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Ardmore Shipping (ASC)
NYSE:ASC

Ardmore Shipping (ASC) AI Stock Analysis

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AS

Ardmore Shipping

(NYSE:ASC)

79Outperform
Ardmore Shipping's stock is rated favorably due to strong financial performance, attractive valuation, and positive earnings call insights. The company demonstrates healthy profitability, effective debt management, and robust cash generation. Despite technical indicators suggesting mixed short-term performance, the stock's low P/E ratio and high dividend yield present significant value. Strategic initiatives and market positioning further bolster the stock's potential.

Ardmore Shipping (ASC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ardmore Shipping Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArdmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) is a leading provider of seaborne transportation of petroleum products and chemicals worldwide. The company operates a fleet of modern and sophisticated vessels designed for the safe and efficient delivery of refined oil products and chemicals. Ardmore Shipping focuses on the MR product and chemical tanker segments, servicing major oil companies, oil and chemical traders, and chemical companies globally.
How the Company Makes MoneyArdmore Shipping makes money through the chartering of its tanker vessels to customers seeking transportation for petroleum products and chemicals. The company earns revenue primarily through time charters and spot market voyages, where customers pay Ardmore for the use of its vessels over a specified period or for a specific voyage, respectively. The charter rates depend on market conditions, vessel availability, and the duration of the charter. Partnerships with major oil companies and traders, along with strategic fleet management and operational efficiency, contribute significantly to Ardmore's earnings.

Ardmore Shipping Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ardmore Shipping exhibits solid financial health with strong profitability, effective debt management, and robust cash generation. The consistent improvement in margins and reduction in debt highlight a positive trajectory. While the decrease in free cash flow due to increased capital expenditures poses a short-term concern, the company's strategic investments are likely to support future growth.
Income Statement
Ardmore Shipping has shown a strong performance in recent years, with significant improvements in profitability. The gross profit margin has improved to 38.54% in 2024 from 38.73% in 2023, and the net profit margin has also increased to 32.79% from 29.50% in the same period. Revenue growth was modest at 2.48% in 2024 compared to the previous year, indicating stable demand. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 31.63% and 43.98%, respectively, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
85
The company's balance sheet shows a solid equity base with an equity ratio of 90.16% in 2024, highlighting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has significantly decreased to 0.07 from 0.16 in 2023, reflecting effective debt management. ROE improved to 20.94%, underscoring efficient use of equity to generate profits. The reduction in total debt and increase in stockholders' equity suggest a strengthening financial position.
Cash Flow
Ardmore Shipping's cash flow performance is robust, with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.20 in 2024, indicating strong cash generation capability. However, free cash flow declined by 26.08% from the previous year due to higher capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.75, demonstrating good cash profitability despite the decrease in free cash flow.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
405.78M395.98M445.74M192.48M220.06M
Gross Profit
156.33M153.37M195.53M4.44M99.05M
EBIT
128.29M155.95M159.93M-19.87M18.88M
EBITDA
178.39M157.85M187.83M11.83M50.63M
Net Income Common Stockholders
133.01M116.81M138.45M-36.52M-6.05M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
46.99M46.80M50.57M55.45M58.37M
Total Assets
704.80M690.95M723.86M724.53M752.01M
Total Debt
44.24M93.99M184.62M372.55M409.71M
Net Debt
-2.75M47.18M134.05M317.10M351.35M
Total Liabilities
69.38M116.51M217.42M395.53M431.67M
Stockholders Equity
635.42M574.44M506.44M329.00M320.33M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
99.22M134.22M120.40M-5.52M25.19M
Operating Cash Flow
160.25M159.61M124.21M-2.89M46.09M
Investing Cash Flow
-32.97M-26.84M35.41M1.63M-20.99M
Financing Cash Flow
-127.09M-136.54M-164.50M-1.66M-18.46M

Ardmore Shipping Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price9.90
Price Trends
50DMA
9.56
Positive
100DMA
10.55
Negative
200DMA
13.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
53.47
Neutral
STOCH
68.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.34, above the 50-day MA of 9.56, and below the 200-day MA of 13.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ASC.

Ardmore Shipping Risk Analysis

Ardmore Shipping disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ardmore Shipping reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ardmore Shipping Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ASASC
79
Outperform
$400.51M3.2621.87%9.60%46.10%
GNGNK
71
Outperform
$577.38M7.768.30%10.86%10.21%
70
Outperform
$262.51M6.607.69%9.66%7.46%8.41%
70
Neutral
$222.55M30.692.31%1.63%9.59%
SBSB
66
Neutral
$360.02M4.2111.99%5.71%8.17%35.92%
NANAT
64
Neutral
$550.55M11.708.91%12.83%-2.37%-52.77%
64
Neutral
$4.25B11.725.24%249.79%4.07%-9.45%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASC
Ardmore Shipping
9.73
-9.45
-49.27%
GNK
Genco Shipping
13.46
-7.40
-35.47%
NAT
Nordic American Tanker
2.61
-1.04
-28.49%
SB
Safe Bulkers
3.39
-1.80
-34.68%
KNOP
KNOT Offshore Partners
6.63
1.45
27.99%
PANL
Pangaea Logistics Solutions
4.05
-3.14
-43.67%

Ardmore Shipping Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Ardmore Shipping's strong financial performance, strategic investments, and positive market positioning, despite facing macroeconomic uncertainties and asset value volatility. The company's robust earnings, dividend declaration, and leadership transitions were notable positives, while geopolitical uncertainty and asset value fluctuations presented challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Robust Earnings and Dividend Declaration
Ardmore Shipping announced first quarter adjusted earnings of $5.6 million, or $0.14 per share, and declared a quarterly cash dividend consistent with their policy of paying out one-third of adjusted earnings.
Strong TCE Performance
MR earnings were $20,900 per day for the first quarter and $22,100 per day for the second quarter with 50% booked. Chemical tankers earned $15,000 per day for the first quarter and $19,500 per day for the second quarter with 60% booked.
Strategic Fleet Investments
Ardmore upgraded tank coatings on four chemical tankers to increase cargo flexibility and boost earnings. The company continues to invest in efficiency projects across its fleet, achieving IRRs ranging from 20% to over 100%.
Positive Supply Side Dynamics
The global MR fleet is aging, with more than 50% over 20 years old within the next five years, while the current order book represents only 14% of the fleet.
Leadership Transition
Ardmore announced the promotion of Robert Gaina to COO and John Russell to CFO, reflecting a commitment to internal talent development.
Negative Updates
Geopolitical Uncertainty
U.S. tariffs and countermeasures have created uncertainty across the wider macro economy, impacting the broader markets despite supportive underlying tanker demand fundamentals.
Asset Value Volatility
Asset values have been volatile due to macroeconomic uncertainties and geopolitical events, impacting market confidence and transactions.
Company Guidance
During Ardmore Shipping's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance on various metrics. They announced adjusted earnings of $5.6 million, or $0.14 per share, and declared a quarterly cash dividend consistent with their policy of paying out one-third of adjusted earnings. Their MR tankers earned $20,900 per day in the first quarter and $22,100 per day with 50% of the second quarter booked, while chemical tankers earned $15,000 per day in the first quarter and $19,500 per day with 60% of the second quarter booked. The company maintained a low cash break-even level of $11,500 per day, with further reductions expected due to strategic fleet upgrades. They reported EBITDAR of $18.5 million for the first quarter and highlighted their commitment to capital allocation, with a focus on reducing debt and investing in fleet efficiency projects. Additionally, Ardmore announced management changes, emphasizing internal promotions and strategic continuity.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.