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Tutor Perini (TPC) AI Stock Analysis

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TPC

Tutor Perini

(NYSE:TPC)

Select Model
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:$114.00â–²(12.49% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

TPC’s score is driven primarily by strong and improving cash generation plus a more conservative balance sheet, reinforced by a very positive earnings call with raised EPS guidance and strong backlog-driven visibility. Offsetting factors include historically volatile profitability with still-thin net margins, mixed technical momentum (negative MACD), and a relatively high P/E with a low dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Backlog VisibilityThe large backlog provides meaningful revenue visibility and supports continued project activity beyond the current year. With most expected 2027 revenue already represented, Tutor Perini has a stronger foundation for sustained growth, workforce planning, and cash generation.
Negative Factors
Profitability VolatilityAlthough profitability has recovered, the low current net margin and recent history of losses make earnings less predictable than revenue. Modest execution or cost pressures could therefore have an outsized effect on net income, cash retention, and confidence in sustainable returns.

Tutor Perini (TPC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%TPC+72.13%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$5.33B
Dividend Yield
0.27%
Average Volume (3M)
489.21K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
37.8
Beta (1Y)
1.16
Revenue Growth
22.55%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
7,400
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Engineering & Construction

Tutor Perini Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tutor Perini Corporation, a long-standing construction firm founded in 1894 and based in Sylmar, California (which operated as Perini Corporation until 2009), offers a comprehensive suite of general contracting, construction management, and design-bu...

How the Company Makes Money

Tutor Perini makes money primarily by contracting to plan, manage, and build construction projects for owners (government agencies and private developers) and recognizing revenue as it performs under those contracts. Its key revenue streams are: (1)...

Tutor Perini Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:21.91%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, supported by record revenue, operating income and operating cash flow, double-digit growth across segments, a near-record $20.4 billion backlog, a $200 billion-plus opportunity pipeline, improved liquidity and higher 2026 adjusted EPS guidance. Management also expressed confidence in double-digit growth for 2027 and beyond. The main negatives were nonoperating refinancing and pension charges, Specialty Contractors margins remaining below the 5% to 8% target, potential winter seasonality in the fourth quarter and timing uncertainty around certain government awards. Highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.

Positive Updates

Record Operating Cash Flow
Third-quarter operating cash flow reached a record $331 million, up 14% year-over-year and the largest quarterly result ever. Operating cash flow for the first nine months of 2026 was $665 million, up 16% year-over-year and the highest first-nine-month result ever. Management attributed the performance to higher volume, strong project execution, record earnings, collections on various large profitable projects and effective working capital management.

Negative Updates

Debt Extinguishment and Pension Settlement Charges
The company recorded a $51 million loss on extinguishment of debt related to the July refinancing, including $16 million that was noncash, and a separate noncash $34 million charge related to settling former pension plan obligations.

Company Guidance

Management raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to the range of $5.90 to $6.10 per share, up from the previous range of $5.15 to $5.45, with guidance continuing to factor in contingency for unknown or unexpected outcomes and developments this year. Management expects strong operating cash generation for the remainder of 2026 and beyond, 2027 double-digit revenue and earnings growth, Civil margins in the 12% to 15% range, Building margins in the 3% to 6% margin range, and Specialty margins eventually sustaining in the 5% to 8% range. For 2026, G&A expense is expected to be between $380 million and $400 million, depreciation and amortization expense approximately $45 million, interest expense between $40 million and $42 million, effective income tax rate approximately 26% to 29%, noncontrolling interest between $65 million and $75 million, approximately 54 million weighted average diluted shares outstanding, and capital expenditures approximately $125 million to $135 million, with approximately $75 million to $85 million being owner-funded for large equipment items on certain large new projects.

Tutor Perini Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are improving with strong cash generation and a healthier balance sheet. Cash flow is a standout (TTM operating cash flow ~$838.7M; free cash flow ~$672.5M, both up vs. 2025) and debt has declined to ~$403.6M with sizable equity (~$1.30B). Profitability has recovered (TTM net income ~$141.0M; net margin ~2.9%), but margins remain thin and earnings have been volatile over multiple years, which reduces predictability.

Income Statement

68Positive

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

84Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.25B5.54B4.33B3.88B3.79B4.64B
Gross Profit735.10M647.51M197.04M140.62M29.61M466.39M
EBITDA309.71M309.29M-34.75M-54.03M-135.28M345.50M
Net Income140.98M80.44M-163.72M-171.16M-210.01M91.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.74B5.16B4.24B4.43B4.54B4.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.11B999.15M455.08M380.56M259.35M202.20M
Total Debt403.64M470.92M534.14M899.75M958.44M993.65M
Total Liabilities4.36B3.90B3.08B3.15B3.10B3.05B
Stockholders Equity1.30B1.22B1.13B1.29B1.45B1.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow672.50M567.21M466.13M255.52M147.19M-187.05M
Operating Cash Flow838.73M748.07M503.54M308.47M206.97M-148.45M
Investing Cash Flow-283.64M-249.69M-40.69M-78.25M-65.64M-37.34M
Financing Cash Flow-166.63M-192.36M-393.35M-109.38M-78.90M-54.66M

Tutor Perini Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price101.34

Price Trends

50DMA84.14Positive
100DMA84.70Positive
200DMA81.83Positive

Market Momentum

MACD2.08Negative
RSI73.38Negative
STOCH97.39Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 101.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.90, above the 50-day MA of 84.14, and above the 200-day MA of 81.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.38 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.39 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TPC.

Tutor Perini Risk Analysis

Tutor Perini disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tutor Perini reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.We cannot guarantee the timing, amount, or payment of dividends on our common stock or that we will repurchase our common stock pursuant to our stock repurchase program.Q4, 2025
2.If we are unable to accurately estimate contract risks, revenue or costs, we may incur a loss or achieve lower than anticipated profit.Q4, 2025
3.Item 1. Legal ProceedingsQ1, 2025

Tutor Perini Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

TPC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TPCTPC75Outperform$5.12B37.8111.28%0.27%22.55%―
KBRKBR75Outperform$4.91B10.4327.25%1.82%-2.98%13.08%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
GVAGVA57Neutral$5.51B-20.86-27.07%0.41%25.11%-245.21%
PRIMPRIM53Neutral$3.67B40.355.90%0.44%-5.37%-65.14%
FLRFLR49Neutral$6.47B-7.72-40.09%―1.92%-135.87%
ACMACM48Neutral$9.09B31.7912.54%1.77%-4.24%-44.22%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%TPCACMFLRGVAKBRPRIMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TPC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TPCTutor Perini101.3441.9170.51%
ACMAecom70.25-61.37-46.63%
FLRFluor Corporation50.627.5817.61%
GVAGranite Construction126.4024.0823.53%
KBRKBR Inc36.29-5.24-12.62%
PRIMPrimoris Services72.22-43.84-37.78%

Tutor Perini Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Tutor Perini Announces Board Change Amid Ownership Shift

Neutral
Oct 13, 2026

Tutor Perini Corporation disclosed that, following recent sales of company common stock by trusts affiliated with Ronald N. Tutor, his beneficial ownership fell below the 11.25% threshold established in a 2008 Shareholders Agreement. As a result, on...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Tutor Perini Announces Retirement of Civil West Executive

Neutral
Aug 14, 2026

Tutor Perini Corporation announced that William E. Jensen, Executive Vice President of its Civil West division, notified the company on August 11, 2026, of his decision to retire. His retirement will be effective September 4, 2026, marking a leadersh...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026