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Australia & New Zealand Banking (ANZGY) AI Stock Analysis

ANZGY

Australia & New Zealand Banking

(Other OTC:ANZGY)

Select Model
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:$29.00â–²(1.01% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/07/26

The score is driven mainly by solid financial results and a constructive earnings call, supported by positive trend readings. However, valuation is only fair and technicals are somewhat overextended, while leverage and margin pressure remain key risks.

Positive Factors
Capital strength (CET1)A CET1 ratio of 12.39% provides a durable capital buffer that supports dividends, absorbes credit shocks and funds strategic actions without immediate need for equity. This level enhances regulatory headroom, underpins risk-taking capacity for lending growth and preserves optionality over 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Sharp leverage increaseA rapid rise in leverage materially reduces financial flexibility, raising refinancing, funding and regulatory risks. Higher leverage can amplify earnings volatility, constrain capital deployment and heighten sensitivity to stress scenarios, making balance-sheet management a multi-quarter priority.

Australia & New Zealand Banking (ANZGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%ANZGY+25.63%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$86.18B
Dividend Yield
3.88%
Average Volume (3M)
240.96K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
20.6
Beta (1Y)
0.61
Revenue Growth
-4.06%
EPS Growth
-11.28%
Country
US
Employees
42,698
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Diversified

Australia & New Zealand Banking Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ANZ Group Holdings Limited is a global financial institution that delivers a broad spectrum of banking and financial solutions to both individual consumers and corporate clients, operating within Australia and on an international scale. For its perso...

How the Company Makes Money

ANZ primarily makes money through net interest income, fees and commissions, and income from its markets-related activities. 1) Net interest income (core banking spread): ANZ earns interest on loans and other interest-earning assets (e.g., home loans...

Australia & New Zealand Banking Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:11.47%|Next Earnings Date:Aug 17, 2020
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call emphasized substantial progress on cost reduction, capital strength, improved returns and disciplined portfolio management while acknowledging revenue stagnation in the half, ongoing provisioning for geopolitical uncertainty, and the execution risk associated with major integration and replatforming programs. Management presented concrete metrics showing stronger profitability, upgraded productivity targets and maintained dividends, but also noted persistent customer experience/NPS weaknesses and pockets of below-system lending performance. Overall the results portray a bank in active transformation with material near-term achievements and some execution and macro-related risks to monitor.

Positive Updates

Improved Returns
Return on tangible equity rose to 11.6%, an improvement of 161 basis points vs prior half, reflecting stronger profitability and early benefits of the ANZ 2030 transformation.

Negative Updates

Flat Group Revenue
Group revenue was flat half-on-half; on a constant currency basis (and excluding certain hedge benefits) revenue rose ~1% — weaker-than-expected revenue capture given higher rate environment and market-wide tailwinds.

Company Guidance

Management reiterated Phase‑1 guidance and gave metric‑led detail: H1 cash profit after tax was $3.8bn with return on tangible equity 11.6% (up 161bps) and CET1 12.39% (up 36bps); cost‑to‑income fell to 49.4% (from 54.6%) as productivity savings were upgraded to $875m (versus $800m) driving an expected ~5% FY26 reduction in costs from a $11.85bn FY25 baseline and keeping the ~$1.5bn investment envelope (investment spend ≈80% of expense); the interim dividend was maintained at $0.83/share with franking raised to 75% and the DRP neutralized. Credit and balance‑sheet settings were strengthened with a $126m collective provision charge this half (collective provision balance $4.45bn, coverage 1.22% up 4bps in the half and 9bps since Mar‑25), an individual provision charge of $148m (annualised loss rate 4bps vs long‑run ~11bps), deposits ex‑Markets +$11bn (+$20bn constant currency), save & transact +$16bn CCY, operational deposits +8% CCY (up 28% over 2 years), customer loans +$16bn CCY (Australia home loans +$5bn), markets income $1.1bn (+8%), revenue/RWA 4.88%, group NIM ~1.53% (replicating portfolio expected to add ~7bps over 12–18 months), and program milestones — Suncorp migration 34% complete (target 57% by FY‑end, finish Jun‑27) and single customer front end 13% complete (target 45% by FY‑end, delivery Sep‑27).

Australia & New Zealand Banking Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth and operating cash flow are strong, and ROE remains stable, but margin erosion and higher leverage reduce the overall quality of the financial profile.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

68Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.14B65.70B20.36B20.28B19.66B17.99B
Gross Profit20.20B20.49B20.36B20.28B18.94B17.83B
EBITDA10.75B9.80B10.33B11.01B11.09B10.02B
Net Income3.73B3.79B6.54B7.10B7.12B6.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.31T1.30T1.23T1.11T1.09T978.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments173.36B122.72B112.99B146.44B157.53B141.89B
Total Debt257.89B219.82B121.28B150.08B134.00B78.43B
Total Liabilities1.24T1.23T1.16T1.04T1.02T915.18B
Stockholders Equity70.68B71.13B69.86B69.52B65.91B63.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.75B26.11B9.95B5.88B19.52B43.26B
Operating Cash Flow18.76B26.11B9.95B6.49B20.18B43.82B
Investing Cash Flow-53.41B-23.94B-42.12B-10.69B-1.82B10.26B
Financing Cash Flow12.70B612.00M17.91B4.38B-2.35B-9.67B

Australia & New Zealand Banking Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price28.71

Price Trends

50DMA26.88Positive
100DMA26.12Positive
200DMA25.87Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.51Negative
RSI72.05Negative
STOCH96.77Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ANZGY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.24, above the 50-day MA of 26.88, and above the 200-day MA of 25.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.05 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.77 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ANZGY.

Australia & New Zealand Banking Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

ANZGY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
INGING73Outperform$87.97B12.0213.48%4.84%11.88%22.51%
WFCWFC73Outperform$250.35B11.5512.86%2.22%6.38%16.80%
MUFGMUFG68Neutral$245.78B14.5212.34%3.11%7.56%43.28%
SMFGSMFG68Neutral$155.08B14.4810.89%2.97%7.19%41.88%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
HSBCHSBC65Neutral$292.94B11.0414.16%4.38%-1.12%62.58%
ANZGYANZGY64Neutral$86.46B20.618.30%3.88%-4.06%-11.28%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%ANZGYHSBCINGMUFGSMFGWFCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
ANZGY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ANZGYAustralia & New Zealand Banking Group28.715.6924.71%
HSBCHSBC Holdings plc85.4218.0526.79%
INGIng Groep N.V.31.467.2429.89%
MUFGMitsubishi Ufj Financial21.566.3942.12%
SMFGSumitomo Mitsui Financial24.207.8548.01%
WFCWells Fargo & Company83.40-2.04-2.38%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026