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Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA (ASPS) AI Stock Analysis

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ASPS

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA

(NASDAQ:ASPS)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:$5.50▲(1.66% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/29/26

The score is anchored by still-stressed financials—especially negative equity and elevated leverage—despite improving revenue and marginally positive TTM cash generation. The earnings call adds support due to strong reported growth, customer wins, and a clear long-term adjusted EBITDA objective, but technicals remain weak-to-neutral (below key moving averages with slightly negative MACD) and valuation is impaired by losses (negative P/E) with no dividend yield provided.

Positive Factors
Revenue and EBITDA GrowthStrong year-over-year service revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth indicates improving demand capture and operating execution. Continued customer-win ramping could broaden the revenue base, improve fixed-cost absorption, and strengthen earnings capacity over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity and LeverageThe negative equity position and debt exceeding the asset base leave limited financial flexibility and increase exposure to earnings volatility. High leverage can constrain investment, raise refinancing pressure, and make a downturn more difficult to absorb over the next several quarters.

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA (ASPS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%ASPS-41.51%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$61.85M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
13.46K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-6.1
Beta (1Y)
-0.67
Revenue Growth
5.11%
EPS Growth
52.92%
Country
US
Employees
1,236
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Services

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A. operates as an integrated service provider and marketplace for the real estate and mortgage industries in the United States. It operates through Servicer and Real Estate, and Origination segments. The Servicer and...

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-4.25%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was positive overall. The company reported strong year-over-year revenue, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted pre-tax income, and adjusted EPS growth; significant customer wins and pipelines; expanding revenue diversification; and progress in AI, automation, and Project 45. These positives were partially offset by below-normal industry volumes, the Rithm business wind-down, declining origination-market volumes, lower adjusted EBITDA and gross profit margins, and a corporate adjusted EBITDA loss. Management nevertheless expressed confidence in continued growth and margin improvement.

Positive Updates

Company Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Third-quarter 2026 service revenue was $49.8 million, up 26% year-over-year, while adjusted EBITDA was $4.3 million, up 17%. Management said customer wins continued to ramp and that AI and other efficiency initiatives began accelerating product development speed and are anticipated to drive scalability and operating leverage over the upcoming quarters.

Negative Updates

Adjusted EBITDA Margin Decline
Third-quarter adjusted EBITDA margin was 8.5%, down modestly from the same quarter a year ago. Management attributed the decline to revenue mix changes, with stronger growth in the lower-margin origination segment, and continued investment in new customer implementations and future growth.

Company Guidance

Altisource’s objective is to reach $45 million of run-rate adjusted EBITDA by the fourth quarter of 2028, and it anticipates the continued ramp of customer wins, greater operating leverage, and disciplined cost management to support higher adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter. As customer implementations progress, wins season, and efficiency initiatives take hold, it forecasts improved operating leverage and higher adjusted EBITDA margins; it anticipates a greater portion of incremental revenue to contribute to adjusted EBITDA in the servicer and real estate segment, expects net margins to expand in the origination segment as revenue continues to grow, and expects corporate costs to remain relatively stable as the business grows. It forecasts fourth quarter origination service revenue to remain strong compared to the prior year, while the MBA projects 5.3 million loans will be originated in 2026, representing 6% growth over 2025.

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Operations are improving, with TTM revenue rebounding to ~$192.5M and slightly positive TTM operating/free cash flow, but profitability remains inconsistent (TTM net loss of ~$9.8M) and the balance sheet is a major constraint with negative equity (~-$106.4M) and high debt (~$183.9M) versus assets (~$136.7M).

Income Statement

46Neutral

Balance Sheet

18Very Negative

Cash Flow

34Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue192.51M170.97M160.13M145.07M153.12M178.45M
Gross Profit49.27M48.91M49.53M29.65M21.82M7.09M
EBITDA6.83M5.02M13.62M-6.90M-19.63M51.83M
Net Income-9.82M1.61M-35.64M-56.29M-53.42M11.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets136.71M139.80M143.61M154.86M195.00M257.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.05M26.60M29.81M32.52M51.02M98.13M
Total Debt183.91M192.23M233.86M219.13M250.96M251.56M
Total Liabilities246.60M249.26M300.32M279.91M314.14M326.68M
Stockholders Equity-110.64M-110.21M-157.38M-125.67M-119.65M-70.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow210.00K-5.13M-5.03M-21.83M-45.75M-61.78M
Operating Cash Flow800.00K-5.07M-5.03M-21.83M-44.89M-60.41M
Investing Cash Flow-959.00K-319.00K2.25M0-767.00K102.76M
Financing Cash Flow-5.86M3.18M55.00K2.98M-2.22M-2.30M

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price5.41

Price Trends

50DMA5.73Negative
100DMA5.93Negative
200DMA6.18Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.04Positive
RSI43.40Neutral
STOCH31.16Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASPS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.60, below the 50-day MA of 5.73, and below the 200-day MA of 6.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ASPS.

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA Risk Analysis

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Business expansion involves potential risks.Q4, 2023
2.We may not successfully detect fraudulent activity, which could impact our services, our clients or third parties and could adversely affect our reputation and our results of operations.Q4, 2023
3.Changes to real estate brokerage commission structures or rates paid for residential property transactions could negatively impact us.Q4, 2023

Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

ASPS against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
OMHOMH50Neutral$35.09M-0.62-126.27%―――
ASPSASPS50Neutral$62.88M-6.108.90%―5.11%52.92%
OPADOPAD48Neutral$10.84M-0.24-106.24%―-44.28%54.66%
DOUGDOUG47Neutral$157.35M2.7532.79%―-3.46%―
FTHMFTHM37Underperform$4.69M-0.18-75.90%―4.33%24.93%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%ASPSFTHMOPADDOUGOMHDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
ASPS and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ASPSAltisource Portfolio Solutions5.41-4.14-43.35%
FTHMFathom Holdings Inc0.14-0.95-86.70%
OPADOfferpad Solutions Inc.2.12-16.98-88.90%
DOUGDouglas Elliman Inc.1.74-0.76-30.40%
OMHOhmyhome Limited8.00-51.40-86.53%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026