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Grange Resources Limited (AU:GRR)
ASX:GRR
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Grange Resources Limited (GRR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:GRR

Grange Resources Limited

(Sydney:GRR)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.12
▼(-11.43% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/15/26
The score is anchored by strong financial resilience from an exceptionally conservative balance sheet, but is pulled down by weaker recent operating/cash-flow trends (including negative free cash flow) and soft technical momentum (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation inputs are also not supportive due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Near-zero leverage and a large equity base give Grange substantial capacity to withstand iron-ore price cycles without debt-service pressure. That financial flexibility can support sustaining investment and preserve strategic options when operating conditions weaken.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
The shift to approximately negative $22M of free cash flow reduces near-term financial optionality despite healthy operating inflows. Continued reinvestment or working-capital demands could constrain distributions, debt-free expansion, or the ability to absorb weaker commodity conditions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Near-zero leverage and a large equity base give Grange substantial capacity to withstand iron-ore price cycles without debt-service pressure. That financial flexibility can support sustaining investment and preserve strategic options when operating conditions weaken.
Read all positive factors

Grange Resources Limited (GRR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Grange Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Grange Resources Limited is an integrated enterprise focused on iron ore mining and pellet manufacturing, primarily operating in Tasmania's northwest region. The company's activities encompass the full spectrum of iron ore business, from extractio...
How the Company Makes Money
Grange Resources makes money by producing and selling iron ore products (primarily iron ore pellets). Its revenue model is commodity-sales driven: the company mines iron ore, processes it into higher-value pellet products, and sells these products...

Grange Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are mixed: an exceptionally strong, near-zero leverage balance sheet (Balance Sheet Score 93) supports resilience, but profitability and growth have cooled (Income Statement Score 62) and free cash flow turned negative in 2025 (Cash Flow Score 52), indicating weaker earnings quality/near-term cash optionality.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
93
Very Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue502.22M477.85M520.80M614.74M594.55M781.66M
Gross Profit68.64M59.41M61.32M199.51M239.40M435.55M
EBITDA189.72M171.75M243.74M344.73M308.67M538.92M
Net Income-509.01M46.60M58.55M150.10M171.74M322.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets796.52M1.44B1.30B1.24B1.10B1.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments267.90M275.15M298.05M282.61M298.61M464.69M
Total Debt3.36M176.00K1.32M2.21M6.48M17.45M
Total Liabilities230.15M335.10M240.06M212.82M194.09M249.02M
Stockholders Equity566.36M1.11B1.06B1.03B904.13M871.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow37.84M-21.91M40.13M8.92M-27.63M418.09M
Operating Cash Flow168.24M132.51M239.92M267.11M196.94M498.16M
Investing Cash Flow-184.84M-109.52M-253.38M-241.90M-396.24M-79.57M
Financing Cash Flow-1.84M-1.79M-30.73M-25.19M-145.55M-165.25M

Grange Resources Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.14
Price Trends
50DMA
0.12
Negative
100DMA
0.13
Negative
200DMA
0.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
43.90
Neutral
STOCH
13.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:GRR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.11, above the 50-day MA of 0.12, and below the 200-day MA of 0.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:GRR.

Grange Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
AU$157.99M12.056.80%4.88%86.57%124.32%
60
Neutral
AU$39.67M-87.73-2.00%―104.42%―
57
Neutral
AU$127.31M-0.24-60.80%10.00%1.83%-1210.61%
52
Neutral
AU$251.78M12.8121.31%5.71%―119.59%
46
Neutral
AU$114.32M-30.83-20.92%――-150.00%
45
Neutral
AU$215.41M-18.29-26.78%――47.70%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:GRR
Grange Resources Limited
0.11
-0.15
-56.86%
AU:CUF
CuFe Limited
0.06
<0.01
19.57%
AU:FEX
Fenix Resources Limited
0.21
-0.28
-57.38%
AU:RHI
Red Hill Iron Limited
3.92
0.18
4.73%
AU:LCY
Legacy Iron Ore Ltd
―
―
―
AU:CTM
Centaurus Metals Limited
0.38
-0.04
-10.71%

Grange Resources Limited Corporate Events

Grange Resources Greenlights Lower-Capital Underground Mine at Savage River
Oct 13, 2026
Grange Resources has approved a final investment decision to develop the North Pit Underground Project at its Savage River iron ore pellet operations in Tasmania. The project will use a sub-level cave mining method to transition from open pit mini...
Grange Resources Hit by Major Savage River Impairment Despite Revenue Growth
Aug 31, 2026
Grange Resources reported a 12% rise in revenue to $230.8 million for the half year to 30 June 2026, but swung from a prior profit to a statutory loss after tax of $541.8 million. Underlying profit after tax was $10.5 million, highlighting that th...
Grange flags $300m–$600m non-cash hit to Savage River assets
Jul 29, 2026
Grange Resources Limited, a leading Australian magnetite producer, operates the long-life Savage River integrated iron ore mining and pellet production business in north-west Tasmania, supported by a pellet plant and port facility at Port Latta se...
Grange Resources Holds Steady Output as Costs Rise and North Pit Underground Project Advances
Jul 28, 2026
Grange Resources reported steady operational performance at its Savage River operations for the June 2026 quarter, with concentrate production slightly lower at 587,000 tonnes due to reduced weight recovery but pellet sales rising to 580,000 tonne...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2026