Want to see AU:BCI full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
BCI Minerals Ltd
(Sydney:BCI)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.52
▲(11.96% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/23/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—revenue collapse, ongoing operating losses, and persistent negative operating/free cash flow—partly mitigated by a currently debt-free balance sheet. Technicals are supportive (price above key moving averages with positive momentum), but valuation is a headwind given the very high P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
The absence of reported debt in the latest year lowers interest and refinancing burdens, giving BCI greater flexibility while it develops its projects. This balance-sheet capacity can help absorb operating volatility and preserve funding options, even though cash generation remains weak.
Negative Factors
Revenue collapse
The collapse in reported revenue indicates that BCI currently lacks a dependable operating revenue base. Until project development translates into recurring sales, the company has limited demonstrated capacity to fund activities internally or establish stable earnings over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
The absence of reported debt in the latest year lowers interest and refinancing burdens, giving BCI greater flexibility while it develops its projects. This balance-sheet capacity can help absorb operating volatility and preserve funding options, even though cash generation remains weak.
Read all positive factors
BCI Minerals Ltd (BCI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$1.51B
Dividend Yield12.57%
Average Volume (3M)1.38M
Price to Earnings (P/E)78.8
Beta (1Y)0.29
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryAU
Employees146
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustrySteel
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)<0.01
Shares Outstanding2,940,098,900
10 Day Avg. Volume1,097,942
30 Day Avg. Volume1,382,049
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.45
Price to Book (P/B)1.38
Price to Sales (P/S)0.00
P/FCF Ratio-3.46
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$0.64Price Target Upside38.04% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.04
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$55.65M
BCI Minerals Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
BCI Minerals Limited, an Australian company, is actively involved in the exploration and development of various mineral resources across the country. The firm specifically targets deposits of salt, iron ore, and sulphate of potash. Its primary und...
BCI Minerals Ltd Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 23, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlights substantial operational and construction progress (77% complete), strong operational metrics (96% pond utilization, brine densities tracking to plan), robust pilot results for SOP, and a solid liquidity position (A$601m available) that supports completion. Challenges noted include stepped quarterly activity, remaining major packages (dredging, crystallizer lining, salt wash plant) that are yet to be fully contracted or executed, increased debt drawdowns this quarter, some short-term market softness in China and a modest (~7.1%) pullback in Indian export volumes from 2024 to 2025, and timing uncertainty for third‑party port revenue. Overall, positive operational momentum and funding adequacy outweigh the execution and market risks.Positive Updates
Strong construction progress and project completion status
Project is 77% complete with cumulative expenditure of A$1.043 billion; total construction costs sit just over A$1.0 billion. Major earthworks for salt wash plant, stockyard and non-process infrastructure completed and crystallizer seeding commenced. Marine package work at Port of Cape Preston West is ~94% complete.
Negative Updates
Quarterly activity slowdown and lower near-term construction spend
Activity in the December quarter was relatively lower reflecting completion of several large packages; only A$41 million spent during the quarter, indicating stepped nature of upcoming expenditure and potential timing variability in near-term progress.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong construction progress and project completion status
Project is 77% complete with cumulative expenditure of A$1.043 billion; total construction costs sit just over A$1.0 billion. Major earthworks for salt wash plant, stockyard and non-process infrastructure completed and crystallizer seeding commenced. Marine package work at Port of Cape Preston West is ~94% complete.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The call guided that Mardie remains on track and fully funded to completion: the project is ~77% complete with cumulative construction spend of $1.043bn (total construction just over $1.0bn; $41m spent this quarter) and almost $1.3bn invested including ~$255m pre‑revenue opex; BCI has drawn $446.8m of debt to date (including a $99.8m draw this quarter), completed 8 drawdowns, issued >50m shares reducing borrowings by $29.1m, and holds $601m liquidity with $351m uncommitted and ~A$400m required to finish construction. Operational guidance includes ponds at 96% utilization across >9,300 hours, 12‑month rolling TRIFR of 3.9, >400 field leadership safety interactions and 290 critical control verifications; brine densities across ponds 1–9 are tracking to Poseidon forecasts with pond 9 expected to reach target density in February and first salt on ship targeted in the December 2026 quarter as salt ramps toward ~5.35–5.5Mtpa nameplate capacity. Construction and timing guidance: primary crystallizer seeding and brining underway (first crystallizer cell due Feb), 3 lift stations complete, salt wash plant earthworks and concrete awarded with commissioning planned late October (aligned with salt availability in November), marine works ~94% complete with final piles/catwalk due Sept 2026 and dredging of the berth pocket/navigation channel expected to begin April 2026. On SOP, pilot work (KTMS) is commissioned and steady‑state, with a full SOP production pathway targeting ~140,000tpa and pilot design award expected this quarter.BCI Minerals Ltd Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
| Breakdown | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 0.00 | 5.80M | 8.69M | 60.16M | 63.00M |
| Gross Profit | -4.40M | -33.75M | -5.73M | 3.78M | -675.00K |
| EBITDA | -61.20M | -55.19M | -42.52M | -12.17M | -7.19M |
| Net Income | 19.40M | -47.05M | -15.32M | 9.38M | -15.48M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 1.66B | 1.20B | 1.02B | 614.92M | 538.39M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 100.20M | 80.27M | 265.64M | 121.69M | 271.34M |
| Total Debt | 0.00 | 369.13M | 113.84M | 103.99M | 20.50M |
| Total Liabilities | 827.30M | 430.26M | 216.22M | 183.46M | 104.16M |
| Stockholders Equity | 834.10M | 767.01M | 805.22M | 431.46M | 434.24M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -332.80M | -396.15M | -243.10M | -231.50M | -103.11M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -56.90M | -8.67M | -27.07M | -1.91M | 39.61M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -262.60M | -380.92M | -212.35M | -219.90M | -142.68M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 340.00M | 208.48M | 388.87M | 99.26M | 255.66M |
BCI Minerals Ltd Technical Analysis
Neutral
0.46
Price Trends
0.55
Negative
0.48
Positive
0.43
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.01
Positive
38.26
Neutral
26.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BCI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.56, below the 50-day MA of 0.55, and above the 200-day MA of 0.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:BCI.
BCI Minerals Ltd Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
80 Outperform | AU$1.41B | 9.30 | 26.61% | 1.21% | 26.09% | 12.00% | |
74 Outperform | AU$471.80M | 12.57 | 6.55% | 5.42% | -1.75% | -5.88% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
60 Neutral | AU$49.59M | -87.73 | -2.00% | ― | 104.42% | ― | |
57 Neutral | AU$121.52M | -0.25 | -60.80% | 10.00% | 1.83% | -1210.61% | |
52 Neutral | AU$272.97M | 13.28 | 21.31% | 5.27% | ― | 119.59% | |
50 Neutral | AU$1.51B | 78.79 | 2.27% | 12.57% | ― | ― |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
AU:BCI
BCI Minerals Ltd
0.52
0.15
41.10%
AU:GRR
Grange Resources Limited
0.11
-0.15
-58.82%
AU:JMS
Jupiter Mines Limited
0.24
>-0.01
-2.44%
AU:MLX
Metals X Limited
1.60
0.80
100.63%
AU:RHI
Red Hill Iron Limited
4.25
0.51
13.55%
AU:LCY
Legacy Iron Ore Ltd
―
―
―
BCI Minerals Ltd Corporate Events
BCI Minerals posts recording of September 2026 quarterly webcast
Oct 20, 2026
BCI Minerals Ltd has released a recording of its investor webcast held following the publication of its September 2026 Quarterly Report, providing shareholders and analysts with a detailed discussion of recent performance and a general company upd...
BCI Minerals Points Investors to September Quarterly Report and Reaffirms Core Values
Oct 19, 2026
BCI Minerals has released its September 2026 quarterly update, directing investors and stakeholders to review the full quarterly report available on its website. The brief communication reiterates the company’s core values, highlighting a fo...
BCI Minerals Nears Completion at Mardie as Salt Inventory Builds
Oct 19, 2026
BCI Minerals reported further progress at its Mardie Salt Operation and Potash Project in the September quarter, with the Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate improving to 2.7 alongside extensive safety leadership and control checks. Management ...
BCI Minerals Sets Date for September Quarterly Report and Investor Call
Oct 12, 2026
BCI Minerals Ltd will release its September 2026 quarterly report on 20 October 2026, continuing its regular disclosure cycle to the market. The update is expected to provide stakeholders with insight into recent operational performance and strate...
BCI Minerals Sets November Date for Annual General Meeting
Oct 12, 2026
BCI Minerals Ltd has scheduled its Annual General Meeting for 20 November 2026 at PwC’s offices in Brookfield Place, Perth, Western Australia. The company has outlined arrangements for shareholder participation, including in-person attendanc...
BCI Minerals Reports Lapse of 1.3 Million Performance Rights
Oct 12, 2026
BCI Minerals Ltd has notified the market of the cessation of a tranche of its performance rights, identified as BCIAC Performance Rights 2025, following a review of its issued capital. The rights, which form part of the company’s equity-base...
BCI Minerals Seeks ASX Quotation for New Share Issue
Sep 18, 2026
BCI Minerals has applied to the ASX for quotation of 2,519,164 new ordinary fully paid shares, following the issue of these securities on 18 September 2026. The additional quoted shares modestly expand the company’s listed equity base, poten...
BCI Minerals reshapes board as Mardie salt project enters operational phase
Sep 16, 2026
BCI Minerals has moved to strengthen its board as it transitions the Mardie Salt Operation from construction to full-scale production in Western Australia. The company appointed veteran industrial executive Ian Hansen as a non-executive director, ...
BCI Minerals sets November date for 2026 AGM and director nomination window
Aug 25, 2026
BCI Minerals Limited has scheduled its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 20 November in Perth, Western Australia, signalling the next formal opportunity for shareholders to engage with the board on company performance and governance matters. The ann...
BCI Minerals Updates Managing Director’s Equity Holdings Disclosure
Aug 21, 2026
BCI Minerals has disclosed a change in the indirect interests of Managing Director David Boshoff, reflecting adjustments to his equity-based incentives held via the Boshoff Family Trust. The update, lodged under ASX listing rules, details a reduct...
BCI Minerals Performance Rights Lapse After Vesting Conditions Not Met
Aug 21, 2026
BCI Minerals Limited has reported the cessation of a tranche of its performance rights on the ASX, specifically the 2024 series under security code BCIAAA. The company confirmed that 1,322,933 of these performance rights lapsed after the relevant ...
BCI Minerals advances Mardie project into working salt operation
Aug 18, 2026
BCI Minerals reported strong progress at its Mardie Salt Operation in FY26, marking a key transition from construction to early operations. The company achieved 85% construction completion, crystallised 49,000 tonnes of salt, and advanced marine i...
BCI Minerals Files Updated ASX Corporate Governance Disclosures
Aug 18, 2026
BCI Minerals Limited has lodged its updated corporate governance statement and accompanying Appendix 4G with the ASX for the financial year ended 30 June 2026. The statement, current as of 18 August 2026 and approved by the board, is published on ...
BCI Minerals Swings to FY26 Profit on Tax Asset and Iron Valley Sale
Aug 18, 2026
BCI Minerals reported a sharp turnaround for the year to 30 June 2026, posting a net profit attributable to members of $30.8 million compared with a $47.1 million loss a year earlier. Revenue from continuing operations edged up to $6.2 million, wh...
BCI Minerals advances SOP ambitions with Mardie pilot plant
Aug 18, 2026
BCI Minerals has awarded a construction contract for a sulphate of potash pilot plant at its Mardie Salt Operation and Potash Project, marking a staged step toward validating commercial-scale SOP production from existing feedstock. The containeris...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.