Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN) AI Stock Analysis
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Algonquin Power & Utilities
(NYSE:AQN)
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Algonquin Power & Utilities Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Revenue by SegmentShows how much revenue each business unit or division generates, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Regulated Services is the clear growth engine, with a material inflection (notable March 2025 uplift) consistent with the company’s recent rate implementations and regulatory wins that management flagged (e.g., Missouri, CalPeco and other filings). At the same time Renewable Energy revenue drops to zero after mid‑2024 while a small Hydro line appears—strongly suggesting asset reclassification or disposition that shifts mix toward more predictable regulated cash flow. That improves revenue stability but rising interest/operating costs, the WEMA write‑down and tightening FFO/debt temper near‑term earnings leverage.
The FlyAlgonquin Power & Utilities (AQN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $4.20B
- Dividend Yield
- 4.76%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 3.95M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 30.0
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.08
- Revenue Growth
- 6.88%
- EPS Growth
- ―
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 3,233
- Sector
- Utilities
- Sector Strength
- 66
- Industry
- Diversified Utilities
Algonquin Power & Utilities Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. operates in the power and utility industries. It owns and operates a portfolio of regulated electric, water distribution and wastewater collection, and natural gas utility systems and transmission operations. As of D...
Algonquin Power & Utilities Earnings Call Summary
The call highlighted strong operational and regulatory progress—multiple rate case wins/filings, project approvals (250 MW CCN and CWIP), a strategic U.S. redomicile plan with anticipated recurring tax and EPS benefits, and balance sheet actions that preserved ratings. However, near-term financial results showed notable declines (GAAP and adjusted earnings), a $17.2M write-down tied to California WEMA, rising interest and operating costs, weather headwinds and pending one-time tax/exit cost uncertainty from the redomicile. Taken together, the positives around long-term strategy and regulatory momentum materially offset—but do not fully outweigh—the short‑term earnings and cost pressures and execution/timing risks.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated that its adjusted net earnings-per-share forecast for 2026 and 2027 is unchanged and “on track,” noting Q2 adjusted net EPS of $0.04 (flat YoY) with Q2 adjusted net earnings $29.2M (vs. $33.6M) and GAAP net earnings $4.9M (vs. $14.8M); year‑to‑date adjusted net EPS was $0.17 (vs. $0.19) with YTD adjusted net earnings $128.8M (GAAP $88.0M vs. $107.6M). They said no equity issuance is expected through 2027, raised ~$1.15B at Liberty to repay $1.15B of maturing notes, and remain rated BBB (Algonquin S&P/Fitch) and Baa2/BBB at Liberty (Moody’s/S&P–Fitch); FFO/debt was 11.9% this quarter (down from 12.9%) and management expects to remain above S&P’s ~11% downgrade threshold. On the redomicile, they expect an IRS private letter ruling in H2 2026, a shareholder vote in H1 2027 and run‑rate EPS benefits of roughly $0.02–$0.03 (management cited elimination of a ~5% dividend tax on ~$200M of dividends and BEAT on debt service, implying ~2–2.5¢ of recurring benefit), while one‑time Canadian exit/FIRPTA taxes are possible but not yet quantified. Regulatory milestones cited that support near‑term results include Missouri implementation of ~$97M annualized revenue adjustments (effective Aug. 3), Kansas $8.8M, California WEMA proposed recovery of $58.1M (~75% of request) (a $17.2M regulatory asset write‑down was excluded from adjusted results), an Apple Valley/Park Water $2.7M revenue reduction with a $3.1M retroactive true‑up, and new rate filings (NY Water $38.1M at 10% ROE/48% equity, Empire AR $8.4M at 10% ROE/53.4% cap, EnergyNorth $35.8M at 10.25% ROE/52% cap).
Algonquin Power & Utilities Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
TSE:PIF61Neutral
TSE:NPI60Neutral
TSE:LCFS54Neutral
TSE:BEP.UN51.25Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sector * | 66Neutral | $17.65B | 18.10 | 5.60% | 3.62% | 6.62% | 11.55% |
| TSE:PIF | 61Neutral | CAD 282.68M | 49.50 | 1.73% | 6.14% | -1.18% | ― |
| TSE:NPI | 60Neutral | CAD 5.66B | -39.36 | -3.46% | 3.51% | 15.39% | -180.64% |
| TSE:LCFS | 54Neutral | CAD 727.43M | 6221.87 | 0.20% | ― | 23.90% | ― |
| TSE:BEP.UN | 51Neutral | CAD 27.38B | 62.28 | 2.64% | 5.34% | 5.92% | 52.60% |
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQN | Algonquin Power | 5.46 | 0.15 | 2.75% | |
| TSE:BEP.UN | Brookfield Renewable Energy Partners | 40.02 | -2.19 | -5.19% | |
| TSE:PIF | Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. | 13.53 | 1.25 | 10.16% | |
| TSE:NPI | Northland Power (OTC) | 21.65 | -3.19 | -12.86% | |
| TSE:LCFS | Tidewater Renewables Ltd. | 19.91 | 15.59 | 360.88% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.