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Aspen Group Limited (APZ) AI Stock Analysis

AU:APZ

Aspen Group Limited

(ASX:APZ)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:AUD 5.00â–²(6.38% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:08/19/26

The score is led by strong historical financial performance (revenue growth and high reported profitability), tempered by quality-of-earnings risks from persistently weaker cash conversion and higher leverage due to the 2026 debt increase. Technical signals are neutral and valuation appears reasonable with a modest dividend yield, providing balanced but not compelling support.

Positive Factors
Strong revenue growthRevenue has compounded strongly over several years, indicating meaningful expansion in the company’s property and accommodation operations. Sustained top-line growth can broaden the recurring income base, support asset investment, and improve operating leverage over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak operating cash conversionOperating cash flow consistently trailing net income indicates that reported profits are not fully converting into cash from operations. This weakens earnings quality, may constrain internally funded investment, and makes durable performance more dependent on asset activity or financing.

Aspen Group Limited (APZ) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%AU:APZ-6.40%EWA+15.36%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 1.09B
Dividend Yield
2.32%
Average Volume (3M)
738.22K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.8
Beta (1Y)
0.86
Revenue Growth
30.59%
EPS Growth
13.40%
Country
Australia
Employees
17
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Real Estate - Diversified

Aspen Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Aspen Group is a key operator in the accommodation market, supplying high-standard housing options at appealing prices. Their offerings span residential properties, retirement villages, and park communities. The company focuses its efforts on serving...

How the Company Makes Money

Aspen Group Limited makes money primarily through property-based income and value creation from its real estate portfolio. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Rental and site-fee income: recurring payments from residents/tenants in its residen...

Aspen Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue compounding and robust reported profitability support the score, alongside a growing equity base and acceptable leverage. Offsetting factors are weaker cash conversion (operating cash flow below net income in all years) and a notable jump in debt in 2026, which increases sensitivity to financing conditions and property values.

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

67Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue141.21M141.21M108.13M91.12M65.67M46.68M
Gross Profit71.81M71.81M59.63M56.29M37.20M24.31M
EBITDA104.72M104.72M38.03M73.02M22.20M12.44M
Net Income72.57M72.57M57.05M48.44M54.40M75.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets924.73M924.73M733.46M668.95M575.84M468.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.26M5.26M9.99M4.52M8.92M10.89M
Total Debt222.97M222.97M131.01M199.90M171.69M154.42M
Total Liabilities323.27M323.27M187.81M235.29M214.67M191.47M
Stockholders Equity605.29M605.29M549.49M437.49M365.00M280.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow43.14M43.14M22.90M29.12M11.79M12.50M
Operating Cash Flow45.68M45.68M22.90M30.95M14.06M14.12M
Investing Cash Flow-83.93M-83.93M8.09M-38.43M-50.40M-85.40M
Financing Cash Flow33.51M33.51M-25.52M3.08M34.53M73.73M

Aspen Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price4.70

Price Trends

50DMA4.70Positive
100DMA4.91Negative
200DMA4.97Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.01Negative
RSI56.68Neutral
STOCH80.53Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:APZ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.70 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.64, below the 50-day MA of 4.70, and below the 200-day MA of 4.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.53 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:APZ.

Aspen Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

AU:APZ against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:INAAU:INA78OutperformAUD 2.16B11.5410.91%1.73%8.14%45.13%
AU:CWPAU:CWP75OutperformAUD 524.85M7.8712.22%6.35%7.87%33.77%
AU:PPCAU:PPC71OutperformAUD 668.17M6.4516.17%9.13%1.05%77.00%
AU:APZAU:APZ69NeutralAUD 1.09B14.8412.29%2.32%30.59%13.40%
AU:LICAU:LIC58NeutralAUD 516.64M10.907.06%―38.59%―
AU:GLFAU:GLF56NeutralAUD 1.49B26.778.71%0.28%8.48%-32.41%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%AU:APZAU:PPCAU:INAAU:CWPAU:LICAU:GLFDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:APZ and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:APZAspen Group Limited4.75-0.39-7.66%
AU:PPCPeet Limited1.42-0.36-20.45%
AU:INAIngenia Communities Group5.31-0.12-2.26%
AU:CWPCedar Woods Properties Limited6.14-2.14-25.87%
AU:LICLifestyle Communities Ltd4.25-0.97-18.58%
AU:GLFGemlife Communities Group3.92-1.12-22.18%

Aspen Group Limited Corporate Events

Aspen Group Showcases Superior Returns and Integrated Strategy at Citi Conference

Oct 19, 2026

Aspen Group Limited operates as an owner, operator, developer and capital manager of accommodation properties, focusing on cost-effective, quality housing tailored to its core customer base. The company manages its assets intensively, offers varied l...

Aspen Group Sets Date and Digital Access for 2026 AGM

Oct 8, 2026

Aspen Group Limited and Aspen Property Trust, together known as Aspen Group, have scheduled their 2026 Annual General Meeting for 10 November 2026 at 10:30am AEDT in Sydney, inviting securityholders to attend in person. The company is distributing th...

Aspen Group files updated ASX governance statement and Appendix 4G

Oct 8, 2026

Aspen Group Limited has lodged its latest corporate governance statement for the financial year ended 30 June 2026, confirming that the document is available on its investor relations website and current as of 8 October 2026. The company has also fil...

Cooper Investors Exits Substantial Holding in Aspen Group

Sep 23, 2026

Cooper Investors Pty Limited has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in Aspen Group Limited, according to a notice filed under Australian Corporations Act disclosure rules. The change reflects a reduction in its voting interest in the company to b...

Aspen Group Tightens Director Disclosure Controls After Late Filing

Sep 18, 2026

Evolution Trustees Limited, as responsible entity of Aspen Property Trust within the Aspen Group stapled structure, has outlined its governance and compliance framework for director interest disclosures. The group operates under securities trading an...

Aspen Group Sets Date and Director Nomination Deadline for 2026 AGM

Sep 11, 2026

Aspen Group Limited has scheduled its 2026 Annual General Meeting of shareholders for 10 November 2026, in line with ASX listing requirements. The company will release formal meeting materials to investors ahead of the event, outlining resolutions an...

Aspen Group Bolsters Governance With New Alternate Director Appointment

Sep 9, 2026

Aspen Group has announced that Evolution Trustees Limited, the responsible entity for Aspen Property Trust, has appointed Kathryn Julia Neilson as an alternate director for Ben Michael Norman, effective 1 September 2026. Neilson, who serves as Chief...

Aspen Group director Edwina Gilbert lifts indirect stake in stapled securities

Sep 7, 2026

Aspen Group Limited has disclosed a change in director Edwina Gilbert’s indirect interest in the company’s stapled securities, reflecting an increase in holdings via Jenwin Pty Ltd as trustee for the Philip and Edwina Testamentary Trust....

Aspen Director Increases Stapled Securities Holding via Performance Rights Conversion

Sep 1, 2026

Aspen Group has reported a change in the interests of director David Dixon following the conversion of performance rights into stapled securities. On 31 August 2026, Dixon received 425,101 stapled securities at nil cash consideration, reflecting the...

Aspen Group Director Increases Stapled Securities Through Performance Rights Conversion

Sep 1, 2026

Aspen Group Limited has disclosed a change in the equity interests of director John Carter following the conversion of performance rights into stapled securities. The transaction involved the issue of 425,101 stapled securities at nil cash considerat...

Aspen Group Issues Performance-Based Stapled Securities to Staff and Executives

Aug 31, 2026

Aspen Group Limited and the Aspen Property Trust, which trade as stapled securities on the ASX, function within the property investment and management space under a listed trust-company structure. As regulated disclosing entities, they are required t...

Aspen Group Seeks ASX Quotation for New Stapled Securities

Aug 31, 2026

Aspen Group, listed on the ASX under ticker APZ, is an Australian stapled security issuer operating in the listed investment and funds sector. Its fully paid ordinary stapled securities structure is typical of property and investment vehicles designe...

Aspen Group Performance Rights Lapse Reduces Issued Capital

Aug 28, 2026

Aspen Group has reported the cessation of 5,714 performance rights, identified under the ASX security code APZAI. The rights lapsed because the conditional requirements attached to these securities were not met or became incapable of being satisfied,...

Aspen Group Director Doubles Stake in On‑Market Share Purchase

Aug 21, 2026

Aspen Group has disclosed a change in the holdings of director John Freedman, who increased his direct interest in the company through an on-market purchase. The transaction, executed via Elgin Avenue Pty Ltd on 19 August 2026 at $5.44 per stapled se...

Aspen Group Lifts FY27 Outlook on New Development Approvals

Aug 17, 2026

Aspen Group has released its FY26 financial results and outlined an upgraded guidance for FY27, signaling increased confidence in its near-term performance. The company also announced new development approvals, which are expected to support future gr...

Aspen Group Strengthens Leadership with New CIO and CFO Appointments

Aug 17, 2026

Aspen Group has created two new executive roles, appointing Patrick Maddern as Chief Investment Officer and Hamish Perks as Chief Financial Officer, effective 1 September 2026. Maddern, previously Head of Asset Management & Development, will over...

Aspen Property Trust Publishes Comprehensive 2026 Annual Financial Report

Aug 17, 2026

Aspen Property Trust has released its annual financial report for the year ended 30 June 2026, providing a detailed view of its consolidated profit or loss, financial position, cash flows and changes in equity. The report outlines key elements of its...

Aspen Group Posts 27% Profit Lift and Raises Underlying Earnings

Aug 17, 2026

Aspen Group Limited reported strong results for the year ended 30 June 2026, with revenue from ordinary activities rising 32% to $141.2 million and profit after tax increasing 27% to $72.6 million. Underlying operating earnings climbed 46% to $49.6 m...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2026