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Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC)
:AMRC
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Ameresco (AMRC) AI Stock Analysis

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AMRC

Ameresco

(NYSE:AMRC)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(4.74% Upside)
Ameresco's overall stock score reflects moderate financial health with stable revenue growth but high leverage and negative cash flows. Technical indicators show mixed momentum, and the stock's valuation appears high relative to peers. The positive sentiment from the earnings call is not factored into the score due to its exclusion from the weighted calculation.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Ameresco's projected revenue growth reflects strong market demand and effective execution, supporting long-term business expansion.
Market Position
Ameresco's strong market position in energy solutions is bolstered by robust demand, enhancing its competitive advantage and growth potential.
Operating Leverage
Higher EBITDA growth relative to revenue indicates strong operating leverage, improving profitability and financial health over time.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting Ameresco's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Cash Flows
Persistent negative cash flows may strain liquidity and hinder Ameresco's capacity to fund operations and strategic initiatives.
Declining Margins
Decreasing margins suggest challenges in maintaining cost efficiency, which could affect long-term profitability and competitiveness.

Ameresco (AMRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ameresco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmeresco, Inc. (AMRC) is a leading energy efficiency and renewable energy solutions provider, dedicated to delivering innovative, cost-effective energy solutions to a diverse clientele, including commercial, industrial, and governmental entities. The company operates primarily in the sectors of energy efficiency, sustainable infrastructure, and renewable energy, offering a comprehensive suite of services that includes energy audits, engineering, project development, and the implementation of energy-saving technologies. Ameresco is committed to enhancing energy performance through advanced technologies and ongoing services that help clients reduce their carbon footprint and improve their energy resilience.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmeresco generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from energy efficiency projects, renewable energy installations, and operations and maintenance services. The company earns a significant portion of its income from performance-based contracts, where it partners with clients to implement energy-saving measures and shares in the cost savings achieved. Additionally, Ameresco benefits from federal and state incentives for renewable energy projects, which enhance profitability. Key partnerships with government agencies and private sector clients allow Ameresco to secure long-term contracts, providing stable revenue. The company's focus on energy-as-a-service models also contributes to its revenue, enabling clients to access renewable energy without upfront capital investments.

Ameresco Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsAmeresco's revenue growth in Europe is a standout, driven by strategic expansion and now contributing significantly to the company's diversification strategy. This aligns with the earnings call highlighting Europe as a key growth area, now accounting for 20% of the project backlog. Despite challenges like supplier bankruptcy and regulatory issues, Ameresco's strong backlog and diversified approach across geographies and technologies position it well for continued growth, with nearly $10 billion in revenue visibility.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Ameresco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, growth in backlog, and successful project executions, particularly in energy infrastructure and data centers. However, potential delays due to the federal government shutdown and certain revenue segment challenges were also noted. The sentiment is overall positive due to the strong growth and financial metrics.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Strong Financial Performance
Ameresco reported a 5% year-over-year revenue growth, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 13% to $70.4 million. Gross margin improved to 16%, showcasing strong financial performance and effective cost management.
Significant Project Backlog and New Awards
The total project backlog grew to $5.1 billion, with $450 million in new project awards and a 33% increase in contracted project backlog to $2.5 billion. This includes notable achievements in energy infrastructure projects.
Expansion in Energy Asset Portfolio
Energy asset revenue grew by 6%, with an additional 16 megawatts placed into operation during the quarter, bringing total operating assets to 765 megawatts. The company remains on track to meet its annual target for additional assets.
Growth in O&M Revenue
Recurring O&M revenue increased by 8% this quarter, with the long-term O&M backlog reaching approximately $1.5 billion.
Successful Data Center and Industrial Projects
Ameresco announced significant projects such as a 50-megawatt battery energy storage system with Nucor and a 40-megawatt firm power plant for Hawaiian Electric, highlighting its capability in providing resilient power solutions.
Negative Updates
Potential Impact of Federal Government Shutdown
While proactive measures were taken, a prolonged government shutdown could delay some project award conversions and shift revenue timing, though it is not expected to materially impact Q4 results.
Challenges in Other Revenue Segment
Revenue from the other line of business was lower year-over-year due to the divestiture of the AEG business at the end of 2024.
Company Guidance
During Ameresco's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported strong financial performance, driven by significant achievements in business development across all lines. Key metrics included a 5% year-over-year revenue growth, a 13% increase in adjusted EBITDA, and a total project backlog of $5.1 billion, with $450 million in new project awards. The energy asset revenue increased by 6%, bolstered by the addition of 16 megawatts to their operating assets, while the O&M revenue rose by 8%, enhancing their long-term revenue visibility to over $10 billion. Ameresco's diversified business model, with its focus on energy infrastructure solutions, positioned the company well for continued growth, leading to the reaffirmation of their 2025 guidance.

Ameresco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ameresco's financial performance shows moderate growth with stable revenue and profitability. However, high leverage and negative cash flows present potential risks. The company needs to improve operational efficiency and cash flow management.
Income Statement
Ameresco's income statement shows moderate growth and profitability. The TTM revenue growth rate of 1.88% indicates a slight increase in sales, while the gross profit margin of 14.48% and net profit margin of 3.13% suggest stable profitability. However, the declining EBIT and EBITDA margins from previous years highlight potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a stable but leveraged position. The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08 in the TTM period indicates a high level of debt compared to equity, which could pose financial risks. The return on equity of 4.93% shows moderate profitability for shareholders, while the equity ratio of 40.77% suggests a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals significant challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 17.99 indicates some ability to cover net income, but the negative growth in free cash flow highlights potential liquidity issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.88B1.77B1.37B1.82B1.22B1.03B
Gross Profit276.40M256.09M246.43M290.83M230.36M187.55M
EBITDA173.39M194.80M150.39M190.78M142.05M116.67M
Net Income63.00M56.76M62.47M94.93M70.46M54.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.43B4.16B3.71B2.88B2.22B1.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments94.55M108.52M79.27M115.53M50.45M66.42M
Total Debt1.95B1.70B1.55B937.65M497.53M422.44M
Total Liabilities3.33B3.10B2.74B1.96B1.47B1.22B
Stockholders Equity1.09B1.01B901.98M824.03M704.26M492.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-99.21M-320.75M-621.76M-666.19M-356.07M-285.34M
Operating Cash Flow-19.09M117.60M-69.99M-338.29M-172.30M-102.58M
Investing Cash Flow-289.53M-386.64M-566.94M-328.36M-205.26M-181.01M
Financing Cash Flow230.82M313.94M640.80M730.23M365.46M305.17M

Ameresco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price36.28
Price Trends
50DMA
34.11
Positive
100DMA
26.23
Positive
200DMA
20.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.23
Positive
RSI
45.06
Neutral
STOCH
38.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMRC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 36.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.06, above the 50-day MA of 34.11, and above the 200-day MA of 20.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AMRC.

Ameresco Risk Analysis

Ameresco disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ameresco reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ameresco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.33B37.9014.68%13.82%96.16%
74
Outperform
$3.53B36.7516.22%-0.64%168.51%
71
Outperform
$4.48B34.2315.89%0.51%7.18%77.84%
64
Neutral
$3.47B-10.61%12.03%-93.60%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$1.91B30.646.31%12.22%17.46%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMRC
Ameresco
36.28
0.88
2.49%
GVA
Granite Construction
102.40
11.58
12.75%
MYRG
MYR Group
230.14
91.86
66.43%
TPC
Tutor Perini
65.72
38.31
139.77%
WLDN
Willdan Group
90.84
47.43
109.26%

Ameresco Corporate Events

Ameresco, Inc. Reports Strong Earnings and Growth
Aug 6, 2025

Ameresco, Inc.’s recent earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, highlighting the company’s strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. Despite facing some challenges, such as supplier bankruptcy and regulatory uncertainties, Ameresco’s diversified strategy and robust market position both domestically and internationally provide a solid foundation for continued growth.

Ameresco Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 5, 2025

Ameresco, Inc. is a leading energy solutions provider focused on helping customers transition to sustainable energy through a variety of services, including energy efficiency solutions and renewable energy projects, primarily operating in North America and Europe.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025