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Bega Cheese Limited (AU:BGA)
ASX:BGA
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Bega Cheese Limited (BGA) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:BGA

Bega Cheese Limited

(Sydney:BGA)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
AU$5.50
▲(3.97% Upside)
Bega Cheese Limited's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance challenges, including negative revenue growth and profitability issues. Technical analysis suggests neutral momentum, while valuation metrics indicate the stock may not be attractively priced. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data means these factors do not influence the score.

Bega Cheese Limited (BGA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Bega Cheese Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBega Cheese Limited receives, processes, manufactures, and distributes dairy and other food-related products in Australia. The company operates in two segments, Branded and Bulk. The Branded segment manufactures value added consumer products for owned and externally owned brands. The Bulk segment manufactures bulk dairy ingredients, nutritional, and bio nutrient products. It offers natural, processed, and kids snacking cheese; butter and cream cheese products under the Farmer's Table brand name; dips, mayonnaise, and dressings under the ZoOSh brand name; and spreads under the Simply Nuts, B honey, Bega peanut butter, and VEGEMITE brands. The company also develops and supplies bio nutrient ingredients for the health and nutrition markets. In addition, it operates as a contract packer of natural cheddar and processed cheddar cheese products for corporations; and is involved in contract packaging for private proprietary brands, supermarket house brands, and QSR raw material inputs, as well as products for other dairy companies into their brands. The company also exports its products to approximately 40 countries across the Middle East, Southeast Asia, North Asia, Central and South America, and the Pacific Islands. Bega Cheese Limited was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Bega, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBega Cheese generates revenue primarily through the sale of its dairy products to both domestic and international markets. Key revenue streams include the sale of cheese products, which constitute a significant portion of its offerings, as well as dairy spreads and other related products. The company benefits from long-term contracts with major retailers, food service companies, and export agreements, which contribute to stable income. Additionally, Bega engages in value-added processing, allowing it to capture higher margins on specialty products. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions, such as the purchase of the Vegemite brand, enhance its product range and market reach, further bolstering its earnings capacity.

Bega Cheese Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bega Cheese Limited is facing challenges in revenue growth and profitability, as reflected in its income statement with a negative growth rate and net profit margin. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage but highlights the need for improved returns on equity. Cash flow management is stable, with positive free cash flow growth, but there is room for improvement in converting income into cash.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Bega Cheese Limited has experienced a decline in revenue growth with a negative growth rate of -71.6% in the latest period. The gross profit margin remains moderate at 20.88%, but the company is facing challenges with profitability as indicated by a negative net profit margin of -0.24%. The EBIT margin is also negative, reflecting operational difficulties. Overall, the income statement shows a need for improvement in revenue and profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet of Bega Cheese Limited shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -0.87%, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, but the company needs to focus on improving profitability to enhance shareholder value.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement indicates a positive free cash flow growth rate of 9.46%, which is a positive sign. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.27, showing some ability to generate cash from operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.43, indicating room for improvement in converting income into free cash flow. Overall, cash flow management appears stable but could benefit from enhanced operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.54B3.55B3.52B3.38B3.01B2.07B
Gross Profit730.20M741.30M698.50M656.40M689.40M465.20M
EBITDA122.60M107.90M164.00M-130.00M148.10M181.20M
Net Income-8.50M-8.50M30.50M-229.90M24.20M72.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.04B2.04B2.14B2.15B2.36B2.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments120.90M120.90M65.60M66.40M44.90M87.20M
Total Debt439.60M439.60M418.90M467.10M422.80M496.50M
Total Liabilities1.06B1.06B1.12B1.15B1.10B1.24B
Stockholders Equity980.20M980.20M1.01B1.00B1.26B1.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow76.80M70.60M59.70M-59.90M86.40M79.20M
Operating Cash Flow165.00M165.00M134.30M8.20M158.20M111.40M
Investing Cash Flow-76.30M-76.30M-52.30M99.90M-63.80M-546.70M
Financing Cash Flow-33.40M-33.40M-82.80M-86.60M-136.70M499.60M

Bega Cheese Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.29
Price Trends
50DMA
5.39
Negative
100DMA
5.32
Negative
200DMA
5.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
48.83
Neutral
STOCH
45.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BGA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.28, below the 50-day MA of 5.39, and below the 200-day MA of 5.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:BGA.

Bega Cheese Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
AU$134.12M24.1913.97%28.66%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
52
Neutral
€1.62B-189.61-0.68%2.27%0.49%-127.84%
42
Neutral
AU$23.34M-5.75-29.43%102.21%69.47%
40
Underperform
AU$36.02M-0.241.03%-52.56%
38
Underperform
AU$26.76M-20.54%13.92%36.28%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:BGA
Bega Cheese Limited
5.25
-0.01
-0.27%
AU:NOU
Noumi Limited
0.13
-0.10
-43.48%
AU:AHF
Australian Dairy Nutritionals Group
0.04
0.01
63.64%
AU:BUB
Bubs Australia Ltd.
0.15
0.03
25.00%
AU:NUC
Nuchev Pty Ltd
0.15
<0.01
7.14%

Bega Cheese Limited Corporate Events

Bega Cheese Limited AGM: Key Resolutions Passed with Strong Support
Oct 27, 2025

Bega Cheese Limited held its Annual General Meeting on October 27, 2025, where key resolutions were passed, including the adoption of the remuneration report and the election of directors. The meeting saw strong support for the resolutions, indicating shareholder confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Hold with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Bega Cheese Limited Highlights Strategic Transformation and Future Growth Plans
Oct 26, 2025

At its Annual General Meeting, Bega Cheese Limited highlighted its successful transformation into a brand-focused company, emphasizing its strategic acquisitions and innovation pipeline. The company reported strong normalized earnings for FY2025 and outlined significant operational changes, including site closures, to improve efficiency and profitability. Looking forward, Bega is optimistic about growth in product categories like white milk, yoghurt, and spreads, and plans to introduce health-focused dairy products to meet consumer demand.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Hold with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Bega Cheese Limited’s 2025 Sustainability Report: A Commitment to Sustainable Practices
Oct 15, 2025

Bega Cheese Limited’s 2025 Sustainability Report highlights the company’s ongoing commitment to sustainability, with a focus on circularity, emissions reduction, and community engagement. The report outlines initiatives such as resource efficiency, emissions reduction, and responsible procurement, which are aimed at enhancing the company’s operational efficiency and environmental impact. These efforts position Bega Cheese as a leader in sustainable practices within the dairy industry, potentially benefiting stakeholders by aligning with global sustainability trends and consumer preferences.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Hold with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Bega Cheese Director Increases Stake Through Dividend Reinvestment
Sep 26, 2025

Bega Cheese Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Raelene Margaret Murphy acquiring 234 ordinary shares through the company’s Dividend Reinvestment Plan. This change reflects the director’s increased investment in the company, potentially signaling confidence in Bega Cheese’s financial health and future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Hold with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Bega Cheese Director Increases Shareholding
Sep 26, 2025

Bega Cheese Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest notice, involving Terrence Xavier O’Brien. O’Brien has acquired 428 ordinary shares through the company’s Dividend Reinvestment Plan, increasing his total holdings to 41,604 shares. This move reflects the director’s continued confidence in the company’s performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Hold with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Bega Cheese Director Increases Stake via Dividend Reinvestment
Sep 26, 2025

Bega Cheese Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Patria Maija Mann acquiring an additional 216 ordinary shares through the company’s Dividend Reinvestment Plan. This change reflects the director’s increased stake in the company, potentially signaling confidence in Bega Cheese’s future performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Hold with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Bega Cheese Director Increases Stake Through Dividend Reinvestment
Sep 26, 2025

Bega Cheese Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with George Harper Kilpatrick acquiring 329 ordinary shares through the company’s Dividend Reinvestment Plan. This change reflects the director’s increased stake in the company, indicating confidence in Bega Cheese’s financial strategies and future growth prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Hold with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Bega Cheese Limited Issues New Securities on ASX
Sep 26, 2025

Bega Cheese Limited has announced the issuance of 192,899 ordinary fully paid securities, which will be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). This move is part of a dividend or distribution plan and reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance shareholder value and strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Hold with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Bega Cheese Limited Issues New Securities to Enhance Market Position
Sep 25, 2025

Bega Cheese Limited has announced the issuance of 300,587 new ordinary fully paid securities as of September 24, 2025. This move indicates a strategic financial decision that could potentially impact the company’s capital structure and market positioning, reflecting its ongoing efforts to strengthen its operational capabilities and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Hold with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Bega Cheese Limited Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Sep 24, 2025

Bega Cheese Limited announced the cessation of 372,176 performance rights, as the conditions for these securities were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. This development may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for stakeholders regarding the company’s performance metrics and future financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Hold with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Bega Cheese Updates Dividend Distribution with DRP Price Announcement
Sep 3, 2025

Bega Cheese Limited has announced an update to its previous dividend distribution announcement, specifying the Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) price. This update pertains to the dividend distribution for the six-month period ending on June 30, 2025, with key dates including a record date of August 27, 2025, and an ex-date of August 26, 2025. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides clarity on the financial returns and investment options available through the company’s DRP.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Hold with a A$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Reduces Stake in Bega Cheese
Sep 2, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. has ceased to be a substantial holder in Bega Cheese Limited as of September 2, 2025. This change in substantial holding is due to a series of transactions involving the purchase and sale of securities by an entity controlled by Morgan Stanley, affecting the voting interests in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Hold with a A$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Bega Cheese Withdraws Acquisition Bid for Fonterra’s Oceania Business
Aug 25, 2025

Bega Cheese Limited has withdrawn its application to the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission regarding its intended acquisition of Fonterra’s consumer and associated businesses. This decision follows Fonterra’s announcement of selling these businesses to Lactalis, impacting Bega’s strategic expansion plans in the dairy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Buy with a A$6.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Bega Cheese Limited Releases 2025 Corporate Governance Statement
Aug 20, 2025

Bega Cheese Limited has released its Corporate Governance Statement effective from 30 June 2025, in compliance with ASX Listing Rule 4.7.4. This statement reflects the company’s commitment to maintaining high standards of corporate governance, which is crucial for its operational integrity and stakeholder trust.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Buy with a A$6.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Bega Cheese Reports Strong FY2025 Results and Positive Outlook for FY2026
Aug 20, 2025

Bega Cheese Limited reported strong financial results for FY2025, with significant growth in its Branded segment and a return to profitability in its Bulk segment. The company achieved a normalised EBITDA of $202 million, reflecting a 23% increase from the previous year, driven by strategic restructuring and cost-saving initiatives. The reduction in net debt and a lower leverage ratio further strengthened its financial position. Looking ahead, Bega Cheese anticipates continued growth in the Branded segment and stable returns in the Bulk segment, with new product launches and manufacturing efficiencies expected to support future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Buy with a A$6.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Bega Cheese Limited Announces Dividend Distribution
Aug 20, 2025

Bega Cheese Limited has announced a dividend distribution of AUD 0.06 per share for the period ending June 30, 2025. The dividend will be paid on September 25, 2025, with a record date of August 27, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its shareholders and may impact its financial positioning positively by reinforcing investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Buy with a A$6.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Bega Cheese Releases 2025 Annual Report
Aug 20, 2025

Bega Cheese Limited has released its 2025 Annual Report, providing insights into its financial performance for the year ended 30 June 2025. The report is crucial for stakeholders to understand the company’s financial health and strategic direction, although it is recommended to be read alongside the full statutory accounts for comprehensive details.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Buy with a A$6.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Bega Cheese Limited Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Aug 19, 2025

Bega Cheese Limited announced the cessation of 243,941 performance rights due to the lapse of conditional rights that were not satisfied. This development may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for its stakeholders, reflecting on the company’s operational adjustments.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BGA) stock is a Buy with a A$5.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bega Cheese Limited stock, see the AU:BGA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025