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Kelsian Group Limited
(Sydney:KLS)
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Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
AU$5.00
▲(17.10% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/27/26
The score is primarily driven by middling financial quality (thin margins, higher leverage, and uneven free cash flow) despite strong revenue growth. Technicals are moderately positive with an upward trend, but momentum is getting stretched. Valuation is fair with a supportive dividend yield, but not compellingly cheap.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained multi-year revenue expansion indicates growing operating scale and demand for Kelsian's transport services. A larger revenue base can improve procurement, fleet utilisation and contract execution, supporting future earnings capacity.
Negative Factors
Thin Net Margins
Low net margins leave limited protection against labour, fuel, maintenance and contract-cost pressures. Even modest operating disruption or input inflation can therefore materially affect earnings, restricting the company's ability to absorb shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained multi-year revenue expansion indicates growing operating scale and demand for Kelsian's transport services. A larger revenue base can improve procurement, fleet utilisation and contract execution, supporting future earnings capacity.
Read all positive factors
Kelsian Group Limited (KLS) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$1.30B
Dividend Yield3.77%
Average Volume (3M)491.83K
Price to Earnings (P/E)19.1
Beta (1Y)1.02
Revenue Growth8.77%
EPS Growth16.48%
CountryAU
Employees13,300
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryRailroads
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.23
Shares Outstanding271,656,680
10 Day Avg. Volume325,407
30 Day Avg. Volume491,826
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.30
Price to Book (P/B)1.27
Price to Sales (P/S)0.51
P/FCF Ratio13.50
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$5.38Price Target Upside25.88% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)0.35
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$2.36B
Kelsian Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Kelsian Group Limited, based in Adelaide, Australia, is a prominent provider of land and sea transport as well as tourism services, with operations spanning Australia, Singapore, and the United Kingdom. Established in 1989 under its former name, S...
How the Company Makes Money
Kelsian makes money primarily by operating passenger transport services and being paid for delivering those services under a mix of government/transport authority contracts and customer-paid fares.
1) Public transport bus operations (contracted s...
Kelsian Group Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
51
Neutral
| Breakdown | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 2.40B | 2.22B | 2.02B | 1.42B | 1.30B |
| Gross Profit | 432.79M | 688.69M | 351.91M | 257.90M | 233.30M |
| EBITDA | 301.64M | 255.93M | 268.72M | 133.11M | 157.99M |
| Net Income | 63.52M | 54.49M | 58.01M | 21.00M | 52.91M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 2.51B | 2.50B | 2.40B | 2.18B | 1.42B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 176.33M | 182.78M | 134.47M | 157.94M | 141.09M |
| Total Debt | 1.06B | 1.07B | 1.02B | 806.38M | 459.12M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.55B | 1.54B | 1.47B | 1.25B | 783.57M |
| Stockholders Equity | 952.61M | 957.91M | 927.37M | 923.60M | 640.01M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 89.90M | 40.67M | -3.13M | 28.05M | 70.75M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 220.06M | 205.17M | 146.70M | 128.98M | 115.04M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -136.65M | -140.47M | -262.98M | -650.24M | -86.08M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -88.05M | -19.54M | 92.75M | 535.68M | 8.42M |
Kelsian Group Limited Technical Analysis
Positive
4.27
Price Trends
4.44
Positive
4.26
Positive
4.20
Positive
Market Momentum
0.08
Positive
49.27
Neutral
51.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:KLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.61, below the 50-day MA of 4.44, and above the 200-day MA of 4.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:KLS.
Kelsian Group Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | AU$4.82B | 16.74 | 48.18% | 3.56% | -1.03% | 8.70% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
61 Neutral | AU$1.30B | 19.13 | 6.99% | 4.02% | 8.77% | 16.48% | |
59 Neutral | AU$4.42B | 20.42 | 11.01% | 3.39% | -7.37% | 59.81% | |
59 Neutral | AU$13.82B | 8.86 | 151.46% | 7.07% | 6.88% | 26.75% | |
59 Neutral | AU$2.02B | 5.81 | -55.68% | ― | ― | ― |
* Industrials Sector Average
AU:KLS
Kelsian Group Limited
4.39
-0.46
-9.52%
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2.81
-0.68
-19.48%
Kelsian Group Limited Corporate Events
Kelsian Reshapes Tourism Portfolio Sale, Retains SeaLink Rottnest Ferry Business
Aug 25, 2026
Kelsian Group Limited has revised its planned divestment of its Tourism Portfolio to Journey Beyond, confirming that the SeaLink Rottnest commuter ferry business will no longer be included in the sale. The original $161 million transaction is now ...
Kelsian outlines FY26 results framework and FY27 outlook amid planned tourism divestment
Aug 25, 2026
Kelsian Group has released its FY26 results investor presentation, outlining the basis of preparation of its financial information and clarifying that certain non-IFRS measures are used internally to assess performance. The company emphasises that...
Kelsian posts record FY26 earnings and builds pipeline for FY27 growth
Aug 25, 2026
Kelsian reported record full-year FY26 results, with revenue up 8.8% to $2.4 billion, strong margin expansion and a 17.2% rise in underlying NPATA, backed by 91.4% cash conversion and leverage within its target range. The group increased its full-...
Kelsian refreshes company secretary team as governance leadership evolves
Aug 25, 2026
Kelsian Group Limited has announced a change in its joint company secretarial team, with Joanne McDonald resigning as company secretary effective 4 September 2026 after eight years of service. The board publicly thanked McDonald for her significan...
Kelsian Group Cuts 14,925 Lapsed Performance Rights From Capital Structure
Aug 19, 2026
Kelsian Group Limited, traded on the ASX under ticker KLS, operates in the transport and mobility services sector and uses performance rights within its capital structure to incentivise management and staff. These securities form part of broader l...
Kelsian Reports Lapse of 65,174 Performance Rights
Jul 22, 2026
Kelsian Group Limited, listed on the ASX under the ticker KLS, operates in the transport and related services industry and uses performance rights as part of its capital and remuneration structure. These conditional securities are typically grante...
Kelsian sets date for FY26 financial results webcast
Jul 21, 2026
Kelsian Group Limited, a major international provider of bus, motorcoach and marine transport services, delivers safe and sustainable passenger mobility for governments and private clients across Australia, the U.K., Singapore, the U.S.A. and the ...
Kelsian Wins Auckland Ferry Contracts and Buys Belaire Ferries in NZ Expansion
Jul 1, 2026
Kelsian Group has secured its first New Zealand contract after a joint bid with Auckland-based Belaire Ferries to operate Auckland Transport’s Western Package passenger ferry services. The long-term contracts, starting in July 2027 and runni...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.