% | 7.72% | 11.40% | -225.74% | |
56 Neutral | AU$48.18M | 11.38 | 11.28% | ― | 29.92% | 6000.00% | |
47 Neutral | AU$1.56B | -19.01 | -18.28% | ― | ― | ― | |
43 Neutral | AU$16.30M | -1.94 | -35.17% | ― | ― | 64.71% | |
42 Neutral | AU$384.21M | -14.79 | -14.19% | ― | ― | 25.55% |
* Energy Sector Average
AU:CTP
Central Petroleum Limited
0.07
0.01
20.00%
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Central Petroleum Limited Corporate Events
Central Petroleum Director Agu Kantsler Increases On-Market Shareholding
May 22, 2026
Central Petroleum has disclosed a change in the interests of director Agu Jan Kantsler, who acquired 140,000 ordinary fully paid shares via an on-market trade on 22 May 2026. Following the transaction, Kantsler’s holdings now comprise 140,00...
Central Petroleum exits EP112 sale and refocuses on Mt Kitty helium and gas play
May 6, 2026
Central Petroleum has terminated its conditional agreement to sell its interests in Northern Territory sub-salt exploration permits EP112 and EP125 to Georgina Energy after sale conditions were not met, and has withdrawn from the EP112 joint ventu...
Central Petroleum lifts revenue, locks in long-term NT gas deal and plans 40% capacity boost
Apr 27, 2026
Central Petroleum reported March-quarter sales revenue of $11.3 million, up 8.7% on the prior quarter, driven by a 3% lift in gas sales to 1.1 PJ and a 5% rise in average gas prices to $10.06 per GJ under higher-priced and indexed contracts. The c...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.