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AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD)
NYSE:AMTD
US Market
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AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) AI Stock Analysis

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AMTD

AMTD IDEA Group

(NYSE:AMTD)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$0.85
▲(10.65% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/21/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening cash-flow conversion and inconsistent operating performance, alongside bearish technical signals (negative MACD, low RSI, and price below key longer-term averages). These are partially offset by an extremely low P/E valuation and a balance sheet that remains moderately leveraged and equity-supported.
Positive Factors
Equity-Supported Balance Sheet
Moderate leverage and a larger equity base provide financial resilience and capacity to absorb volatility in capital-markets activity, while limiting dependence on debt financing over the medium term.
Negative Factors
NYSE Minimum-Price Compliance Risk
The exchange deficiency creates a material structural risk of suspension or delisting if the company cannot regain compliance. That could impair market access, liquidity, investor participation, and the group’s ability to use its listed platform.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Equity-Supported Balance Sheet
Moderate leverage and a larger equity base provide financial resilience and capacity to absorb volatility in capital-markets activity, while limiting dependence on debt financing over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AMTD IDEA Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AMTD IDEA Group functions as an investment holding company, primarily engaged in investment banking operations across various global regions, including Hong Kong, Mainland China, and the United States. The company structures its diverse business a...
How the Company Makes Money
AMTD IDEA Group primarily generates revenue from fee-based financial services and related activities. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Investment banking and corporate finance advisory fees—earned from advising companies on transactions ...

AMTD IDEA Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet is reasonably supported by equity with manageable leverage, but operating performance has been inconsistent. Revenue declined sharply from 2022–2024 with only a modest rebound in 2025, and returns on equity have compressed to low single digits. Cash-flow quality is a key concern: operating cash flow coverage versus net income is weak in 2024–2025 despite a 2025 free-cash-flow rebound.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue57.21M54.07M171.81M1.04B1.39B
Gross Profit24.92M24.45M122.67M1.06B761.82M
EBITDA91.47M75.49M168.52M1.22B1.35B
Net Income43.60M51.04M142.99M1.23B1.23B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.30B2.07B1.49B8.27B6.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.40M87.86M120.23M1.08B526.26M
Total Debt292.42M283.49M96.55M20.58M64.24M
Total Liabilities385.38M369.89M193.02M454.49M898.05M
Stockholders Equity1.74B1.59B1.29B7.57B5.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.09M5.15M39.91M209.13M434.80M
Operating Cash Flow17.84M5.16M39.98M209.15M434.80M
Investing Cash Flow-174.97M-45.34M-266.97M-576.43M-358.70M
Financing Cash Flow145.47M-17.34M209.35M916.97M-6.66M

AMTD IDEA Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.77
Price Trends
50DMA
0.84
Negative
100DMA
0.93
Negative
200DMA
0.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
42.78
Neutral
STOCH
26.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMTD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.76, below the 50-day MA of 0.84, and below the 200-day MA of 0.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AMTD.

AMTD IDEA Group Risk Analysis

AMTD IDEA Group disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AMTD IDEA Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our financial information prepared under U.S. GAAP may not be comparable to our financial information prepared under IFRS. Q4, 2023
2.
We may have exposure to greater than anticipated tax liabilities. Q4, 2023
3.
We face significant competition in all aspects of our business. Q4, 2023

AMTD IDEA Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$733.22M14.464.82%17.37%12.58%-40.06%
71
Outperform
$1.74B9.6014.83%11.82%8.54%-23.45%
70
Outperform
$794.69M22.683.25%15.44%11.89%-58.67%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$1.14B19.474.17%17.78%117.29%-58.47%
62
Neutral
$706.50M-15.52-4.28%17.69%-50.21%-161.42%
56
Neutral
$1.47B0.202.47%5.78%-10.74%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMTD
AMTD IDEA Group
0.76
-0.26
-25.59%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
7.45
-1.70
-18.57%
PFLT
Pennantpark
7.43
-1.48
-16.59%
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC
9.93
0.25
2.59%
CGBD
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc
11.56
-0.54
-4.46%
TRIN
Trinity Capital
18.43
4.51
32.39%

AMTD IDEA Group Corporate Events

AMTD IDEA Warned by NYSE Over Sub-US$1 ADS Price, Faces Six-Month Cure Period
Aug 7, 2026
On August 7, 2026, AMTD IDEA Group disclosed that the New York Stock Exchange notified the company that its American depositary shares had fallen below the NYSE’s minimum US$1.00 average closing price requirement over a 30 trading-day period...
AMTD IDEA Unit TGE Launches US$10 Million Buyback and Two-Year Insider Lock-Up
Jun 18, 2026
On June 17, 2026, The Generation Essentials Group (TGE), a media, entertainment and hospitality-focused subsidiary of AMTD Digital and part of the wider AMTD ecosystem, announced that its board had approved a share repurchase program of up to US$1...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2026