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AP Moller - Maersk (AMKBY) AI Stock Analysis
AP Moller - Maersk
(Other OTC:AMKBY)
The overall score reflects a financially resilient but cyclical company: normalized earnings and cash flows are backed by a notably strong balance sheet and continuing positive free cash generation, yet profitability and cash conversion are well below prior-cycle highs. Technical indicators show a price that has already rerated significantly and is now overbought, tilting near-term risk toward consolidation or pullback rather than further immediate upside. Valuation metrics are only moderately attractive for a volatile shipping business, while the latest earnings call adds a clear positive: upgraded guidance, strong operational execution, and robust liquidity that support the medium-term outlook despite structural congestion, higher fuel costs, and rate uncertainty.
AP Moller - Maersk (AMKBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $49.33B
- Dividend Yield
- 2.15%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 102.84K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 21.8
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.76
- Revenue Growth
- -1.27%
- EPS Growth
- -64.83%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 107,638
- Sector
- Industrials
- Sector Strength
- 63
- Industry
- Marine Shipping
AP Moller - Maersk Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S, often simply known as Maersk, is a global leader in integrated transportation and logistics solutions. Its Ocean division primarily handles containerized freight, delivering an array of associated services. These include char...
How the Company Makes Money
Maersk makes money primarily by providing transportation and logistics services to shippers and charging fees tied to moving, handling, and managing cargo. Its major revenue streams include: (1) Ocean shipping: freight revenue from containerized carg...
AP Moller - Maersk Earnings Call Summary
The call conveyed a predominantly positive operational and financial picture: strong top‑line growth (revenues +20% YoY), improved profitability (EBITDA $3.0bn), positive free cash flow, and an upgraded full‑year guidance. These positives were supported by operational agility (Gemini efficiencies, 96% utilization) and momentum in Logistics & Services and Terminals. Material challenges were also emphasized: persistent and structural landside bottlenecks and trade imbalances, elevated bunker costs (+44% YoY) that trimmed earnings, increased working capital, and a low‑margin Solutions subsegment. While these headwinds are meaningful and imply ongoing volatility, they do not outweigh the quarter’s strong financial and operational achievements and the upgraded outlook.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Maersk upgraded its 2026 full‑year outlook, now targeting underlying EBITDA of $10.5–$12.5 billion and underlying EBIT of $4.5–$6.5 billion and reiterating a positive free cash flow expectation, based on an assumed container market volume growth of ~4% and strong H1 performance (Q2 revenue $15.8bn; Q2 EBITDA $3.0bn; Q2 EBIT $1.6bn; Q2 free cash flow $549m). Cumulative CapEx guidance remains unchanged at $10–$11bn for 2025–26 (and the same for 2026–27). Management cited supporting operational and financial metrics behind the upgrade including Ocean loaded rates +22% YoY (+32% QoQ), loaded volumes +4.1% to 3.4m FFE, network utilization at 96%, Gemini cost benefits of about $950m, operating cash flow strength and cash & deposits of $18.5bn (net cash ~$1.5bn); they noted the upside to the range if congestion endures and the downside if congestion meaningfully eases (e.g., around Golden Week/early Q4).
AP Moller - Maersk Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Financials show a solid but cyclical profile: earnings and cash flows have normalized sharply from the 2021–2022 peak, with revenue and free cash flow rebounding in the TTM and margins still positive but compressed to low single digits. The balance sheet is a key strength, with moderate debt, a large equity base, and sustained positive free cash flow, though returns on capital and cash conversion are meaningfully lower than in the prior boom.
Income Statement
62PositiveBalance Sheet
80PositiveCash Flow
65Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 56.26B | 53.99B | 55.48B | 51.06B | 81.53B | 61.79B |
| Gross Profit | -2.60B | 9.44B | 12.11B | 3.87B | 31.32B | 19.81B |
| EBITDA | 9.68B | 10.21B | 12.68B | 11.37B | 36.96B | 24.48B |
| Net Income | 2.29B | 2.73B | 6.11B | 3.82B | 29.20B | 17.94B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 87.91B | 88.35B | 87.70B | 82.58B | 93.68B | 72.27B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 18.49B | 10.32B | 24.04B | 6.70B | 11.00B | 11.84B |
| Total Debt | 17.47B | 18.92B | 16.48B | 14.81B | 15.64B | 15.34B |
| Total Liabilities | 31.54B | 31.66B | 29.75B | 27.49B | 28.65B | 26.68B |
| Stockholders Equity | 55.23B | 55.58B | 56.92B | 54.03B | 63.99B | 44.51B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 4.37B | 4.96B | 7.21B | 6.00B | 30.31B | 19.05B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 8.73B | 9.76B | 11.41B | 9.64B | 34.48B | 22.02B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.54B | 495.00M | -7.92B | 4.08B | -21.62B | -8.34B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -7.14B | -7.87B | -3.50B | -16.80B | -14.13B | -7.90B |
AP Moller - Maersk Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMKBY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 17.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.88, below the 50-day MA of 17.60, and above the 200-day MA of 13.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AMKBY.
AP Moller - Maersk Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
GSL86.9Outperform
DAC83Outperform- AMKBY68.2Neutral
MATX67Neutral
CMRE66Neutral
ZIM65Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSL | 87Outperform | $1.50B | 3.87 | 20.88% | 6.21% | 5.55% | -3.50% |
| DAC | 83Outperform | $2.86B | 5.20 | 13.97% | 6.24% | 2.45% | 21.62% |
| AMKBY | 68Neutral | $49.20B | 21.79 | 4.14% | 2.15% | -1.27% | -64.83% |
| MATX | 67Neutral | $6.69B | 14.69 | 16.94% | 0.66% | -0.16% | 0.55% |
| CMRE | 66Neutral | $1.71B | 5.19 | 15.31% | 3.57% | -42.03% | 3.81% |
| ZIM | 65Neutral | $3.42B | 24.44 | 3.52% | 7.02% | -24.91% | -93.09% |
| Sector * | 63Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% |
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMKBY | AP Moller Maersk | 17.15 | 7.17 | 71.90% | |
| CMRE | Costamare | 13.45 | 0.86 | 6.86% | |
| DAC | Danaos | 153.96 | 70.21 | 83.84% | |
| GSL | Global Ship Lease | 40.23 | 11.13 | 38.25% | |
| MATX | Matson Inc | 221.04 | 123.88 | 127.50% | |
| ZIM | Zim Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. | 28.35 | 14.68 | 107.39% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026