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Air Industries Group (AIRI)
:AIRI

Air Industries Group (AIRI) AI Stock Analysis

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Air Industries Group

(NYSE MKT:AIRI)

52Neutral
Air Industries Group's overall stock score reflects a company facing financial challenges but with positive momentum from recent earnings improvements and strategic contracts. Financial performance remains a concern, with negative net income and cash flow volatility weighing heavily on the score. However, recent corporate developments and strategic positioning in the defense sector provide a buffer, offering potential for recovery and growth.

Air Industries Group (AIRI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Air Industries Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAir Industries Group, an aerospace and defense company, designs, manufactures, and sells structural parts and assemblies for mission-critical aerospace and defense applications, and a prime contractor to the U.S. Department of Defense in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Complex Machining and Turbine and Engine Component. The Complex Machining segment offers aircraft landing and arresting gears, engine mounts, flight controls, throttle quadrants, and other components. Its products are deployed on a range of military and commercial aircraft, including Sikorsky's UH-60 Blackhawk, Lockheed Martin F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, Northrop Grumman E2D Hawkeye, the US Navy F-18, and USAF F-16 and F-15 fighter aircraft. The Turbine and Engine Component segment makes components and provides services for aircraft jet engines and ground-power turbines. Its jet engine components are used on the USAF F-15 and F-16, the Airbus A-330, the Boeing 777, and others, as well as ground-power turbine applications. The company's products are used by original equipment manufacturers in the manufacture of fixed wing aircraft, helicopters jet turbine engines, and other complex aerospace and defense products. Air Industries Group was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Bay Shore, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyAir Industries Group generates revenue through the manufacturing and sale of precision components and assemblies used in aerospace and defense applications. The company's key revenue streams include contracts with major aerospace and defense contractors, providing critical parts such as landing gear and flight control systems. These contracts often span multiple years and involve rigorous quality standards and specifications. Additionally, Air Industries may engage in long-term partnerships or agreements with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the aerospace sector, ensuring a steady stream of income through ongoing production and supply agreements. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by defense budgets, aerospace industry demand, and the ability to innovate and maintain competitive manufacturing processes.

Air Industries Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Air Industries Group faces financial challenges with consistent net losses impacting profitability and cash flow. While there are some improvements, high leverage and volatile revenue growth pose risks, demanding a strategic focus on stabilizing and enhancing financial performance.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reveals challenges in maintaining profitability, with a negative net income in the TTM and the previous year. Gross profit margin is relatively low, and revenue growth shows volatility, indicating instability. However, there is a slight improvement in EBITDA margin over time.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio indicating significant reliance on debt financing. The equity ratio is low, suggesting potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative due to net losses, highlighting profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows inconsistency with negative free cash flow in the TTM and fluctuations in operating cash flow. The company's ability to convert net income into cash flow is poor, but there is some improvement in free cash flow compared to previous negative values.
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
51.52M53.24M58.94M50.10M54.57M
Gross Profit
7.43M7.45M10.25M6.51M9.14M
EBIT
-295.00K-55.00K2.49M-1.01M1.27M
EBITDA
2.75M3.33M6.19M4.46M4.47M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-2.13M-759.00K-43.00K1.10M-2.60M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
346.00K281.00K627.00K2.50M1.29M
Total Assets
50.72M53.81M53.42M57.78M51.09M
Total Debt
25.77M28.51M27.29M31.90M30.88M
Net Debt
25.43M28.23M26.66M29.40M29.59M
Total Liabilities
35.52M36.98M36.04M42.67M40.88M
Stockholders Equity
15.19M16.84M17.39M15.11M10.21M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.74M-1.91M2.70M-5.32M-1.65M
Operating Cash Flow
4.86M448.00K4.06M-1.52M-888.00K
Investing Cash Flow
-2.11M-2.36M-1.36M-3.80M-764.00K
Financing Cash Flow
-2.69M1.57M-4.58M6.53M934.00K

Air Industries Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.70
Price Trends
50DMA
3.61
Positive
100DMA
3.95
Negative
200DMA
4.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
59.91
Neutral
STOCH
71.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AIRI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.33, above the 50-day MA of 3.61, and below the 200-day MA of 4.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AIRI.

Air Industries Group Risk Analysis

Air Industries Group disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Air Industries Group reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Air Industries Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$99.02M10.416.42%2.29%9.23%-16.27%
64
Neutral
$4.27B11.805.31%249.79%4.07%-9.02%
55
Neutral
$93.01M-161.69%-1.20%50.12%
52
Neutral
$13.37M-9.06%6.97%37.99%
CVCVU
50
Neutral
$44.85M13.0313.74%-6.23%-80.67%
45
Neutral
$43.89M-13.52%3.36%94.32%
SISIF
45
Neutral
$16.90M-17.92%13.33%55.32%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AIRI
Air Industries Group
3.70
-3.84
-50.93%
AIRT
Air T
16.10
-9.88
-38.03%
CVU
CPI Aerostructures
3.38
0.75
28.52%
SIF
SIFCO Industries
2.80
-0.44
-13.58%
TISI
Team
21.38
14.58
214.41%
TWIN
Twin Disc
6.86
-8.43
-55.13%

Air Industries Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 31, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 3.06%|
Next Earnings Date:May 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive trajectory for Air Industries Group with significant improvements in revenue, profit, and backlog, despite ongoing challenges such as rising operating expenses, continued net losses, increased debt, and potential risks from tariffs and supply chain disruptions. The company's strategic positioning in the aerospace defense sector and compliance with loan agreements provide a strong foundation for future growth.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Backlog and New Business
The company achieved a record backlog with new business bookings resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.29:1, a 72% improvement from 0.75:1 in January 2023, exceeding industry standards.
Significant Revenue and Profit Improvements
Revenue increased by $2.6 million or 7% to over $55 million. Operating income improved by $750,000, converting a previous loss into a profit. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $1 million or 35%.
Improved Gross Profit and Margin
Gross profit increased by over $1.5 million or 20.2% with a gross margin increase to 16.2%, up by 1.7 percentage points compared to 2023.
Compliance with Loan Agreements
The company remains in compliance with its loan agreements, ensuring financial stability.
Strategic Positioning in Aerospace Defense
The company secured a $33 million contract for the CH-53K helicopter and remains strategically positioned in the defense sector, mitigating risks from potential defense budget cuts.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased by $750,000 or 9.7%, with stock compensation expenses accounting for 42% of this increase.
Net Loss Reduction but Still Present
The company reported a net loss of $1.366 million, which, although reduced by $765,000 or 36%, still indicates a financial loss.
Increase in Debt
Total debt increased by about $3 million due to additional borrowings for a solar power installation and under the revolving credit facility.
Potential Tariff and Supply Chain Risks
The impact of potential tariffs and supply chain disruptions, particularly regarding materials sourced from China, remains a concern, though mitigated by price protection clauses.
Company Guidance
During the Air Industries Group Year-End 2024 Earnings Conference Call, CEO Lou Melluzzo and CFO Scott Glassman highlighted significant improvements in financial metrics compared to 2023. They reported a revenue increase of 7% to $55.1 million, operating income improvement from a 2023 loss to a profit of $459,000, and a net loss reduction by $765,000, marking a 36% decrease. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 35% to $3.641 million. The company's book-to-bill ratio improved by 72% to 1.29:1, surpassing the industry standard of 1.2:1, indicating a healthier business outlook. The firm also secured nearly $60 million in new long-term agreements across four aircraft platforms, boosting its fully funded backlog by $32 million to nearly $118 million. Despite challenges like potential tariffs and defense budget cuts, the company remains optimistic, given its strategic positioning in military aerospace programs and efforts to mitigate risks, such as price protection clauses for critical products.

Air Industries Group Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Air Industries Group Schedules Financial Results Call
Neutral
Apr 15, 2025

On April 15, 2025, Air Industries Group announced it will host a conference call on April 16, 2025, to discuss its financial results for the year ended December 31, 2024. The call will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and may impact its stakeholders by offering a clearer picture of its market positioning and operational outcomes.

Spark’s Take on AIRI Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AIRI is a Neutral.

Air Industries Group’s overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including net losses and high leverage, which weigh heavily on its prospects. While recent corporate events and earnings call improvements provide some optimism, weak technical indicators and poor valuation metrics suggest caution. The company’s strategic efforts to stabilize finances and capitalize on positive contract wins will be crucial for future performance.

To see Spark’s full report on AIRI stock, click here.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Air Industries Group Secures $3.3M US Navy Contracts
Positive
Mar 11, 2025

On March 11, 2025, Air Industries Group announced securing two contracts worth $3.3 million for landing and arresting gear components for the US Navy E-2D Advanced Hawkeye aircraft. These contracts support both the production of new aircraft and the maintenance, repair, and overhaul of existing aircraft, highlighting Air Industries’ critical role in supporting the US Navy’s operations. The E-2D Advanced Hawkeye, recognized as a top acquisition program by the US Navy, is expected to remain in service into the 2040s, ensuring continued demand for Air Industries’ products.

Business Operations and Strategy
Air Industries Group Honored at Northrop Grumman Awards
Positive
Mar 4, 2025

On March 4, 2025, Air Industries Group was recognized by Northrop Grumman Corporation as one of its top supplier partners during the Supplier Excellence Awards. This accolade highlights Air Industries’ strategic excellence and its role in providing innovative and cost-effective military solutions, reinforcing its longstanding relationship with Northrop Grumman and its contribution to advanced defense technologies.

Business Operations and Strategy
Air Industries Group Secures $1.5M Military Contracts
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

On February 27, 2025, Air Industries Group announced it secured two contracts worth approximately $1.5 million for landing gear components for the US Air Force B1-B Lancer bomber and the F-16 Fighting Falcon. These contracts are significant as they focus on maintenance, repair, and overhaul, aligning with the US Military’s increased budget for Operations & Maintenance (O&M), which is nearly twice the size of the Procurement budget. The Pentagon’s fiscal year 2025 budget request reflects a 3.5% increase in O&M, highlighting the strategic importance of these contracts for Air Industries Group’s business development efforts in a large and growing market.

Business Operations and Strategy
Air Industries Group Partners with RedChip for Investor Relations
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

On February 26, 2025, Air Industries Group announced its collaboration with RedChip Companies, Inc. as their investor relations consultants and the launch of a television commercial to be aired on CNBC. This strategic move is aimed at enhancing the company’s visibility and investor engagement, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations positively.

Business Operations and Strategy
Air Industries Group Updates Investor Presentation
Neutral
Feb 24, 2025

On February 24, 2025, Air Industries Group announced an update to its investor presentation, which is now available on its website. This update may provide stakeholders with enhanced insights into the company’s operations and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.