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Ambarella
(NASDAQ:AMBA)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$66.00
▲(13.34% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/02/26
AMBA’s score is primarily supported by financial resilience (very low leverage, strong gross margins, and improving revenue) and a generally positive earnings-call setup with higher Q2 revenue guidance and strong automotive/design-win momentum. The score is held back by still-negative TTM profitability, recent cash outflows and inventory build/concentration risks, and weak valuation signals due to a negative P/E and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Sustainably High Gross Margins
Ambarella maintains industry‑leading gross margins near 59%–62%, underpinned by proprietary SoC designs and software. Durable high margins provide structural buffer to fund R&D and platform investment, supporting higher‑ASP product ramps and long‑term profitability if revenue scales.
Negative Factors
Sustained Negative Profitability
Despite margin expansion, trailing‑twelve‑month net margin remains deeply negative, indicating the company hasn’t converted revenue growth into consistent GAAP profitability. Continued losses constrain reinvestment capacity and make long‑term returns dependent on sustained revenue scale.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustainably High Gross Margins
Ambarella maintains industry‑leading gross margins near 59%–62%, underpinned by proprietary SoC designs and software. Durable high margins provide structural buffer to fund R&D and platform investment, supporting higher‑ASP product ramps and long‑term profitability if revenue scales.
Read all positive factors
Ambarella Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Tracks the share of Ambarella’s sales coming from each region, indicating how well the company is penetrating automotive, surveillance, and consumer camera markets around the world. Useful for spotting concentration risk if a few countries dominate revenue and for identifying regions that could drive future growth.
Tracks the share of Ambarella’s sales coming from each region, indicating how well the company is penetrating automotive, surveillance, and consumer camera markets around the world. Useful for spotting concentration risk if a few countries dominate revenue and for identifying regions that could drive future growth.
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The Fly
The FlyAmbarella (AMBA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$2.71B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.65M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)2.11
Revenue Growth28.12%
EPS Growth34.98%
CountryUS
Employees959
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySemiconductors
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-1.61
Shares Outstanding43,868,183
10 Day Avg. Volume1,494,755
30 Day Avg. Volume1,650,559
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.96
Price to Book (P/B)4.60
Price to Sales (P/S)7.00
P/FCF Ratio47.15
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda>-0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$101.56Price Target Upside74.40% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering11
EPS Forecast (FY)0.79
Revenue Forecast (FY)$441.58M
Ambarella Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Ambarella, Inc. is a global semiconductor company specializing in advanced video processing technology. They develop chips that facilitate high-definition (HD) and ultra-HD (UHD) video compression, sophisticated image manipulation, and cutting-edg...
How the Company Makes Money
Ambarella primarily makes money by selling semiconductor products—mainly SoCs (and associated software/firmware support) that customers integrate into their own hardware products (e.g., AI/vision cameras, automotive camera and sensing modules, and...
Ambarella Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 28, 2026
(Q1-2027)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized clear execution and strong secular momentum: revenue grew 16.9% YoY, automotive set a record quarter with steep product ramps, major LTAs (including an $800M+ potential Hanwha deal) and extensive design‑win momentum support a constructive growth outlook. However, the company is managing near‑term headwinds including a sizable inventory build (days inventory up from 99 to 145), sequential cash outflows, customer/fulfillment concentration (WT Microelectronics ~60.7% of revenue), supply‑chain pressures on DRAM/flash, and a double‑digit sequential decline in consumer IoT. On balance, the positives (product road map, LTAs, YoY growth, margins, design wins and guidance for Q2 expansion) materially outweigh the near‑term operational and concentration risks.Positive Updates
Revenue Beat and Strong Year‑Over‑Year Growth
Q1 revenue of $100.0M was slightly above the midpoint of guidance, down 0.5% sequentially but up 16.9% year‑over‑year.
Negative Updates
Inventory Build and Cash Outflows
Days of inventory rose from 99 to 145 (increase of 46 days, ~46%); cash and marketable securities decreased by $34.8M sequentially to $278M; operating cash outflow of $25.6M and free cash outflow of $29.6M for the quarter.
Read all updates
Q1-2027 Updates
Positive
Negative
Revenue Beat and Strong Year‑Over‑Year Growth
Q1 revenue of $100.0M was slightly above the midpoint of guidance, down 0.5% sequentially but up 16.9% year‑over‑year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Ambarella guided Q2 FY27 revenue of $105–$111M (midpoint $108M) versus Q1 revenue of $100M (slightly above prior midpoint); Q2 non‑GAAP gross margin is forecast at 59.0%–60.5% (Q1 was 59.9%) and non‑GAAP operating expense is guided to $56–$59M (Q1 $56.4M); net interest and other income is estimated at $1.9M (Q1 $2.1M), non‑GAAP tax about $800K (Q1 ~$740K), and diluted shares ~44.3M. Management reiterated a long‑term gross‑margin model of roughly 59%–62% and a full‑year growth outlook near 10%–15%; balance‑sheet and cash metrics for Q1 included cash & marketable securities of ~$278M, operating cash outflow $25.6M, capex $4M, free cash outflow $29.6M, DSO 35 days and inventory days rising to 145 (from 99). Additional disclosed metrics tied to strategy and potential revenue sources included cumulative SoC shipments >46M, 12 Edge AI SoCs available, corporate ASP ~$15 in Q1 (with new SoCs targeting higher ASPs), a Hanwha LTA with potential revenue in excess of $800M over >10 years, 15+ robotic design wins with lifetime revenue >$100M, and a new $50M share repurchase authorization (following a recent buyback of 47.8k shares for $2.4M at an average $51.04).Ambarella Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jan 2026 | Jan 2025 | Jan 2024 | Jan 2023 | Jan 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 405.19M | 390.70M | 284.87M | 226.47M | 337.61M | 331.86M |
| Gross Profit | 236.13M | 226.47M | 167.63M | 136.82M | 208.93M | 208.13M |
| EBITDA | -42.14M | -48.10M | -91.67M | -123.72M | -51.00M | -14.63M |
| Net Income | -69.63M | -75.86M | -117.13M | -169.42M | -65.39M | -26.41M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 794.84M | 798.60M | 688.97M | 657.65M | 710.20M | 657.54M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 277.80M | 312.57M | 250.26M | 219.93M | 206.86M | 171.04M |
| Total Debt | 13.27M | 13.44M | 5.26M | 5.34M | 8.64M | 11.71M |
| Total Liabilities | 189.02M | 203.81M | 127.56M | 97.78M | 104.11M | 110.37M |
| Stockholders Equity | 605.82M | 594.79M | 561.41M | 559.87M | 606.09M | 547.18M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 26.23M | 58.01M | 23.45M | 7.05M | 29.04M | 29.12M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 33.09M | 73.52M | 33.84M | 19.02M | 44.09M | 38.80M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -60.63M | -30.49M | -40.53M | 7.84M | -107.30M | -119.55M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 701.00K | 3.81M | 6.40M | 4.51M | 5.70M | 10.53M |
Ambarella Technical Analysis
Negative
58.23
Price Trends
74.38
Negative
66.11
Negative
71.06
Negative
Market Momentum
-1.15
Positive
40.52
Neutral
10.07
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMBA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 58.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.79, below the 50-day MA of 74.38, and below the 200-day MA of 71.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.07 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AMBA.
Ambarella Risk Analysis
Ambarella disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ambarella reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Ambarella Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | $3.93B | 235.30 | 2.44% | 2.27% | 3.11% | -54.05% | |
72 Outperform | $8.87B | 13.06 | 20.24% | 2.22% | 36.05% | 80.83% | |
65 Neutral | $6.82B | 140.53 | 7.68% | ― | 10.70% | -62.92% | |
65 Neutral | $7.17B | -142.00 | -4.66% | ― | 25.14% | 70.00% | |
63 Neutral | $2.71B | -38.41 | -11.77% | ― | 28.12% | 34.98% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
59 Neutral | $4.45B | -92.72 | -3.47% | ― | 12.81% | -129.65% |
* Technology Sector Average
AMBA
Ambarella
61.84
-7.91
-11.34%
CAMT
Camtek
146.15
51.86
55.00%
POWI
Power Integrations
70.45
17.08
32.01%
SLAB
Silicon Laboratories
217.47
71.07
48.55%
SIMO
Silicon Motion
264.33
191.00
260.46%
SYNA
Synaptics
114.05
46.79
69.56%
Ambarella Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Ambarella shareholders affirm directors, auditor and equity plan
Positive
Jul 1, 2026
At its annual meeting held on June 26, 2026, Ambarella shareholders elected three Class II directors—Gregory M. Bryant, D. Jeffrey Richardson and Elizabeth M. Schwarting—to serve until the 2029 annual meeting, with approximately 86% of...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.