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SIFCO Industries (SIF)
:SIF
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SIFCO Industries (SIF) AI Stock Analysis

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SIF

SIFCO Industries

(SIF)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$23.00
▼(-11.50% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/11/26
The score is primarily supported by improving TTM fundamentals—better profitability and a strengthened balance sheet with lower leverage. Offsetting this, technicals are mixed with weak near-term momentum (price below short-term moving averages and RSI near 40), and valuation is a headwind given the elevated P/E (~34) with no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Profitability Recovery
The combination of strong TTM revenue growth and positive margins indicates improved customer demand and operating execution. If maintained, this recovery can provide a stronger earnings base after several weaker annual periods.
Negative Factors
Historically Volatile Profitability
The recent earnings rebound has not yet demonstrated a full-cycle record of stability. Repeated prior losses and weaker margins indicate that profitability may remain vulnerable to changes in demand, production performance or customer volumes.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and Profitability Recovery
The combination of strong TTM revenue growth and positive margins indicates improved customer demand and operating execution. If maintained, this recovery can provide a stronger earnings base after several weaker annual periods.
Read all positive factors

SIFCO Industries Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Customer Type
Revenue by Customer Type
Breaks revenue down by end customer groups (for example OEMs, aftermarket/MRO, energy or defense), highlighting where demand comes from and how concentrated it is. Dependence on a few large or cyclical customers increases risk, whereas a diversified mix with stable aftermarket work suggests more predictable revenue and greater pricing power.
Chart InsightsCommercial revenue spiked in early–mid 2024 then collapsed and has stayed at a much lower, steadier run rate—consistent with a one‑off large order or timing shift rather than sustainable demand. Military revenue has quietly recovered since 2023 and accelerated through 2025–Q1‑2026 to multi‑year highs, implying durable contract wins or backlog conversion. SIFCO is becoming more dependent on defense‑driven growth; investors should watch backlog/award disclosures and whether commercial demand reverts to avoid concentration risk.
Data provided by:The Fly

SIFCO Industries (SIF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SIFCO Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SIFCO Industries, Inc. specializes in manufacturing and distributing forged and precisely machined components, primarily serving the aerospace and energy sectors across North America and Europe. The company's core expertise encompasses forging, he...
How the Company Makes Money
SIFCO Industries makes money primarily by producing and selling manufactured components and assemblies to customers in the aerospace market. Revenue is generated when the company fulfills customer orders for its products (typically built to custom...

SIFCO Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are rebounding in TTM with improved profitability (about 19.9% gross margin and 7.8% net margin) and reduced leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.43). However, cash flow is the weaker link: free cash flow is positive (~$3.2M) but declined materially (~-43%) and has been inconsistent historically, and prior annual periods showed volatility and losses—raising sustainability risk.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue99.37M84.81M79.63M66.07M83.90M99.59M
Gross Profit16.46M10.59M5.98M3.35M-1.85M11.21M
EBITDA9.69M5.96M-725.00K-4.44M-2.69M6.33M
Net Income3.97M-718.00K-5.38M-8.69M-9.64M-743.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets80.03M73.39M104.62M96.28M97.27M110.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments77.00K2.04M1.71M368.00K1.17M346.00K
Total Debt17.34M23.80M37.92M37.45M34.63M37.39M
Total Liabilities38.50M36.51M74.20M61.95M56.58M61.05M
Stockholders Equity41.53M36.88M30.43M34.34M40.69M49.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.24M-555.00K-3.73M-2.48M-2.90M-1.09M
Operating Cash Flow3.95M-71.00K-1.74M-1.36M298.00K3.89M
Investing Cash Flow322.00K13.87M-3.40M-2.43M-3.19M-878.00K
Financing Cash Flow-4.08M-13.44M7.87M2.88M3.73M-3.11M

SIFCO Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.99
Price Trends
50DMA
23.18
Negative
100DMA
20.46
Positive
200DMA
14.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.79
Positive
RSI
45.37
Neutral
STOCH
64.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SIF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.05, above the 50-day MA of 23.18, and above the 200-day MA of 14.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SIF.

SIFCO Industries Risk Analysis

SIFCO Industries disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SIFCO Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SIFCO Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$3.20B38.0051.97%14.49%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$2.74B-102.41-3.72%8.57%-162.23%
59
Neutral
$134.40M33.5710.02%18.78%
58
Neutral
$70.89M18.2214.04%2.59%
44
Neutral
$12.66M-7.01-7.38%-10.62%44.56%
38
Underperform
$54.64M-0.27-1651.00%1436.93%98.31%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SIF
SIFCO Industries
21.62
14.91
221.97%
ATRO
Astronics
77.51
47.33
156.78%
CVU
CPI Aerostructures
5.29
2.77
109.92%
DCO
Ducommun
185.36
93.51
101.81%
XTIA
XTI Aerospace
1.39
-0.65
-31.86%
AIRI
Air Industries Group
2.59
-0.66
-20.31%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2026