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AMTD IDEA Group
(NYSE:AMTD)
Select Model
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Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$0.81
▲(4.81% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/01/26
AMTD’s score is held back mainly by uneven financial performance—volatile revenue trends, compressed ROE, and weak operating cash-flow conversion versus net income—despite a reasonably supported balance sheet. Technical indicators are mixed with longer-term trend weakness (below 100/200-day averages and negative MACD). Valuation is a relative positive due to an extremely low P/E, but it is not enough to offset the financial and trend risks.
Positive Factors
TGE platform expansion
TGE’s strong interim growth and expansion across four gateway markets indicate increasing strategic value from AMTD IDEA’s diversified media and hospitality platform. A larger asset base, broader geographic footprint, and integrated content and venue model could support more durable earnings contributions over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile revenue and weakening earnings
The recent revenue rebound has not yet established a durable growth trend because it follows a sharp multi-year contraction and coincides with lower net income than the 2022–2023 peak. This uneven performance makes future earnings power less predictable and may constrain consistent reinvestment.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
TGE platform expansion
TGE’s strong interim growth and expansion across four gateway markets indicate increasing strategic value from AMTD IDEA’s diversified media and hospitality platform. A larger asset base, broader geographic footprint, and integrated content and venue model could support more durable earnings contributions over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.46B
Dividend Yield2.95%
Average Volume (3M)7.87K
Price to Earnings (P/E)0.2
Beta (1Y)0.73
Revenue Growth5.78%
EPS Growth-10.74%
CountryUS
Employees166
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryInvestment - Banking & Investment Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)3.73
Shares Outstanding42,487,250
10 Day Avg. Volume7,716
30 Day Avg. Volume7,872
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.01
Price to Book (P/B)<0.01
Price to Sales (P/S)0.26
P/FCF Ratio0.87
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.17
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.35
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit9.99
Enterprise Value/Ebitda3.78
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
AMTD IDEA Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
AMTD IDEA Group functions as an investment holding company, primarily engaged in investment banking operations across various global regions, including Hong Kong, Mainland China, and the United States. The company structures its diverse business a...
How the Company Makes Money
AMTD IDEA Group primarily generates revenue from fee-based financial services and related activities. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Investment banking and corporate finance advisory fees—earned from advising companies on transactions ...
AMTD IDEA Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 57.21M | 54.07M | 171.81M | 1.04B | 1.39B |
| Gross Profit | 24.92M | 24.45M | 122.67M | 1.06B | 761.82M |
| EBITDA | 91.47M | 75.49M | 168.52M | 1.22B | 1.35B |
| Net Income | 43.60M | 51.04M | 142.99M | 1.23B | 1.23B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 2.30B | 2.07B | 1.49B | 8.27B | 6.69B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 59.40M | 87.86M | 120.23M | 1.08B | 526.26M |
| Total Debt | 292.42M | 283.49M | 96.55M | 20.58M | 64.24M |
| Total Liabilities | 385.38M | 369.89M | 193.02M | 454.49M | 898.05M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.74B | 1.59B | 1.29B | 7.57B | 5.77B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 17.09M | 5.15M | 39.91M | 209.13M | 434.80M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 17.84M | 5.16M | 39.98M | 209.15M | 434.80M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -174.97M | -45.34M | -266.97M | -576.43M | -358.70M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 145.47M | -17.34M | 209.35M | 916.97M | -6.66M |
AMTD IDEA Group Technical Analysis
Positive
0.77
Price Trends
0.76
Positive
0.87
Negative
0.94
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.01
Negative
57.82
Neutral
37.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMTD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.74, above the 50-day MA of 0.76, and below the 200-day MA of 0.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMTD.
AMTD IDEA Group Risk Analysis
AMTD IDEA Group disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AMTD IDEA Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our financial information prepared under U.S. GAAP may not be comparable to our financial information prepared under IFRS. Q4, 2023
2.
We may have exposure to greater than anticipated tax liabilities. Q4, 2023
3.
We face significant competition in all aspects of our business. Q4, 2023
AMTD IDEA Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $1.68B | 9.14 | 14.83% | 11.62% | 8.54% | -23.45% | |
70 Outperform | $694.53M | 13.45 | 4.82% | 16.69% | 12.58% | -40.06% | |
70 Outperform | $763.73M | 20.97 | 3.25% | 14.03% | 11.89% | -58.67% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
63 Neutral | $1.07B | 17.82 | 4.17% | 11.22% | 117.29% | -58.47% | |
62 Neutral | $662.58M | -14.42 | -4.28% | 16.47% | -50.21% | -161.42% | |
57 Neutral | $1.46B | 0.22 | 2.47% | 2.95% | 5.78% | -10.74% |
* Financial Sector Average
AMTD
AMTD IDEA Group
0.78
-0.37
-32.17%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
6.92
-1.29
-15.70%
PFLT
Pennantpark
6.91
-0.68
-8.92%
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC
9.09
0.47
5.50%
CGBD
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc
10.69
-0.18
-1.62%
TRIN
Trinity Capital
17.55
4.17
31.12%
AMTD IDEA Group Corporate Events
AMTD IDEA’s TGE Posts Profit Surge on Global Hotel Acquisitions in 1H 2026
Sep 30, 2026
On September 30, 2026, AMTD IDEA Group reported via a Form 6-K that its subsidiary, The Generation Essentials Group, released unaudited interim results for the six months ended June 30, 2026. The filing underscores AMTD IDEA’s role in co-est...
AMTD IDEA Warned by NYSE Over Sub-US$1 ADS Price, Faces Six-Month Cure Period
Aug 7, 2026
On August 7, 2026, AMTD IDEA Group disclosed that the New York Stock Exchange notified the company that its American depositary shares had fallen below the NYSE’s minimum US$1.00 average closing price requirement over a 30 trading-day period...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.