tiprankstipranks
Cromwell Property Group (AU:CMW)
ASX:CMW
Want to see AU:CMW full AI Analyst Report?

Cromwell Property Group (CMW) AI Stock Analysis

39 Followers

Top Page

AU:CMW

Cromwell Property Group

(Sydney:CMW)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.40
▼(-0.25% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/06/26
The score is anchored by improving financial resilience (lower leverage and positive cash flow) and a supportive valuation (low P/E and high yield). These positives are tempered by weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and management’s cautious FY2027 framing as a trough year with elevated CapEx/incentives and softer performance-fee expectations.
Positive Factors
Funds management and FFO growth
Growth in funds under management and funds from operations indicates stronger recurring fee capacity and operating performance. New institutional mandates can deepen Cromwell’s capital relationships and support scalable expansion without relying solely on balance-sheet property ownership.
Negative Factors
Long-term revenue contraction and earnings volatility
The substantial multi-year revenue decline and repeated losses indicate that reported earnings power remains unstable despite the 2026 recovery. This can reduce confidence in the durability of distributions and constrain Cromwell’s ability to reinvest consistently across its property platform.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Funds management and FFO growth
Growth in funds under management and funds from operations indicates stronger recurring fee capacity and operating performance. New institutional mandates can deepen Cromwell’s capital relationships and support scalable expansion without relying solely on balance-sheet property ownership.
Read all positive factors

Cromwell Property Group (CMW) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Cromwell Property Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Operating as a versatile real estate investment and management enterprise, Cromwell Property Group (ASX:CMW) maintains a presence across three continents and garners support from a worldwide investor community. By June 30, 2020, the company's fina...
How the Company Makes Money
Cromwell Property Group primarily makes money through (1) recurring income from property investments it owns and (2) fees earned from managing property and investment vehicles for third-party capital. 1) Property investment income (own balance sh...

Cromwell Property Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 26, 2026
(Q4-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was predominantly positive, highlighting 11.4% growth in funds under management, 5% FFO growth, resilient occupancy and valuations, new institutional capital, industrial platform expansion, strong liquidity, and an increased FY 2027 distribution target. These strengths were tempered by a temporary vacancy, substantial tenant incentives and lifecycle CapEx, a potentially weaker FY 2027 performance-fee contribution, challenging development conditions, and cautious commercial property sentiment.
Positive Updates
Funds Under Management and FFO Growth
Group funds under management grew by 11.4%, supported by AUD 748 million secured from new institutional investors. Funds from operations increased by 5% to AUD 110.3 million.
Negative Updates
Volatile Market Environment and Cautious Sentiment
Management said the global environment remains volatile and that market sentiment toward commercial property remains cautious. Transaction activity has also occurred despite elevated geopolitical disruption.
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Negative
Funds Under Management and FFO Growth
Group funds under management grew by 11.4%, supported by AUD 748 million secured from new institutional investors. Funds from operations increased by 5% to AUD 110.3 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For FY 2027, Cromwell is targeting an increased distribution of AUD 0.031 per security; FY 2027 is “probably a bit of a trough year,” with the lease expiry profile the best guide for how FFO will trend, although it is “very difficult to predict” when tenants will perform their leases, with “some significant expiries” coming up in 2028 and in 2032. The company expects “a reasonably large CapEx load” and “similar sorts of amounts of what you’re seeing in FY 2026 to FY 2027,” a stronger investment portfolio performance, particularly as the vacancy at 400 George Street is filled, and otherwise performance “broadly in line with what you are seeing”; performance fees are expected to be “not as much as performance fee that you will see in FY 2026,” and “we are not expecting that good year to extend into FY 2027.” There is “No further consideration in FY 2027,” with deferred consideration payable after three years, at the end of FY 2027, based on the profit made from the venture.

Cromwell Property Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed but improving fundamentals: leverage has been reduced substantially (debt down materially and lower debt-to-equity), and operating/free cash flow remained positive in 2026. Offsetting this, revenue and free cash flow have trended down over the cycle, and profitability has been volatile with large losses in 2023–2025 and unusually high reported margins in 2026 that appear influenced by non-operating/valuation items.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue177.60M176.60M219.70M349.50M352.90M
Gross Profit128.50M145.60M182.00M268.90M280.10M
EBITDA185.30M-45.90M115.20M-360.40M365.60M
Net Income135.40M-22.60M-541.10M-443.80M263.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.44B2.27B3.08B4.22B5.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.10M79.30M292.30M113.90M286.00M
Total Debt775.40M675.90M1.39B1.82B2.19B
Total Liabilities933.00M816.50M1.49B2.00B2.34B
Stockholders Equity1.51B1.45B1.59B2.21B2.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow63.10M102.00M108.10M147.90M174.80M
Operating Cash Flow63.30M102.60M113.00M149.20M175.60M
Investing Cash Flow-110.90M384.40M602.10M196.90M126.30M
Financing Cash Flow14.80M-720.60M-519.30M-521.40M-150.60M

Cromwell Property Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.40
Price Trends
50DMA
0.42
Negative
100DMA
0.42
Negative
200DMA
0.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
28.30
Positive
STOCH
22.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CMW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.41, below the 50-day MA of 0.42, and below the 200-day MA of 0.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.30 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:CMW.

Cromwell Property Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
AU$8.83B8.389.83%5.29%-7.59%178.60%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
AU$6.22B13.204.83%6.42%-28.16%250.74%
60
Neutral
AU$995.17M7.358.95%8.00%0.11%
59
Neutral
AU$1.12B18.403.52%8.13%3.26%-32.26%
56
Neutral
AU$1.55B17.233.90%8.89%-0.03%
54
Neutral
AU$8.99B25.3320.47%2.67%-19.06%6.95%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CMW
Cromwell Property Group
0.38
-0.06
-14.58%
AU:CHC
Charter Hall Group
19.00
-3.52
-15.63%
AU:DXS
Dexus
5.76
-1.13
-16.44%
AU:GPT
GPT Group
4.58
-0.65
-12.50%
AU:GOZ
Growthpoint Properties Australia
2.07
-0.24
-10.47%
AU:CNI
Centuria Capital Group
1.28
-0.93
-42.13%

Cromwell Property Group Corporate Events

Cromwell lifts FFO and expands investment platform on resilient portfolio
Aug 27, 2026
Cromwell Property Group reported a 5% rise in funds from operations to $110.3 million for the year to 30 June 2026, with statutory profit of $135.8 million and assets under management up 11.4% to $4.7 billion. The group shifted to FFO as its prima...
Cromwell Integrates ESG Into 2026 Annual Report to Align with Emerging Standards
Aug 27, 2026
Cromwell Property Group has released its 2026 Annual Report, providing a consolidated view of financial and non-financial performance for the year to 30 June 2026. The report is aimed primarily at securityholders but also addresses investors, empl...
Cromwell Property Group Swings to Profit as Revenue Jumps and NTA Rises
Aug 27, 2026
Cromwell Property Group reported a strong turnaround for the year ended 30 June 2026, with revenue and other income rising 43% to A$266.3 million and funds from operations increasing 5% to A$110.3 million. The stapled group’s profit after ta...
Cromwell Sets Date for FY26 Results and Investor Briefing
Jul 27, 2026
Cromwell Property Group will release its full-year results for the period ending 30 June 2026 on 27 August 2026, and has scheduled an online investor briefing at 10:00am AEST on the same day, to be led by Chief Executive Officer Jonathan Callaghan...
Cromwell Property Group Completes Exit from Chatswood Joint Venture
Jul 14, 2026
Cromwell Property Group has completed the sale of its 50% interest in the commercial property at 475 Victoria Avenue in Chatswood, New South Wales, marking its full exit from the Chatswood joint venture. The divestment simplifies Cromwell’s ...
Cromwell and PAG Launch Brisbane Office Venture with $159m Acquisition
Jul 1, 2026
Cromwell Property Group, an ASX-listed real estate investor and manager with $5.0 billion in assets under management in Australia and New Zealand, focuses on creating value and delivering risk-adjusted returns for a broad base of institutional and...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026